
Itโs third and goal, and the Eagles’ defense is focused on Travis Kelce, preparing for the likely connection with Patrick Mahomes. However, Mahomes, known for his ability to create plays, scans the field and discovers his often-overlooked optionโNoah Gray. The Chiefs’ backup tight end navigates through traffic and drifts toward the back of the end zone. Mahomes rolls to his right, fakes a pass to Kelce, and then gently tosses the ball over the outstretched hands of a linebacker. Gray catches it cleanly with both feet inbounds. Touchdown, Chiefs! This is more of a โfunโ bet than a guaranteed win. While Kelce is Mahomes’ primary target in the red zone, the odds for Gray at +500 make him a worthwhile bet.
Kelce has shown signs of aging this year when he has the ball in his hands, posting a career-low of 3.8 yards after the catch. This metric has decreased for three consecutive seasons. Despite the decline in efficiency after the catch, Kelce was targeted on 23.4% of his routes this season. Zach Ertz, a veteran tight end known for his ability to get open on short routes, caught 11 passes out of 16 targets in the NFC Championship. The Vic Fangio defense plays to Kelce’s strengths by focusing on taking away deeper throws, which forces teams to advance the ball using multiple short passes.
Brown had been relatively quiet during the postseason but found the end zone against the Commanders in the Conference Championship. His season was overshadowed by Saquon Barkley and the fact that the Eagles ranked last in the league for pass attempts, averaging 1.7 fewer than the 31st-ranked Ravens. However, Brown excelled in terms of efficiency, finishing the season with an average of 3.04 yards per route run, second only to Puka Nacua. When it came to targets in the end zone, Brown led the Eagles with a remarkable 40% target rate.
Mahomes has most key players ready for the Super Bowl, giving the Chiefs several big-play threats. Travis Kelce, for instance, scored on a 49-yard reception during Kansas City’s divisional-round victory over the Texans. Additionally, receivers Hollywood Brown and Xavier Worthy possess the speed to score at any moment.
This could be one of the best bets for the Super Bowl, supported by consistency, game strategy, and matchup dynamics. Kansas City’s offense has been efficient, although not always dominant in the red zone, frequently stalling just outside the end zoneโan area where Butker excels. He has made multiple field goals in every playoff game this year and has been remarkably reliable throughout his postseason career. Since the beginning of the 2022 playoffs, he has averaged 9.4 kicking points per game and remains a perfect 100% this postseason.
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Patrick Mahomes has always been a significant threat in the postseason, but this year, his scrambling ability has reached new heights. During the regular season, his scramble rate was 6%, but in the playoffs, it has jumped to 15%. This dramatic increase highlights how much more he has depended on his legs when the stakes are at their highest. As a result, he has surpassed 6.5 rushing attempts in every postseason game this year. In a matchup against the Eagles’ relentless pass rush, there is every reason to believe this trend will continue.
Kelce’s odds of +145 to score a touchdown might seem short, primarily due to his reputation and past achievements. However, many casual bettors may not realize that he only scored three touchdowns during the regular season and one in the playoffs. That being said, he still appears to be a strong contender to score in the Big Game. Over his last 19 playoff games, he has scored 19 touchdowns. Additionally, he has caught 31 out of 37 targets in Super Bowl appearances, scoring two touchdowns in those games. It’s also worth noting that Philadelphia has allowed seven touchdowns to tight ends since the beginning of the season.
Barkley is the heart and soul of the Eagle’s Super Bowl run, and if you saw the trouble the Chiefs had stopping the Bills from running the ball, you have to like Barkley’s odds. Throw this prop bet in with two other props between -200 and -300 to get great odds. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app
With two weeks to recover, I donโt anticipate that Hurtsโ mobility will be a significant issue after he suffered a knee injury in the divisional round. Additionally, he is already a scoring threat with the “tush push,” having delivered three touchdowns from inside the Commandersโ 10-yard line during the NFC Championship game. In Super Bowl 57, he also recorded three rushing touchdowns.
Instead of placing a moneyline bet on the Eagles, I recommend considering a wager on Philly running back Saquon Barkley to win MVP at +240 or better. Barkley benefits from playing behind one of the best offensive lines in football and faces a favorable matchup this Sunday. The Chiefs defense took a massive turn downhill during the second half of the season and if the Eagles win it will be because of Barkley.
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