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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Latest College Football News & Rumors / NCAA Football Week 8: Betting All Top 25 Games against the Spread

NCAA Football Week 8: Betting All Top 25 Games against the Spread

Publish Date: 10/16/2024
Fact checked by: Mark Lewis

week one Against the spread: 8-8

Week Two Against the Spread 9-7

Week Three Against the Spread 10-5

Week Four Against the Spread 10-8

Week Five Against the Spread 12-7

Week Six Against the Spread 11-6

Week Seven Against the Spread 7-9

Overall 67-50

 

Week 6

No. 2 Oregon at Purdue

  • Point Spread: Oregon -27.5
  • Moneyline Oregon -4500
  • Moneyline Purdue +1600
  • Over/Under 59.5

Will Oregon reverse their cross-country trend on Friday night after their emotional win against Ohio State? Oregon has failed to cover two 20-point spreads in Big Ten play, but Purdue ranks last in rush defense (228.8 yards per game), making them just 2-5 against the spread when playing as home underdog under Ryan Walters – with Oregon continuing their winning ways!

Prediction: Oregon 56  Purdue 13

DraftKings
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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Oregon -27.5
  • Oregon offense will roll
  • Oregon better team
  • Oregon at home
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Oklahoma State at No. 13 BYU

  • Point Spread: BYU -9.5
  • Moneyline Oklahoma State +265
  • Moneyline BYU -335
  • Over/Under 53.5

Oklahoma State had a bye week to regroup after suffering three consecutive losses in Big 12 that saw them allow an average of 312.6 rushing yards per game and surrender a plus-7 turnover margin. BYU ranks 12th in rushing offense (140.2 yards per game) while their plus-7 turnover margin.

Prediction: BYU 38  Oklahoma State 24

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4.6/5
Tip: Bet BUY -9.5
  • BYU to dominate on offense
  • Cowboys offense not good enough
  • BYU at home
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No. 6 Miami at Louisville

  • Point Spread: Miami -4.5
  • Moneyline Miami -200
  • Moneyline Louisville +164
  • Over/Under 61.5

Miami had a bye week after two close calls against Virginia Tech and Cal, and this will be another road test for Cam Ward, who owns a 170.8 passer rating with eight touchdown passes and three interceptions in road games. Will Miami survive again on the road?

Prediction: Miami 31  Louisville 24

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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Miami -4.5
  • Cam Ward to have a big game
  • Both offenses strong
  • Louisville at home
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Virginia at No. 10 Clemson

  • Point Spread Clemson -21.5
  • Moneyline Virginia +920
  • Moneyline Clemson -1800
  • Over/Under 57.5

Virginia has improved, but a trip to Death Valley will test their inconsistent offense that averages 22 points per game against Power 4 opponents. They haven’t committed a turnover in three games either – Clemson has shine bright since Georgia with their plus-10 turnover margin since their season-opening loss, featuring prolific performers such as Cade Klubnik and Phil Mafah on offense – they are 4-1 ATS through their winning streak, winning by an average margin of 34 points each meeting so far!

Prediction: Clemson 41  Virginia 10

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Clemson -21.5
  • Cade Klubnik to roll
  • Virginia not enough offense
  • Clemson at home
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Auburn at No. 19 Missouri

  • Point Spread: Missouri -4.5
  • Moneyline Auburn +150
  • Moneyline Missouri -182
  • Over/Under 51.5

Auburn averages 16 points per game in SEC play, and the line has increased by one half-point since opening. They had a bye week while Missouri’s two wins against Power 4 opponents have come by a combined nine-point margin; Missouri found its groove against UMass, but Auburn still allows only 20.8 points per game; they have won all three meetings since Missouri joined the conference.

