
The Cincinnati Bengals enter the 2026 NFL season facing one of the clearest expectations in football: get Joe Burrow back to the postseason and make another serious run at the AFC Championship.
Cincinnati finished a disappointing 6-11 in 2025, placing third in the AFC North and missing the playoffs. The Bengals scored 414 points but allowed 492, creating a minus-78 point differential. Pittsburgh won the division at 10-7, while Baltimore finished 8-9 and Cleveland went 5-12.
The disappointing season resulted in one of Cincinnati’s most aggressive offseasons in recent memory.
The Bengals acquired three-time Pro Bowl defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence II from the New York Giants for Cincinnati’s first-round pick and extended him through 2028. Cincinnati also added defensive tackle Jonathan Allen, edge rusher Boye Mafe, safety Bryan Cook and safety Kyle Dugger while retaining key pieces of Joe Burrow’s offensive line, including Orlando Brown Jr. and Dalton Risner.
The objective is obvious.
Cincinnati already possesses an elite offensive foundation with Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Chase Brown. The defense needed to become substantially better after last season, and the front office responded by investing heavily in veteran talent. The Bengals spent nearly $130 million on free agents during the opening portion of the offseason, according to the team.
The schedule provides an opportunity for a major turnaround.
One projection based on current Vegas win totals ranks Cincinnati’s schedule as the second-easiest in the NFL, behind only Detroit. The Bengals’ own regular-season win total currently sits at 10.5.
Cincinnati will play eight games at Paycor Stadium, eight true road games and one international neutral-site game against Atlanta in Madrid.
The Bengals also have three primetime games: Pittsburgh at home on Sunday Night Football, Washington on the road on Monday Night Football and Baltimore at home on Thursday Night Football on New Year’s Eve.
The schedule is favorable enough for Cincinnati to return to double-digit victories.
Whether the Bengals become merely a playoff team or a genuine Super Bowl contender will depend on how well the rebuilt defense performs against Baltimore, Houston, Kansas City and the rest of the AFC’s top offenses.
Week Date Opponent Location Time / TV
Sunday, Sept. 13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Paycor Stadium 1 p.m., FOX
Sunday, Sept. 20 at Houston Texans Houston 1 p.m., CBS
Sunday, Sept. 27 at Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh 1 p.m., CBS
Sunday, Oct. 4 Jacksonville Jaguars Paycor Stadium 1 p.m., CBS
Sunday, Oct. 11 at Miami Dolphins Miami1 p.m., FOX 6—Bye Week
Sunday, Oct. 25 at Baltimore Ravens Baltimore 1 p.m., CBS
Sunday, Nov. 1 Tennessee Titans Paycor Stadium 1 p.m., CBS
Sunday, Nov. 8 Atlanta Falcons Madrid, Spain 9:30 a.m., NFL Network
Sunday, Nov. 15 Pittsburgh Steelers Paycor Stadium 8:20 p.m., NBC
Monday, Nov. 23 at Washington Commanders Washington 8:15 p.m., ESPN
Sunday, Nov. 29 New Orleans Saints Paycor Stadium 1 p.m., CBS
Sunday, Dec. 6 at Cleveland Browns Cleveland 1 p.m., CBS
Sunday, Dec. 13 Kansas City Chiefs Paycor Stadium 4:25 p.m., FOX
Sunday, Dec. 20 at Carolina Panthers Charlotte 1 p.m., FOX
TBD at Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis TBD
Thursday, Dec. 31 Baltimore Ravens Paycor Stadium 8:15 p.m., Prime Video
TBD Cleveland Browns Paycor Stadium TBD
The schedule and currently announced kickoff times are from the Bengals’ official 2026 schedule.
Cincinnati begins the season at Paycor Stadium against Tampa Bay.
The Buccaneers finished 8-9 in 2025 and currently carry an 8.5-win total, placing them around the middle of the NFL preseason market.
This is an important opener for several reasons.
Cincinnati cannot afford another season in which early losses create pressure before the offense and defense have completely settled into their identities.
The Bengals should have an offensive advantage.
Burrow throwing to Chase and Higgins gives Cincinnati the type of passing attack capable of immediately testing Tampa Bay’s secondary. The Bengals should also be able to use Chase Brown to keep the Buccaneers from exclusively focusing on the passing game.
The more interesting storyline will be Cincinnati’s defense.
