NCAA Football Week 12: Betting All Top 25 Games against the Spread

Week 12

No. 3 Texas at Arkansas

• Point Spread: Texas -13.5
• Moneyline Texas -610
• Moneyline Arkansas +440
• Over/Under 56.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks have gone 1-2 as home underdogs this season, including blowout losses to LSU and Ole Miss. Texas ranks second in total defense (251.0), which should help Quinn Ewers settle in better on the road after having five touchdown passes last week They face another challenging opponent this week – Longhorns may just prove too strong!

Prediction: Texas 38  Arkansas 17

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Texas -13.5

• Ewers to play well
• Texas the better team
• Arkansas at home

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No. 25 Tulane at Navy

• Point Spread: Tulane -6.5
• Moneyline Tulane -230
• Moneyline Navy +188
• Over/Under 54.5

Tulane ranks fourth in FBS with an offense averaging 41.0 points per game under first-year coach Jon Sumrall and averages 227.8 rushing yards per game behind Makhi Hughes (1,209 yards, 13 touchdowns). Navy snapped its two-game losing streak last week and improved to 2-1 S/U as an underdog under coach Brian Newberry; this should make for an exciting contest!

Prediction: Tulane 31  Navy 24

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Tulane -6.5

• Tulane offense is explosive
• Hughes to have a big game
• Navy at home

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No. 13 Clemson at Pitt

• Point Spread: Clemson -10.5
• Moneyline Clemson -360
• Moneyline Pitt +280
• Over/Under 54.5

Pitt has fallen to 2-3 over its last 5 games and averaged only 101 rushing yards per game over that span. Meanwhile, Clemson allowed less than 100 yards in four out of their last five games, losing to Louisville as their exception. To recover offensively and defend better against Clemson (49 of 80 for an average of 214.5 passing yards over two weeks), Pittsburgh needs to find some offense and Cade Klubnik needs to become more efficient with his passing attack; their last meeting ended 27-17 in Acrisure Stadium on Oct 23. 2021.

Prediction: Clemson 31  Pitt 20

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Clemson -10.5

• Pitt not playing well
• Klubnik to have a big game
• Pitt at home

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No. 2 Ohio State at Northwestern

• Point Spread Ohio State -29.5
• Moneyline Ohio State
• Moneyline Northwestern
• Over/Under 43.5

At Wrigley Field, Ohio State and Northwestern will battle it out – adding an intriguing twist to their Big Ten schedule. Northwestern averages 19.2 points per game against Ohio State’s first-in-the-FBS defense (250.8 yards per game) and second-ranked scoring defense (10.7ppg.). Ohio State has won its previous 10 meetings by an average margin of 28.1 points per game and Will Howard should throw multiple touchdown passes for an eighth consecutive time; they won’t look ahead at Indiana!

Prediction: Ohio State 45  Northwestern 7

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Ohio State -29.5

• Buckeyes to run at will
• Northwestern struggles to score
• Northwestern at home

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Utah at No. 18 Colorado

• Point Spread: Colorado -9.5
• Moneyline Utah +300
• Moneyline Colorado -385
• Over/Under 47.5

How far will Colorado go under second-year coach Deion Sanders? Shedeur Sanders leads the Big 12 in completion percentage (72.9%) and passing touchdowns (24), but Utah boasts the top defense. It should make for an interesting strength-on-strength matchup. Utah may try to play spoiler following their emotional loss to BYU. Sophomore Brandon Rose needs to improve in his second start against Colorado’s 150.7 yards per game run defense to keep this game close enough.

Prediction: Colorado 27  Utah 24

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Utah +9.5

• Bet the Over
• Sanders to play well
• Colorados at home

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No. 21 LSU at Florida

• Point Spread: LSU -4.5
• Moneyline LSU -178
• Moneyline Florida +146
• Over/Under 54.5

This week’s SEC rivalry between the Tigers and Gators will likely be decidedly unpredictable after each suffered blowout losses in Week 11, creating more of an unpredictable environment than usual. Will DJ Lagway (hamstring) make an appearance for Florida? LSU quarterback Garrett Nussmeier leads all SEC quarterbacks with regards to passing attempts and completions while Florida ranks 13th out of 14 SEC schools at 234.1 yards per game pass defense.