Prediction: Missouri 23  Auburn 17

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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Missouri -4.5
  • Auburn struggles on offense
  • Both teams solid defensively
  • Missouri at home
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Nebraska at No. 16 Indiana

  • Point Spread: Indiana -6.5
  • Moneyline Nebraska +184
  • Moneyline Indiana -225
  • Over/Under 50.5

This game promises to be the best game of the week in the Big Ten. Will Nebraska be able to slow down Indiana’s high-powered offense, which averages 47 points and 515.8 yards per game? Nebraska ranks 13th nationally in total defense (272.5 yards per game), boasts a +6 turnover ratio, and ranks 13th for total offense with 272.5 per game total defense (272ypg). If Nebraska can generate enough passing game through freshman quarterback Dylan Raiola, then an upset might just happen; otherwise, it should make for a thrilling offensive battle!

Prediction: Indiana 31  Nebraska 24

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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Indiana -6.5
  • Rourke to have big game
  • Raiola to play welll
  • Indiana at home
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East Carolina at No. 23 Army

  • Point Spread: Army -15.5
  • Moneyline East Carolina +500
  • Moneyline Army -720
  • Over/Under 51.5

This will be the first meeting between these schools in two decades, and East Carolina leads the all-time series 8-0 S/U. East Carolina allowed 311 rushing yards during its 55-24 loss at Charlotte in Week 7. However, Army has allowed only 14 points per game so far and average an FBS-best 369.8 average rushing yardage average. Bryson Daily continues his impressive year in American Athletic Conference play here.

Prediction: Army 34  East Carolina 17

DraftKings
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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Army -15.5
  • Army to roll on the ground
  • East Carolina run defense will be an issue
  • Army at home
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No. 7 Alabama at No. 11 Tennessee

  • Point Spread: Alabama -2.5
  • Moneyline Alabama -152
  • Moneyline Tennessee +126
  • Over/Under 56.5

As one-loss teams battle to remain in the SEC race, each has significant question marks surrounding them. Tennessee has struggled on offense lately and has only managed one touchdown pass from three SEC contests; Alabama’s defense has shown some troubling breakdowns. Will Heupel give Iamaleava enough chances, or will Milroe get enough running game support to escape Neyland Stadium? It will surely make for a classic matchup this week!

Prediction: Alabama 27  Tennessee 24

DraftKings
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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Alabama -2.5
  • Jalen Milroe to play well
  • Volunteer offense has struggled
  • Tennessee at home
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No. 12 Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech

  • Point Spread: Notre Dame -11.5
  • Moneyline Notre Dame -450
  • Moneyline Georgia Tech +340
  • Over/Under 49.5

Notre Dame and Georgia Tech will meet at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Georgia Tech presents an uphill battle for Notre Dame with its 204.4 yards per game average running game and Haynes King leading the ACC with 71.2 completion percentage – but this Notre Dame defense limits opponents to just 3.4 yards per carry and 47.9 completion percentage against opposing quarterbacks; Riley Leonard has taken over starting duties. Georgia Tech’s record as an underdog under Brent Key stands out at 14-6 against the spread, so that shouldn’t be ignored either!

Prediction: Notre Dame 27  Georgia Tech 23

DraftKings
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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Georgia Tech +11.5
  • The run game will dominate
  • Turnovers will be crucial
  • Georgia Tech at home
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No. 24 Michigan at No. 22 Illinois

  • Point Spread: Michigan -3.5
  • Moneyline Michigan -150
  • Moneyline Illinois +125
  • Over/Under 43.5

Michigan has proven difficult to predict all season. They’re just 1-5 against the spread and enter their bye week needing an answer at quarterback – Luke Altmyer leads Big Ten passers with 14 touchdown passes and one interception. Illinois would be an easy pick had we not witnessed their 46 points given up against Purdue with 239 rushing yards; now, however, their fate remains in question.

Prediction:  Illinois 27  Michigan 17

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Illinois +3.5
  • Michigan no passing attack
  • Luke Altmyer to play well
  • Illinois at home
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Charlotte at No. 25 Navy

  • Point Spread: Navy -16.5
  • Moneyline Charlotte +550
  • Moneyline Navy -850
  • Over/Under 55.5

Charlotte will have difficulty stopping Navy’s rushing attack. Navy had an extra week of preparation with Notre Dame next week; Charlotte fell 14-0 when facing them off last season against Navy.