Lawrence, Allen and Mafe were brought in specifically to improve a unit that allowed 492 points last season. Week 1 provides the first real opportunity to see whether those investments have transformed the front seven.
Playing at Paycor Stadium should help Cincinnati begin 1-0.
Difficulty level: Moderate
The difficulty increases dramatically in Week 2.
Houston won 12 games in 2025 after recovering from an 0-3 start and enters 2026 with a current win total of 9.5.
This may be Cincinnati’s toughest non-divisional road game.
Houston’s defense should test the Bengals’ offensive line, while Cincinnati’s rebuilt defensive front will face an offense capable of creating explosive plays.
The matchup could become a significant early AFC tiebreaker.
If Cincinnati and Houston both reach the postseason, head-to-head results can become important for seeding.
Burrow’s ability to handle pressure will be essential.
The Bengals need Brown to provide enough rushing production to prevent Houston from consistently attacking Burrow on obvious passing downs.
A Cincinnati victory would immediately strengthen the argument that the Bengals are back among the AFC’s leading contenders.
Difficulty level: Very high
Cincinnati opens AFC North play on the road against Pittsburgh.
The Steelers won the division at 10-7 last season and went 4-2 against AFC North opponents. Cincinnati split the 2025 series with Pittsburgh, winning 33-31 at Paycor Stadium before losing 34-12 at Acrisure Stadium.
Pittsburgh enters a new era under head coach Mike McCarthy, reunited with quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Its current win total is 8.5.
Divisional familiarity makes this game dangerous regardless of preseason projections.
Cincinnati must protect Burrow against Pittsburgh’s pass rush and avoid the turnovers that can completely change AFC North games.
The Bengals should have the more explosive passing attack.
Pittsburgh’s best strategy will likely be slowing the game down, controlling possession and preventing Chase and Higgins from generating explosive touchdowns.
Going to Pittsburgh immediately after visiting Houston creates a difficult two-game road stretch.
Difficulty level: High
The Bengals return home to face Jacksonville.
The Jaguars were one of the NFL’s biggest turnaround teams in 2025, winning 13 games and the AFC South after winning only four the previous season. Their current 2026 win total is 8.5.
Cincinnati defeated Jacksonville 31-27 at Paycor Stadium last season.
The rematch should again feature plenty of offensive talent.
Jacksonville is capable of attacking Cincinnati’s secondary, making the Bengals’ improved pass rush especially important.
Lawrence and Allen need to collapse the interior pocket while Mafe and Cincinnati’s edge defenders prevent Jacksonville’s quarterback from becoming comfortable.
Offensively, Cincinnati should be capable of scoring enough points to win.
The location makes this one of the important swing games on the schedule.
Difficulty level: High
Cincinnati travels to Miami before its bye week.
This is one of the schedule’s most favorable road games based on current preseason expectations.
Miami enters a significant transition after major offseason roster changes and currently has one of the NFL’s lowest projected win totals at 4.5.
The Bengals won 45-21 in Miami late last season.
Cincinnati should be able to create mismatches with its receivers and put pressure on Miami to win a high-scoring game.
The potential danger is looking ahead to the bye.
The Bengals cannot allow a favorable matchup to turn into a trap game through turnovers or defensive breakdowns.
If Cincinnati expects to win the AFC North, this is the type of road game it must handle.
Difficulty level: Low to moderate
The Bengals receive their bye after only five games.
That is earlier than ideal for a team hoping to make a deep postseason run because Cincinnati will then have to play 12 consecutive regular-season games.
The timing does provide one immediate advantage.
Baltimore waits on the other side.
The Bengals will have two weeks to prepare for what may be the most important opponent on their schedule.
Cincinnati comes out of the bye against the current AFC North favorite.
Baltimore finished only 8-9 last season, but the 2026 market expects a major rebound. The Ravens currently have an 11.5-win total, the highest among Cincinnati’s opponents.
The Bengals split the series with Baltimore last year, winning 32-14 at M&T Bank Stadium before losing 24-0 at Paycor Stadium.
This matchup is a major reason Cincinnati invested so heavily in its defensive front.
Baltimore’s running game can punish defenses that lack interior strength and discipline.
Lawrence changes the equation.
His ability to occupy blockers and collapse the middle should allow Cincinnati’s linebackers to play more aggressively.
The Bengals must still prevent Baltimore from creating explosive quarterback runs and play-action passes.
