The Arkansas Razorbacks have gone 1-2 as home underdogs this season, including blowout losses to LSU and Ole Miss. Texas ranks second in total defense (251.0), which should help Quinn Ewers settle in better on the road after having five touchdown passes last week They face another challenging opponent this week – Longhorns may just prove too strong!
Prediction: Texas 38 Arkansas 17
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Texas -13.5
Ewers to play well
Texas the better team
Arkansas at home
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No. 25 Tulane at Navy
Point Spread: Tulane -6.5
Moneyline Tulane -230
Moneyline Navy +188
Over/Under 54.5
Tulane ranks fourth in FBS with an offense averaging 41.0 points per game under first-year coach Jon Sumrall and averages 227.8 rushing yards per game behind Makhi Hughes (1,209 yards, 13 touchdowns). Navy snapped its two-game losing streak last week and improved to 2-1 S/U as an underdog under coach Brian Newberry; this should make for an exciting contest!
Prediction: Tulane 31 Navy 24
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Tulane -6.5
Tulane offense is explosive
Hughes to have a big game
Navy at home
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No. 13 Clemson at Pitt
Point Spread: Clemson -10.5
Moneyline Clemson -360
Moneyline Pitt +280
Over/Under 54.5
Pitt has fallen to 2-3 over its last 5 games and averaged only 101 rushing yards per game over that span. Meanwhile, Clemson allowed less than 100 yards in four out of their last five games, losing to Louisville as their exception. To recover offensively and defend better against Clemson (49 of 80 for an average of 214.5 passing yards over two weeks), Pittsburgh needs to find some offense and Cade Klubnik needs to become more efficient with his passing attack; their last meeting ended 27-17 in Acrisure Stadium on Oct 23. 2021.
Prediction: Clemson 31 Pitt 20
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Clemson -10.5
Pitt not playing well
Klubnik to have a big game
Pitt at home
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No. 2 Ohio State at Northwestern
Point Spread Ohio State -29.5
Moneyline Ohio State
Moneyline Northwestern
Over/Under 43.5
At Wrigley Field, Ohio State and Northwestern will battle it out – adding an intriguing twist to their Big Ten schedule. Northwestern averages 19.2 points per game against Ohio State’s first-in-the-FBS defense (250.8 yards per game) and second-ranked scoring defense (10.7ppg.). Ohio State has won its previous 10 meetings by an average margin of 28.1 points per game and Will Howard should throw multiple touchdown passes for an eighth consecutive time; they won’t look ahead at Indiana!
Prediction: Ohio State 45 Northwestern 7
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Ohio State -29.5
Buckeyes to run at will
Northwestern struggles to score
Northwestern at home
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Utah at No. 18 Colorado
Point Spread: Colorado -9.5
Moneyline Utah +300
Moneyline Colorado -385
Over/Under 47.5
How far will Colorado go under second-year coach Deion Sanders? Shedeur Sanders leads the Big 12 in completion percentage (72.9%) and passing touchdowns (24), but Utah boasts the top defense. It should make for an interesting strength-on-strength matchup. Utah may try to play spoiler following their emotional loss to BYU. Sophomore Brandon Rose needs to improve in his second start against Colorado’s 150.7 yards per game run defense to keep this game close enough.
Prediction: Colorado 27 Utah 24
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Utah +9.5
Bet the Over
Sanders to play well
Colorados at home
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No. 21 LSU at Florida
Point Spread: LSU -4.5
Moneyline LSU -178
Moneyline Florida +146
Over/Under 54.5
This week’s SEC rivalry between the Tigers and Gators will likely be decidedly unpredictable after each suffered blowout losses in Week 11, creating more of an unpredictable environment than usual. Will DJ Lagway (hamstring) make an appearance for Florida? LSU quarterback Garrett Nussmeier leads all SEC quarterbacks with regards to passing attempts and completions while Florida ranks 13th out of 14 SEC schools at 234.1 yards per game pass defense.