Prediction: LSU 30  Florida 20

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet LSU -4.5

• Nussmeier to play well
• Gators struggle defending the pass
• Gators at Home

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No. 3 Penn State at Purdue

• Point Spread: Penn State -28.5
• Moneyline Purdue +2200
• Moneyline Penn State -1000
• Over/Under 50.5

Purdue’s schedule has been incredibly challenging this year, having already been shut out 35-0 by Oregon and 45-0 by Ohio State. Penn State stands as another overwhelming challange on that front; their defense allows just 14 points per game and they have scored more than 35 points in just one game this year against Kent State – expect them to put up late touchdowns to cover and make use of an opponent averaging 9.2 points against FBS teams on average at home!

Prediction: Penn State 42  Purdue 7

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Penn State -28.5

• Purdue offense struggles
• Penn State rolls on the ground
• Penn State at home

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No. 22 Louisville at Stanford

• Point Spread: Louisville -19.5
• Moneyline Stanford +800
• Moneyline Louisville -1450
• Over/Under 57.5

Stanford may have had a bye week, but they have still allowed 41 points per game during their six-game losing streak. Louisville enjoyed its bye week as well and has a 3-1 S/U road record this season – their lone loss coming against Notre Dame. Louisville is also currently 0-2 against the spread (ATS) as a road favorite; so we trust Isaac Brown (807 yards and 7 touchdowns this season averaging 7.50 yards per carry – to give Louisville an early edge.

Prediction: Louisville 41  Stanford 17

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Louisville -19.5

• Louisville plays well on the road
• Turnovers will be crucial
• Stanford at home

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Boston College at No. 14 SMU

• Point Spread: SMU -16.5
• Moneyline Boston College +530
• Moneyline SMU -780
• Over/Under 53.5

Kevin Jennings leads all passers in yards per completion at 15.0. Boston College Eagles will have difficulty slowing an offense that ranks second at 40.1 points per game, and Boston College has allowed 34.7 in its last three games; Boston College needs Thomas Castellanos to turn this one into an offensive shootout; we think that will happen easily.

Prediction: SMU 44  Boston College 27

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet SMU -16.5

• Jennings to shine
• Offensive shootout
• SMU at home

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Virginia at No. 8 Notre Dame

• Point Spread: Notre Dame -22.5
• Moneyline Virginia +1000
• Moneyline Notre Dame -2100
• Over/Under 50.5

The Irish have dominated opponents this season, outscoring four ACC opponents by 163-47. Virginia broke its three-game losing streak against Pitt last week but may find it tougher against an Irish defense that has forced 11 turnovers and permitted only 260 yards per game over their past four wins. They are 2-2 when favored by 20 points or more while remaining undefeated when it comes to covering spreads against their ACC foes.

Prediction: Notre Dame 44  Virginia 14

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Notre Dame -22.5

• Irish will win
• Notre Dame will force turnovers
• Notre Dame at home

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No. 24 Missouri at No. 23 South Carolina

• Point Spread: South Carolina -12.5
• Moneyline Missouri +390
• Moneyline South Carolina -530
• Over/Under 44.5

South Carolina has been one of the hottest teams in the SEC this season, winning three in a row while allowing just 12 points per game against Oklahoma, Texas A&M and Vanderbilt. Missouri quarterback Brady Cook (ankle and hand) did not play last week due to injury, and they’ve been routed twice on the road so far this year; still, these are ranked teams; perhaps Missouri can put up more resistance on their travels since they have won all five meetings thus far in this series.

Prediction: South Carolina 40  Missouri 23

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet South Carolina -12.5

• Cocks tough at home
• Tigers need to force turnovers
• BWill Brady Cook play

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No. 13 Boise State at San Jose State

• Point Spread: Boise State -13.5
• Moneyline Boise State -500
• Moneyline San Jose State +375
• Over/Under 61.5

Ken Niumatalolo has done an outstanding job as the first-year coach of San Jose State’s Spartans this season – leading them to a 6-3 record and going undefeated at home. Can they stop Ashton Jeanty, who had 167 yards against them last season? Their run defense only allows an average of 3.6 yards per carry this season! All four meetings between these teams have been decided by 14 points or less; San Jose State is 3-2 against the spread as an underdog so far – can they pull it off one more time?