Offensively, Burrow has enough weapons to challenge the Ravens, but Cincinnati cannot consistently find itself in third-and-long.
The extra week of preparation helps.
Difficulty level: Very high
Cincinnati returns home against Tennessee.
The Titans carry a current win total around 6.5, placing them below the NFL’s projected middle class.
This is one of Cincinnati’s best opportunities during the middle portion of the schedule.
After facing Baltimore, the Bengals need to avoid an emotional letdown.
Tennessee should attempt to shorten the game and prevent Burrow from getting into a passing rhythm.
Cincinnati’s offensive talent should eventually create enough mismatches.
This is a game the Bengals need to win at home.
Difficulty level: Low
Cincinnati heads to Spain for the third international game in franchise history.
The Bengals face Atlanta at the Bernabéu in Madrid on November 8 at 9:30 a.m. Eastern on NFL Network.
International games create unique circumstances.
Travel, sleep schedules, practice routines and unfamiliar facilities become part of the preparation.
The good news is that Atlanta must deal with the same issues.
This is essentially a neutral-site matchup.
The Falcons enter the season with more modest expectations than Cincinnati, making this a game the Bengals should be favored to win.
The biggest concern is avoiding mistakes created by the unusual environment.
Burrow’s experience should help Cincinnati handle the circumstances better than many teams.
Difficulty level: Moderate
The Bengals return from Madrid and immediately face Pittsburgh on Sunday Night Football.
That is one of the more interesting scheduling situations of the season.
Cincinnati will have traveled internationally and must then prepare for a physical AFC North rival.
Fortunately, the game is at Paycor Stadium.
The Bengals beat Pittsburgh at home last season and should have a substantial offensive advantage if Burrow, Chase and Higgins are healthy.
The concern is Pittsburgh’s defense and the physical nature of divisional games.
Cincinnati cannot allow international travel fatigue to become an excuse.
This could be one of the games that determines the AFC North standings.
Difficulty level: High
Cincinnati travels to Washington for Monday Night Football.
The Commanders finished 5-12 in 2025 and currently carry a 7.5-win projection.
On paper, Cincinnati should have the advantage.
Monday night road games can still become difficult, particularly with the Bengals coming off consecutive unusual weeks involving Madrid and a Sunday night divisional game.
The schedule will test Cincinnati’s recovery.
The Bengals should attack Washington aggressively through the passing game and try to establish an early lead.
If Cincinnati is a legitimate AFC contender, this is a road game it should win.
Difficulty level: Moderate
Cincinnati receives only six days before hosting New Orleans.
The Saints won six games last season but went 5-4 in games started by Tyler Shough, helping push their current win total to 7.5.
New Orleans could therefore be more dangerous than its 2025 record suggests.
Cincinnati still has several significant advantages.
The game is at Paycor Stadium, and the Bengals should possess the more explosive offensive weapons.
The defensive front should also be able to create pressure against an offense that may need sustained drives to keep pace with Burrow.
This is an important game because Cincinnati cannot afford to waste favorable home matchups during a playoff race.
Difficulty level: Moderate
The Battle of Ohio begins unusually late in the season.
Cincinnati does not play Cleveland until December.
The Browns went 5-12 last season and finished last in the AFC North. They have since undergone significant changes, including trading Myles Garrett to Los Angeles in exchange for Jared Verse and significant draft compensation.
Cleveland’s current win total sits around 5.5.
That does not make this game easy.
Cincinnati lost 20-18 to Cleveland in the 2025 regular-season finale and barely escaped with a 17-16 victory in Week 1.
The Browns have consistently created uncomfortable games for Cincinnati.
The Bengals need to treat Cleveland like a serious divisional threat regardless of overall record.
Difficulty level: Moderate
The Chiefs return to Cincinnati in one of the most anticipated games at Paycor Stadium.
Kansas City went only 6-11 last season after an extraordinary 1-9 record in one-score games. Patrick Mahomes also missed the final three games following an ACL injury, but current markets expect a significant rebound and list Kansas City with a 10.5-win total.
The Burrow-Mahomes rivalry provides the obvious headline.
For Cincinnati, this matchup could also have significant AFC seeding implications.
The Bengals’ revamped defensive line will be essential.
Allowing Mahomes time to extend plays is usually a losing formula. Lawrence, Allen and Mafe need to create pressure without forcing Cincinnati to repeatedly blitz.
