Wisconsin and Ohio State will meet in a highly anticipated Big Ten opener at the Horseshoe on Saturday in college football’s Week 4 action.
After an opening win over Notre Dame, Ohio State is now unbeaten in three games. Wisconsin is now 2-1 following a shock loss at home to Washington State just two weeks ago.
This game contrasts styles as you have a high-flying talented Buckeyes offense against the Wisconsin Badgers, who are more like the old three yards and a cloud of dust.
The defensive unit of Wisconsin has been the most effective in leading the charge for the team. It ranks 12th in the FBS, with 246.0 yards surrendered per game. It is also generating 478.7 yards per game in offense, ranking 30th.
The Badgers defense is leading the charge, ranking eighth in the FBS with 8.0 points per game. They average 39.3 points per match, ranking 32nd in terms of offense.
Wisconsin is 46th in FBS, with 260.3 passing yards per game. However, it has been helped by its defense which ranks 20th best, allowing only 170.0 passing yards each contest.
With 218.3 yards of rushing per game, the Badgers are 26th in FBS, but their defense ranks 13th with just 76.0 yards per game.
The team’s 12th-best FBS defense, Wisconsin’s third down defense, has been the best in the league with a 24.3% allowed third-down conversion rate. It ranks 41st in terms of offense with a 46.7% third down rate.
Wisconsin produced eight forced turnovers this season and turned it over four more times. This gives them a +4 turnover margin which ranks 16th in the FBS.
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Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Tips
Ohio State is firing on all cylinders, ranking first in total offense at 565.3 yards per match and 21st in total defense at 278.7 yards per game.
Ohio State is firing on all cylinders, ranking 10th in scoring offense with 47.7 points per match and 24th in scoring defense (14.3 point allowed per game).
They rank 42nd in pass defense with 194.3 yards per game. However, the Buckeyes have been doing a great job on the opposite side of the ball. They are sixth in the FBS with 358.3 yards per game.
Ohio State is 35th in rushing yards for the year (207.0 yards per game), but it has been doing really well on defense. It ranks 24th in the FBS in defense with 84.3 yards per game.
The Buckeyes are a force in defense and offense, ranking third in third down conversion rate (62.2%) and 20th in allowed third-down percentage (26.1%).
Ohio State has had two turnovers this season (110th in FBS) and they have only turned it over once (sixth FBS). This gives them a margin of +1 turnover, which is 46th-ranked college football.
Betting the game
Wisconsin QB Graham Mertz is the key. If he throws the ball well early, the Badgers ground game could take over. Wisconsin has an excellent defense and could cause some issues for the Buckeyes, remember Notre Dame did. 17.5 points is a lot of points, and my guess is that Washington State loss will end up being an outlier.
Prediction: Ohio State 47 Wisconsin `17(Take the Buckeyes and give the -17.5 points)
Potential earnings
If you are betting on the Badgers to cover, the payoff will be solid, not great, and I think the Badgers will cover this game. For example, the odds as of a few days before the game are averaging –105 if you are betting the Badgers to cover. If you bet 100 on the Badgers +17.5, the payout would be around 95 dollars, which means you would get back the 100 you bet and the other 95 for winning the bet.
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