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The Big Ten Championship game pits Penn State Nittany Lions (11-1) against #1 Oregon Ducks (12-0). Although these two teams did not meet during this season, they are both coming off dominate wins. Penn State posted an easy 44-7 win over Maryland while Oregon defeated Washington 49-21, covering as 17.5 point favorites at home.
Oregon will continue its dominance by winning and covering this crucial matchup for a spot in the College Football Playoff. Oregon boasts an outstanding offense; ranking 13th nationwide with 277.6 passing yards per game. They also possess an elite rusher capable of covering well over one hundred yards per game. Penn State’s defense has been strong but inconsistent this season. They gave up 25 against Minnesota and 27 against Bowling Green, respectively, yet Oregon boasts much stronger offensive capabilities than either of those teams.
Oregon has scored 35 or more in five of their past six games and is not likely to slow down now that they’re on an uneven field. Classic Big Ten teams are used to playing outdoors on snow and cold fields; none of that will matter when they move indoors for turf games where Oregon will look like track stars on the perimeter. Penn State coach Franklin has become known for coming close but faltering late in a season; I predict Oregon will emerge victorious and take their first championship as Big Ten members.
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I lean towards the over in this game, as the Oregon offense will score around thirty, and Penn State will be in the low twenties.
Bet Oregon -3.5
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