Burrow should have opportunities against Kansas City’s defense, particularly if Chase and Higgins remain healthy.
This may be Cincinnati’s toughest home game.
Difficulty level: Very high
Cincinnati travels to Carolina.
The Panthers currently have a 7.5-win projection, putting them below the Bengals in the preseason market.
This is another road game Cincinnati should expect to win.
The dangerous part is its location on the schedule.
The Bengals will be coming off the emotional Kansas City game and then face Indianapolis and Baltimore over the following two weeks.
Carolina could easily become overlooked.
Cincinnati must avoid allowing a slower opponent to remain within one possession late.
If the Bengals establish an early offensive rhythm, their receiving talent should eventually create separation.
Difficulty level: Moderate
Cincinnati remains on the road to face Indianapolis.
The exact date and kickoff time have not yet been assigned.
The Colts currently carry a 7.5-win total after a strange 2025 season in which they opened 7-1 before losing eight of their final nine games.
This could become one of the most important swing games of December.
Indianapolis is talented enough to challenge Cincinnati but inconsistent enough that the Bengals may enter as the favorite.
Playing at Lucas Oil Stadium eliminates weather concerns and should help Cincinnati’s passing game.
Burrow should be comfortable indoors.
A victory could become extremely important for playoff seeding because Baltimore waits five days later on New Year’s Eve.
Difficulty level: Moderate to high
The Bengals host Baltimore on New Year’s Eve in one of the biggest games on the entire NFL schedule.
The matchup kicks off Thursday night at 8:15 p.m. on Prime Video.
There is a realistic possibility that the AFC North championship will be on the line.
Baltimore currently owns the higher preseason win projection, but Cincinnati gets the second meeting at Paycor Stadium.
The schedule creates an important concern.
The Bengals will be coming off a road game against Indianapolis and will have a short week before facing the Ravens.
Baltimore will likely present the same physical challenges it does in October, but December divisional games become even more demanding.
Cincinnati’s offseason investments on defense were made for moments like this.
The Bengals need Lawrence, Allen, Mafe and the rebuilt secondary to change what happened during some of last season’s defensive collapses.
If Cincinnati wants to win the AFC North, this may be the game it has to win.
Difficulty level: Very high
Cincinnati finishes the regular season at home against Cleveland.
The exact date and kickoff time will be determined later.
The timing could make this game extremely important.
Cincinnati may be fighting for the AFC North championship, playoff qualification or postseason seeding.
Cleveland may have an opportunity to spoil those plans.
The Browns did exactly that in Week 18 last season, beating Cincinnati 20-18 and ending the Bengals’ year at 6-11.
That should eliminate any possibility of Cincinnati overlooking them.
The Bengals should have the stronger roster, particularly offensively.
But divisional games in January rarely follow simple talent comparisons.
Difficulty level: Moderate
Houston is dangerous, and Kansas City has championship pedigree, but Baltimore represents Cincinnati’s most difficult overall matchup.
The Ravens have the highest current win total of any Bengals opponent at 11.5.
Cincinnati also has to play the first meeting at M&T Bank Stadium.
Baltimore’s physical running game will immediately test whether Cincinnati’s defensive reconstruction has worked.
The good news is the timing.
Cincinnati gets a bye immediately before the game.
If the Bengals are going to win in Baltimore, there may not be a better scheduling opportunity.
Baltimore on New Year’s Eve could ultimately carry greater divisional importance, but Kansas City is Cincinnati’s most fascinating home test.
Mahomes is expected back after his knee injury, and the betting market expects the Chiefs to rebound significantly from last season’s six-win disappointment.
Cincinnati gets the game at Paycor Stadium.
A victory could provide an enormous AFC tiebreaker.
Miami has one of the NFL’s lowest current win totals.
That makes this precisely the type of game Cincinnati cannot overlook.
The Bengals will have already faced Houston, Pittsburgh and Jacksonville and will have their bye waiting immediately afterward.
A team with Super Bowl expectations must take care of favorable road matchups.
Jacksonville won 13 games last season but carries only an 8.5-win total entering 2026.
That uncertainty makes the Week 4 matchup particularly interesting.
A home victory over Jacksonville would be an important résumé-building win.
A loss could place additional pressure on Cincinnati before the road trip to Miami and early bye.
Cincinnati’s season may ultimately be determined during the final six games:
The stretch includes three AFC North games.
Kansas City provides another potential AFC playoff tiebreaker.