Prediction: Navy 27  Charlotte 10

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Navy -16.5
  • Navy to roll on the ground
  • Navy extra week to prepare
  • Navy at home
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No. 14 Texas A&M at Mississippi State

  • Point Spread: Texas A&M -14.5
  • Moneyline Texas A&M -650
  • Moneyline Mississippi State +460
  • Over/Under 56.5

The Bulldogs have managed to cover massive spreads against Texas and Georgia. Freshman quarterback Michael Van Buren Jr. can be inconsistent. Still, their home venue should help against Texas A&M coming off of its bye week – especially considering they are 4-4 S/U since joining the SEC.

Prediction: Texas A&M 27  Mississippi State 17

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Mississippi State +14.5
  • Aggies will win
  • Van Buren inconsistent
  • Mississippi State at home
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No. 8 LSU at Arkansas

  • Point Spread: LSU -2.5
  • Moneyline LSU -137
  • Moneyline Arkansas +114
  • Over/Under 55.5

LSU is coming off of an emotional win against Ole Miss and has seen its line increase by one half point for their road matchup against Arkansas. Arkansas had a bye week to prepare against LSU’s high-flying passing attack led by Garrett Nussmeier’s 18 touchdown passes in SEC play. All four previous meetings between these teams have been decided by three points or less while Arkansas averages 199 rushing yards per game.

Prediction: LSU 27  Arkansas 24

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet LSU -2.5
  • Arkansas tough at home
  • Nussmeier to play well
  • Arkansas at home
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No. 5 Georgia at No. 1 Texas

  • Point Spread: Texas -3.5
  • Moneyline Georgia +142
  • Moneyline Texas -172
  • Over/Under 55.5

Texas has been more complete this year compared to Georgia, ranking top 10 in scoring offense and defense, respectively. Georgia forced only five turnovers this season while not having a consistent running game. Should Texas average four yards more on each run attempt? Then Georgia will be in trouble! Even so, underdogs have covered in both top-five showdowns this season.

Prediction: Texas 20  Georgia 26

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Texas -3.5
  • Georgia offense to struggle
  • Texas at home
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No. 17 Kansas State at West Virginia

  • Point Spread: Kansas State -3.5
  • Moneyline Kansas State -138
  • Moneyline West Virginia +115
  • Over/Under 54.5

West Virginia boasts a strong run defense (130.0 yards per game, which allows just 3.6 yards per carry), but they allowed 200-plus rushing yards against Penn State and Kansas respectively.  Kansas State boasts three players averaging at least 6.0 yards per carry in DJ Giddens, Dylan Edwards and Avery Johnson; provided Johnson protects the ball, then they should have no issues this Saturday against West Virginia’s run defense.

Prediction: Kansas State 31  West Virginia 17

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Kansas State -3.5
  • Kansas State to run for more than 200 yards
  • West Virginia at home
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UCF at No. 9 Iowa State

  • Point Spread: Iowa State -13.5
  • Moneyline UCF +420
  • Moneyline Iowa State -580
  • Over/Under 48.5

Iowa State’s Cyclones have covered five straight games and will face a UCF team that has struggled to score over the past three. Last week, UCF turned to Jacurri Brown at quarterback; along with RJ Harvey, they could challenge Iowa State’s defense in the running game; however, Rocco Becht should remain comfortable facing an opponent with an average completion percentage of 68.9% allowed.

Prediction: Iowa State 34  UCF 17

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Iowa State -13.5
  • Iowa State to roll
  • UCF defense to struggle
  • Iowa State at home
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No. 21 SMU at Stanford

  • Point Spread: SMU -14.5
  • Moneyline SMU -650
  • Moneyline Stanford +460
  • Over/Under 54.5

SMU had a bye week to prepare for this clash with Stanford. Kevin Jennings has led them at quarterback with an impressive 74% completion percentage since taking over as their starter. Stanford has failed to cover as underdogs the past three weeks, which may make keeping up with an offense averaging 40.8 points per game challenging given recent road trips taken against Syracuse, Clemson, and Notre Dame.

Prediction: SMU 37  Stanford 13

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet SMU -14.5
  • Kevin Jennings is on fire
  • SMU easy
  • Stanford at home
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