This is a huge game in the Big Ten east as the winner will be the team that can challenge a red hot Buckeyes team. A lot of questions exist about both teams as neither has faced a tough schedule yet. This game will answer a ton of questions about both teams.
The Nittany Lions offense is extremely balanced with a combination of QB Sean Clifford and dangerous running backs. A solid line keeps defenses out of the backfield. Although the attack may not be thrilling, it is extremely efficient.
The sloppy win over Northwestern was a disaster. Penn State lost the ball five times in the 17-7 victory. But the offense isn’t prone to turnovers. Penn State should assume control as long as they can keep their mistakes to a minimum.
Penn State’s run defense was a brick wall that allowed less than 80 yards per match. Containing Michigan Quarterback JJ McCarthy will be hige in this game.
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Yes, Penn State’s run defense has been outstanding. This happens when you don’t have to face anyone who can run.
Auburn’s backs are strong, but the offense doesn’t work against anyone. Ohio is throwing it a lot, but Purdue prefers to fly through the air. Although Penn State is blessed with talent, this is the most talented running attack they have faced.
Blake Corum and the rush attack should be able to grind – even though the explosive runs may not exist – and McCarthy is happy with his 76% accuracy in the last two games.
Penn State’s defense has been worse than Michigan’s. Michigan’s pass rush is stronger, and the offense is better on third downs. Despite all the positive things Penn State does it only converts 34% of third downs.
Betting the game
6.5 points is a lot for a matchup that seems fairly even on paper. I think slow and steady wins the race for Michigan, but I am taking Penn State and the 6.5 points!
Prediction: Michigan Wolverines 24 Penn State 20(Take the Nittany Lions and the +6.5)
Potential earnings
If you are betting on the Lions to cover, the payoff will be solid, not great, and I think the Lions will cover this game. For example, the odds as of a few days before the game are averaging -102 if you are betting the Lions to cover. If you bet 100 on the Lions +6.5, the payout would be around 96 dollars, which means you would get back the 100 you bet and the other 96 for winning the bet. To me, the best bet is betting the Lions +6.5.
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