Four of the six games are against teams currently carrying win totals below Cincinnati’s 10.5 projection, while Baltimore and Kansas City represent the two major exceptions.
A 4-2 finish should place Cincinnati in excellent playoff position.
Going 5-1 could produce a division championship.
A 3-3 or worse finish could create another stressful January.
The overall strength of schedule is the biggest advantage.
Sharp Football Analysis currently ranks Cincinnati’s schedule as the second-easiest in the NFL based on projected opponent win totals.
The Bengals face several teams carrying modest preseason expectations, including Miami, Cleveland, Tennessee, Atlanta, Washington, New Orleans and Carolina.
Cincinnati also gets Kansas City at Paycor Stadium.
The Bengals do not have to travel to Arrowhead Stadium.
The Week 6 bye is useful specifically because it comes immediately before the first Baltimore game.
Cincinnati also closes with Baltimore and Cleveland at Paycor Stadium, giving the Bengals home-field advantage for two potentially decisive divisional games.
There is also only one West Coast trip: none.
The longest journey is the international trip to Madrid.
The early bye is both an advantage and a disadvantage.
Cincinnati gets additional preparation before Baltimore, but the Bengals must then play 12 consecutive games without another week off.
The Madrid trip creates another challenge.
Cincinnati faces Atlanta in Spain before returning home to play Pittsburgh on Sunday Night Football seven days later.
November also contains three different schedule formats in consecutive weeks: the international game, Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football.
The AFC North remains difficult.
Baltimore is projected for 11.5 victories, Pittsburgh 8.5 and Cleveland 5.5.
Cincinnati cannot rely solely on the favorable non-divisional schedule.
It must improve inside the division.
The Bengals went only 3-3 against AFC North opponents in 2025.
The Bengals received one of the more favorable schedules available to an AFC contender.
That does not mean it is easy.
Baltimore twice, Houston, Kansas City, Jacksonville and Pittsburgh twice provide several legitimate playoff-level challenges.
But the schedule also contains a significant number of manageable games.
Miami, Tennessee, Atlanta, Washington, New Orleans, Cleveland, Carolina and Indianapolis all enter with lower current win projections than Cincinnati.
Eight games are at Paycor Stadium, and the Atlanta matchup is played at a neutral international site rather than in Atlanta.
The early bye prevents the schedule from receiving a perfect grade.
The post-bye stretch is long, and the December schedule contains four road games or high-level opponents over a six-week period.
Still, Cincinnati has been given a legitimate opportunity to produce one of the AFC’s best records.
The Bengals are significantly better on paper than the team that finished 6-11 last season.
The offense was never the primary concern.
Burrow remains the franchise centerpiece, Chase is one of football’s elite receivers, Higgins gives Cincinnati another high-level outside weapon and Brown adds explosiveness from the backfield.
The major question was defense.
Cincinnati responded aggressively by adding Lawrence, Allen, Mafe, Cook and Dugger.
If those additions turn one of the league’s most vulnerable defenses into even an average unit, the Bengals should improve substantially.
The current betting market sets Cincinnati’s win total at 10.5.
The schedule supports going slightly higher.
Cincinnati should be favored in games against Tampa Bay, Miami, Tennessee, Atlanta, Washington, New Orleans, Cleveland twice and Carolina.
Indianapolis is another very winnable matchup.
Houston, Baltimore twice, Kansas City, Pittsburgh twice and Jacksonville represent the games most likely to determine whether Cincinnati reaches 10, 11 or 12 victories.
The most reasonable projection is:
11-6 overall
AFC North contender
Playoff berth
The ceiling is 12 or 13 victories if the defense improves dramatically.
The floor is closer to nine wins if injuries return or the defense remains inconsistent.
Eleven is the best balance between Cincinnati’s favorable schedule and the difficulty of the AFC North.
The following selections use current futures markets where available. Prices may change throughout training camp and before Week 1.
The Bengals’ current win total is 10.5, with the Over listed at approximately +115 and the Under at -140 in multiple current markets.
The number has climbed from 9.5 earlier in the offseason, demonstrating how much expectations have increased following Cincinnati’s defensive additions.
There are reasons to still prefer the Over.
Cincinnati has one of the NFL’s easiest projected schedules.
The Bengals have an elite quarterback and elite receiving corps.
Most importantly, the defense should be significantly more talented than it was in 2025.