Prediction: LSU 30 Florida 20
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet LSU -4.5
Nussmeier to play well
Gators struggle defending the pass
Gators at Home
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No. 3 Penn State at Purdue
Point Spread: Penn State -28.5
Moneyline Purdue +2200
Moneyline Penn State -1000
Over/Under 50.5
Purdue’s schedule has been incredibly challenging this year, having already been shut out 35-0 by Oregon and 45-0 by Ohio State. Penn State stands as another overwhelming challange on that front; their defense allows just 14 points per game and they have scored more than 35 points in just one game this year against Kent State – expect them to put up late touchdowns to cover and make use of an opponent averaging 9.2 points against FBS teams on average at home!
Prediction: Penn State 42 Purdue 7
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Penn State -28.5
Purdue offense struggles
Penn State rolls on the ground
Penn State at home
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No. 22 Louisville at Stanford
Point Spread: Louisville -19.5
Moneyline Stanford +800
Moneyline Louisville -1450
Over/Under 57.5
Stanford may have had a bye week, but they have still allowed 41 points per game during their six-game losing streak. Louisville enjoyed its bye week as well and has a 3-1 S/U road record this season – their lone loss coming against Notre Dame. Louisville is also currently 0-2 against the spread (ATS) as a road favorite; so we trust Isaac Brown (807 yards and 7 touchdowns this season averaging 7.50 yards per carry – to give Louisville an early edge.
Prediction: Louisville 41 Stanford 17
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Louisville -19.5
Louisville plays well on the road
Turnovers will be crucial
Stanford at home
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Boston College at No. 14 SMU
Point Spread: SMU -16.5
Moneyline Boston College +530
Moneyline SMU -780
Over/Under 53.5
Kevin Jennings leads all passers in yards per completion at 15.0. Boston College Eagles will have difficulty slowing an offense that ranks second at 40.1 points per game, and Boston College has allowed 34.7 in its last three games; Boston College needs Thomas Castellanos to turn this one into an offensive shootout; we think that will happen easily.
Prediction: SMU 44 Boston College 27
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet SMU -16.5
Jennings to shine
Offensive shootout
SMU at home
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Virginia at No. 8 Notre Dame
Point Spread: Notre Dame -22.5
Moneyline Virginia +1000
Moneyline Notre Dame -2100
Over/Under 50.5
The Irish have dominated opponents this season, outscoring four ACC opponents by 163-47. Virginia broke its three-game losing streak against Pitt last week but may find it tougher against an Irish defense that has forced 11 turnovers and permitted only 260 yards per game over their past four wins. They are 2-2 when favored by 20 points or more while remaining undefeated when it comes to covering spreads against their ACC foes.
Prediction: Notre Dame 44 Virginia 14
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Notre Dame -22.5
Irish will win
Notre Dame will force turnovers
Notre Dame at home
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No. 24 Missouri at No. 23 South Carolina
Point Spread: South Carolina -12.5
Moneyline Missouri +390
Moneyline South Carolina -530
Over/Under 44.5
South Carolina has been one of the hottest teams in the SEC this season, winning three in a row while allowing just 12 points per game against Oklahoma, Texas A&M and Vanderbilt. Missouri quarterback Brady Cook (ankle and hand) did not play last week due to injury, and they’ve been routed twice on the road so far this year; still, these are ranked teams; perhaps Missouri can put up more resistance on their travels since they have won all five meetings thus far in this series.
Prediction: South Carolina 40 Missouri 23
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet South Carolina -12.5
Cocks tough at home
Tigers need to force turnovers
BWill Brady Cook play
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No. 13 Boise State at San Jose State
Point Spread: Boise State -13.5
Moneyline Boise State -500
Moneyline San Jose State +375
Over/Under 61.5
Ken Niumatalolo has done an outstanding job as the first-year coach of San Jose State’s Spartans this season – leading them to a 6-3 record and going undefeated at home. Can they stop Ashton Jeanty, who had 167 yards against them last season? Their run defense only allows an average of 3.6 yards per carry this season! All four meetings between these teams have been decided by 14 points or less; San Jose State is 3-2 against the spread as an underdog so far – can they pull it off one more time?