Prediction: Boise State 27  San Jose State 20

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet San Jose State +13.5

• Can Jeanty be contained
• SJSU at home

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Arizona State at No. 20 Kansas State

• Point Spread: Kansas State -8.5
• Moneyline Arizona State +250
• Moneyline Kansas State -315
• Over/Under 49.5

This game will be crucial in the Big 12 race, and it all begins with whether or not the Sun Devils’ running back Cam Skattebo (shoulder), who missed last week’s matchup against UCF due to injury, will return. Kansas State had their bye week but still have no room for error in terms of winning or losing this conference race; Kansas State is undefeated S/U at home this season while Avery Johnson has nine touchdowns against just two interceptions at Kansas State Stadium; both losses for Arizona State came away from home.

Prediction: Kansas State 27  Arizona State 17

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Kansas State -8.5

• Avery Johnson to go off
• Kansas State at home

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No. 1 Oregon at Wisconsin

• Point Spread: Oregon -14.5
• Moneyline Oregon -610
• Moneyline Wisconsin +440
• Over/Under 52.5

Oregon will look to gain ground toward a Big Ten championship berth in their last cross-country game and Wisconsin needs to keep its ground game flowing as long as possible to slow Dillon Gabriel and keep Oregon off the field – especially against an upset-minded Camp Randall Stadium crowd! Gabriel boasts a 75.2% competition percentage and 173 passer rating on the road this year while Oregon covered two-time zone road games against Purdue and Michigan.

Prediction: Oregon 31  Wisconsin 17

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Wisconsin +14.5

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No. 6 Tennessee at No. 11 Georgia

• Point Spread: Georgia -9.5
• Moneyline Tennessee +260
• Moneyline Georgia -330
• Over/Under 48.5

Georgia must decide between three versions of themselves for this contest, including those who defeated Texas, overpowered Florida in the second half or struggled at Ole Miss? Tennessee has allowed no more than 19 points a game this season. Iamaleava could make his mark; Dylan Sampson leads SEC with 1,129 rushing yards and 20 touchdowns; this could be pivotal to their chances.

Prediction: Georgia 20  Tennessee 17

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Tennessee -9.5

• Volunteers defense playing well
• Georgia at home

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New Mexico State at No. 15 Texas A&M

• Point Spread: Texas A&M -39.5
• Moneyline New Mexico State
• Moneyline Texas A&M
• Over/Under 54.5

New Mexico State may be 2-7 overall, but they are 3-2 against the spread as double-digit underdogs – including three 20+ point spreads.

Prediction: Texas A&M 44 New Mexico State 10

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet New Mexico State +39.5

• Aggies win
• Texas A&M at home

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No. 19 Washington State at New Mexico

• Point Spread: Washington State -13.5
• Moneyline Washington State -580
• Moneyline New Mexico +420
• Over/Under 72.5

This line has fallen by one half point. The Lobos possess an effective running game led by quarterback Devon Dampier (872 yards, 13 TDs) and Eli Sanders (834 yards, 8 TDs). That will prove challenging for dual-threat quarterback John Mateer of the Cougars as they engage in a shootout on the road against Bronco Mendenhall’s Lobos who have seen four out of their last five games decided by 11 points or less; making this matchup highly anticipated!

Prediction: Washington State 38  New Mexico 35

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet New Mexico +13.5

• Lobos live underdog
• Lobos at home

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Kansas at No. 7 BYU

• Point Spread: BYU -2.5
• Moneyline Kansas +116
• Moneyline BYU -140
• Over/Under 55.5

BYU continues its incredible run through Big 12 play with another home matchup against an improved Kansas squad. BYU lives off turnovers; its turnover ratio in conference play stands at +10. In contrast, Kansas has committed just four turnovers over its last four games and has been 2-2 S/U. On the road, however, it’s gone winless against this spread, so it could be trending toward an upset pick, but we aren’t there yet.

Prediction: BUY 27 Kansas 20

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet BYU -2.5

• BYU lives off turnovers
• BYU at home

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Previous weeks picks against the spread

week one Against the spread: 8-8

Week Two Against the Spread 9-7

Week Three Against the Spread 10-5

Week Four Against the Spread 10-8

Week Five Against the Spread 12-7

Week Six Against the Spread 11-6

Week 7 Against the Spread 7-9

Week 8 Against the Spread 10-6

Week 9 Against the Spread 8-7

Week 10 Against the Spread 8-5

Week 11 Against the Spread

Overall 90-77