Eleven wins are required to cash.
That is exactly our projection.
Cincinnati is currently around -200 to make the postseason.
That price reflects the expectation that 2025 was an aberration rather than the beginning of a long decline.
Burrow is healthy entering the season.
Chase and Higgins remain together.
The offensive line has continuity.
The defense has undergone a major talent upgrade.
The schedule gives Cincinnati several paths to 10 or more victories even if it does not win the AFC North.
A Wild Card remains a strong fallback option if Baltimore wins the division.
Cincinnati is currently around +184 to win the AFC North.
Baltimore will likely enter as the favorite, and its 11.5-win projection demonstrates why.
But Cincinnati has enough advantages to challenge the Ravens.
The Bengals get the second Baltimore meeting at Paycor Stadium on New Year’s Eve.
Cincinnati’s improved defensive interior should also be better equipped to handle Baltimore’s physical running attack.
The Steelers are entering a new coaching era, while Cleveland remains projected near the bottom of the league.
Cincinnati went only 3-3 inside the division last season.
Improving that to 4-2 or 5-1 could be the difference between winning a Wild Card and hosting a playoff game.
Cincinnati is currently around +2000 to win Super Bowl LXI, with its AFC championship price around +1025.
This is obviously the most aggressive of the four wagers.
The argument is based on ceiling.
When Burrow is healthy, Cincinnati already possesses an offense capable of winning postseason shootouts.
The Bengals’ problem has been creating enough defensive resistance to complement him.
That is why the Lawrence acquisition matters so much.
Cincinnati surrendered its first-round pick to acquire one of football’s premier interior defenders and then surrounded him with Allen, Mafe, Cook and other veteran additions.
If those moves work, Cincinnati becomes dramatically more balanced.
The favorable regular-season schedule could also help the Bengals earn better playoff positioning rather than entering January needing three consecutive road victories.
At +2000, Cincinnati offers a combination of quarterback talent and upside that makes it a legitimate championship futures consideration.
The Cincinnati Bengals enter the 2026 season with little ambiguity surrounding their goals.
Returning to respectability is not enough.
A winning record is not enough.
With Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins in their primes, Cincinnati should be competing for championships.
The 2025 season represented a major failure by that standard.
The Bengals went 6-11, missed the playoffs and allowed 492 points.
The front office responded accordingly.
Dexter Lawrence gives Cincinnati the dominant interior defender it desperately needed. Jonathan Allen strengthens the defensive line. Boye Mafe provides another edge-rushing option. Bryan Cook and Kyle Dugger add veteran experience to the secondary.
The offense remains loaded.
Burrow still has Chase and Higgins on the outside, Chase Brown in the backfield and a veteran offensive line that Cincinnati worked to keep intact during the offseason.
The schedule provides another reason for optimism.
Cincinnati’s slate currently grades as the second-easiest in the NFL using projected opponent win totals.
There are difficult games.
The Week 2 trip to Houston will provide an immediate measuring stick.
Pittsburgh remains a physical divisional opponent.
The Bengals face Baltimore twice, including a potentially enormous New Year’s Eve game at Paycor Stadium.
Kansas City comes to Cincinnati in December.
Those are championship-level tests.
But the schedule also includes Tampa Bay, Miami, Tennessee, Atlanta, Washington, New Orleans, Cleveland twice, Carolina and Indianapolis.
A genuine playoff contender should win most of those games.
The early bye is not ideal for the complete season, but having two weeks to prepare for the first Baltimore meeting is valuable.
The Madrid game will provide one of the season’s most unique moments.
The final six weeks will determine everything.
Cleveland, Kansas City, Carolina, Indianapolis, Baltimore and Cleveland form a closing stretch that contains enough favorable matchups for Cincinnati to build momentum but enough divisional difficulty to punish mistakes.
An 11-6 regular season is the most reasonable prediction.
That should be enough to return Cincinnati to the playoffs.
It may be enough to win the AFC North.
And if the defensive overhaul performs as intended, the Bengals should enter January as a team capable of beating anyone in the AFC.
The offense has been championship-caliber before.
The quarterback has already proven he can take Cincinnati deep into January.
The difference in 2026 must come from the other side of the football.
If Lawrence and the rebuilt defense provide that difference, the Bengals will have an opportunity to transform the disappointment of 2025 into one of the NFL’s biggest turnarounds—and potentially another run at the Super Bowl.
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