Prediction: Boise State 27 San Jose State 20
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet San Jose State +13.5
Can Jeanty be contained
SJSU at home
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Arizona State at No. 20 Kansas State
Point Spread: Kansas State -8.5
Moneyline Arizona State +250
Moneyline Kansas State -315
Over/Under 49.5
This game will be crucial in the Big 12 race, and it all begins with whether or not the Sun Devils’ running back Cam Skattebo (shoulder), who missed last week’s matchup against UCF due to injury, will return. Kansas State had their bye week but still have no room for error in terms of winning or losing this conference race; Kansas State is undefeated S/U at home this season while Avery Johnson has nine touchdowns against just two interceptions at Kansas State Stadium; both losses for Arizona State came away from home.
Prediction: Kansas State 27 Arizona State 17
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Kansas State -8.5
Avery Johnson to go off
Kansas State at home
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No. 1 Oregon at Wisconsin
Point Spread: Oregon -14.5
Moneyline Oregon -610
Moneyline Wisconsin +440
Over/Under 52.5
Oregon will look to gain ground toward a Big Ten championship berth in their last cross-country game and Wisconsin needs to keep its ground game flowing as long as possible to slow Dillon Gabriel and keep Oregon off the field – especially against an upset-minded Camp Randall Stadium crowd! Gabriel boasts a 75.2% competition percentage and 173 passer rating on the road this year while Oregon covered two-time zone road games against Purdue and Michigan.
Prediction: Oregon 31 Wisconsin 17
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Wisconsin +14.5
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No. 6 Tennessee at No. 11 Georgia
Point Spread: Georgia -9.5
Moneyline Tennessee +260
Moneyline Georgia -330
Over/Under 48.5
Georgia must decide between three versions of themselves for this contest, including those who defeated Texas, overpowered Florida in the second half or struggled at Ole Miss? Tennessee has allowed no more than 19 points a game this season. Iamaleava could make his mark; Dylan Sampson leads SEC with 1,129 rushing yards and 20 touchdowns; this could be pivotal to their chances.
Prediction: Georgia 20 Tennessee 17
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Tennessee -9.5
Volunteers defense playing well
Georgia at home
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New Mexico State at No. 15 Texas A&M
Point Spread: Texas A&M -39.5
Moneyline New Mexico State
Moneyline Texas A&M
Over/Under 54.5
New Mexico State may be 2-7 overall, but they are 3-2 against the spread as double-digit underdogs – including three 20+ point spreads.
Prediction: Texas A&M 44 New Mexico State 10
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet New Mexico State +39.5
Aggies win
Texas A&M at home
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No. 19 Washington State at New Mexico
Point Spread: Washington State -13.5
Moneyline Washington State -580
Moneyline New Mexico +420
Over/Under 72.5
This line has fallen by one half point. The Lobos possess an effective running game led by quarterback Devon Dampier (872 yards, 13 TDs) and Eli Sanders (834 yards, 8 TDs). That will prove challenging for dual-threat quarterback John Mateer of the Cougars as they engage in a shootout on the road against Bronco Mendenhall’s Lobos who have seen four out of their last five games decided by 11 points or less; making this matchup highly anticipated!
Prediction: Washington State 38 New Mexico 35
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet New Mexico +13.5
Lobos live underdog
Lobos at home
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Kansas at No. 7 BYU
Point Spread: BYU -2.5
Moneyline Kansas +116
Moneyline BYU -140
Over/Under 55.5
BYU continues its incredible run through Big 12 play with another home matchup against an improved Kansas squad. BYU lives off turnovers; its turnover ratio in conference play stands at +10. In contrast, Kansas has committed just four turnovers over its last four games and has been 2-2 S/U. On the road, however, it’s gone winless against this spread, so it could be trending toward an upset pick, but we aren’t there yet.
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