
One of the SEC’s biggest games of the weekend takes place Saturday night in Oxford when No. 2 Georgia visits No. 12 Ole Miss at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
Georgia enters 7-1 overall and 5-1 in SEC play after beating Florida 27-8. Ole Miss improved to 6-2 and 4-2 with an impressive 45-15 victory over Auburn. The Bulldogs bring one of the nation’s best defenses into Oxford, while the Rebels have won 16 consecutive home games.
Matchup: No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs at No. 12 Ole Miss Rebels Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026 Kickoff: 7:30 PM ET TV: ABC Venue: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium — Oxford, Mississippi Tickets: As low as $303 Point Spread: Georgia -3.5 Over/Under: 56.5
The Georgia -3.5 spread means the Bulldogs must win by four points or more to cover. If Georgia wins by exactly three, Ole Miss +3.5 covers. Because the spread includes a half-point, there is no possibility of a push.
Georgia leads the all-time series, but Ole Miss has shown it can beat the Bulldogs, including a 39-34 victory in their most recent meeting on January 1, 2026.
Georgia enters Oxford allowing only 14.9 points and 273.4 total yards per game. Opponents average just 86.8 rushing yards, making it extremely difficult to establish offensive balance against the Bulldogs.
That defense dominated Florida. Georgia forced four turnovers, recorded four sacks and held the Gators to 48 rushing yards in the 27-8 victory.
Quarterback Gunner Stockton has completed 71.8 percent of his passes for 1,671 yards, 16 touchdowns and four interceptions. He struggled statistically against Florida, finishing with only 101 passing yards, but Georgia compensated with a rushing attack that produced 217 yards.
Nate Frazier and Dwight Phillips Jr. each rushed for 67 yards against Florida, while Stockton contributed 45.
Georgia averages 41 points and 450.9 yards per game, with more than 200 rushing yards per contest. That balance will challenge every level of the Ole Miss defense.
Ole Miss responded to its loss at Texas with perhaps its most complete performance of the season.
The Rebels generated 487 yards, including 224 on the ground, while beating Auburn 45-15. Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss completed 22 of 34 passes for 263 yards, threw two touchdowns and added 65 rushing yards and another score.
Chambliss has thrown for 2,189 yards and 18 touchdowns while averaging 273.6 passing yards per game. Ole Miss averages 37.1 points and 439.6 total yards.
The receiving corps also gives Georgia plenty to defend.
Horatio Fields caught six passes for 73 yards and a touchdown against Auburn, his third consecutive game with a receiving score. Caleb Cunningham added six catches for 55 yards and another touchdown.
Ole Miss also enters with tremendous confidence at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. The Auburn victory extended the Rebels’ home winning streak to 16 games.
College player-prop availability varies by sportsbook and jurisdiction, so these are target numbers to consider if offered near these ranges.
Stockton managed only 101 yards against Florida, but he averages nearly 209 per game.
Ole Miss allows 235 passing yards per contest, giving Stockton an opportunity to rebound.
Prediction: Gunner Stockton — 224 passing yards
Georgia’s defense is elite, making this a difficult matchup, but Ole Miss will likely need Chambliss throwing throughout the fourth quarter.
He has already surpassed 2,100 yards this season.
Prediction: Trinidad Chambliss — 267 passing yards
Georgia should emphasize its running game to limit Ole Miss possessions.
Frazier rushed for 67 yards and a touchdown against Florida despite splitting opportunities.
Prediction: Nate Frazier — 72 rushing yards
Fields is becoming increasingly important to the Ole Miss passing game.
His recent touchdown streak and expanded target volume make this an appealing number.
Prediction: Horatio Fields — 63 receiving yards
Gunner Stockton — Georgia: Stockton must be more productive through the air than he was against Florida, particularly if Ole Miss succeeds in slowing Georgia’s rushing attack.
Nate Frazier — Georgia: Frazier can help Georgia control possession and keep Chambliss on the sideline.
Trinidad Chambliss — Ole Miss: Chambliss is the key to the upset. His ability to create with his arm and legs gives Georgia something different to defend.
Horatio Fields — Ole Miss: Fields has scored in three consecutive games and is becoming one of Chambliss’ most trusted targets.
Georgia must pressure Chambliss without allowing him to escape the pocket. Ole Miss becomes much more difficult to defend when its quarterback creates additional rushing yards.
Ole Miss must find a way to run against a Georgia defense surrendering fewer than 87 rushing yards per game. Becoming completely one-dimensional would allow the Bulldogs to attack Chambliss with their pass rush.
Turnovers could be decisive. Georgia forced four against Florida, while Ole Miss has nine interceptions thrown this season.
The Georgia -3.5 spread requires the Bulldogs to win by at least four points.
Georgia has the superior defense, but Ole Miss is 4-0 at home and has won 16 straight in Oxford. That makes laying more than a field goal uncomfortable.
The 56.5 total is intriguing. Georgia averages 41 points and Ole Miss 37.1, but the Bulldogs’ defense has allowed fewer than 15 per game. This matchup should land near the posted number.
Georgia’s defense eventually becomes the difference, but Ole Miss makes the Bulldogs earn every possession.
Chambliss creates enough explosive plays to keep the Rebels within striking distance, while Stockton, Frazier and Georgia’s rushing attack control critical stretches of the second half.
Georgia escapes Oxford, but the Rebels stay inside the number.
Georgia 30, Ole Miss 27
Betting Category Pick Best Bet Ole Miss +3.5 Against the Spread Ole Miss +3.5 Moneyline Georgia Over/Under Over 56.5 Top Prop Nate Frazier Over 59.5 Rushing Yards
Final Prediction: Georgia 30, Ole Miss 27
Georgia wins by three points, meaning Ole Miss +3.5 covers. The projected 57 combined points finish narrowly over the 56.5 total.
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