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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Latest College Football News & Rumors / NCAA Football Week 7: Betting All Top 25 Games against the Spread

NCAA Football Week 7: Betting All Top 25 Games against the Spread

Publish Date: 10/08/2024
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa

week one Against the spread: 8-8

Week Two Against the Spread 9-7

Week Three Against the Spread 10-5

Week Four Against the Spread 10-8

Week Five Against the Spread 12-7

Week Six Against the Spread 11-6

Overall 60-41

 

Week 6

No. 16 Utah at Arizona State

  • Point Spread: Utah -5.5
  • Moneyline Utah -225
  • Moneyline Arizona State +184
  • Over/Under 45.5

Thw Arizona State Sun Devils have enjoyed an exciting turnaround under second-year coach Kenny Dillingham, with Cam Skattebo averaging 5.6 yards per carry and only allowing 96 yards on three yards per carry against. Utah had its bye week last week while their quarterback situation remains unknown; however, Utah defeated the Sun Devils 55-3 last season ATS (but only managed one cover within seven points) against Power 4 opponents.

Prediction: Utah 27  Arizona State 21

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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Utah -5.5
  • Utah QB situation influx
  • Utah better team
  • ASU at home
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South Carolina at No. 7 Alabama

  • Point Spread: Alabama -21.5
  • Moneyline South Carolina +1000
  • Moneyline Alabama -2100
  • Over/Under 51.5

How will Alabama rebound after suffering an unexpected defeat against Vanderbilt? South Carolina recently lost 27-3 to Ole Miss, but managed to cover in their 30-6 road victory at Kentucky. Alabama struggled defensively during their defeat at Vanderbilt; Vanderbilt ranks 20th while South Carolina ranks 120th when it comes to third-down conversion rates – something Alabama can capitalize upon in the second half, when Jalen Milroe and Ryan Williams connect for two touchdowns!

Prediction: Alabama 38  South Carolina 13

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Alabama -21.5
  • Milroe to dominate
  • Gamecocks offense not good enough
  • Bama at home
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No. 10 Clemson at Wake Forest

  • Point Spread: Clemson -19.5
  • Moneyline Clemson -1200
  • Moneyline Wake Forest +720
  • Over/Under 60.5

Clemson has been on an ACC roll ever since its season-opening loss to Georgia, covering three of four games. But due to a two-point drop from its open, Wake Forest may prove more difficult to count on given that they’ve allowed 30 or more points every game this year and possess one of the worst defenses in the ACC. We trust Clemson will find ways to stop their opponents on the road!

Prediction: Clemson 41  Wake Forest 17

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Clemson -19.5
  • Clemson is too good
  • Wake Forest offense to struggle
  • Wake Forest at home
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No. 21 Missouri at UMass

  • Point Spread Missouri -27.5
  • Moneyline Missouri -7000
  • Moneyline UMASS +2000
  • Over/Under 53.5

Missouri is coming off an embarrassing loss against Texas A&M and now has a game at UMass with their average 19-point-per-game Minutemen quarterback Taisun Phommahanh to try to slow them down on offense. Missouri could use some much-needed help offensively and could pull away with an impressive first-half lead behind Brady Cook.

Prediction: Missouri 41  UMASS 7

DraftKings
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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Missouri -27.5
  • Brady Cook to roll
  • UMASS not enough offense
  • UMASS at home
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No. 1 Texas vs. No. 18 Oklahoma

  • Point Spread: Texas -14.5
  • Moneyline Texas -780
  • Moneyline Oklahoma +530
  • Over/Under 49.5

Most recent meetings between these teams has seen nine one-score matchups over ten meetings. This spread is huge and Oklahoma is still a good team in a rivalry game. Texas wins but that spread is too big.

Prediction: Texas 34  Oklahoma 21

DraftKings
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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Oklahoma +14.5
  • Ewers big day
  • Oklahoma to struggle on offense
  • Spread to big
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Purdue at No. 23 Illinois

  • Point Spread: Illinois -19.5
  • Moneyline Purdue -1400
  • Moneyline Illinois +800
  • Over/Under 50.5

The Boilermakers have only averaged 11 points during a four-game losing streak and recently suffered a 52-6 setback at Wisconsin. Illinois does not tend to overpower opponents – particularly following its bye week when quarterback Luke Altmyer can hopefully keep control of any turnovers that arise. This Purdue team is so bad that the Illini will cover.

Prediction: Purdue 34  Purdue 10

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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Illinois -19.5 highlights=
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No. 4 Penn State at USC

  • Point Spread: Penn State -4.5
  • Moneyline Penn State -196
  • Moneyline USC +162
  • Over/Under 48.5

USC is in trouble following its shocking loss at Minnesota, but can they stop Penn State’s rushing attack? USC ranks 17th in run defense; therefore, Penn State can use Nick Singleton and Kaytron Allen against an opponent that allowed an average of 5.33 yards per carry during Big Ten play. Miller Moss should find success against the Penn State secondary. Cross-country tests become more evident now; can the Nittany Lions pass their road test?

Prediction: Penn State 27   USC 24

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4.6/5
Tip: Bet USC +4.5
  • Moss to Play well
  • Penn State wins on the ground
  • USC at home
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Cal at No. 22 Pitt

  • Point Spread: Pitt -3.5
  • Moneyline Cal +130
  • Moneyline Pitt -156
  • Over/Under 59.5

Cal’s season came crashing to a halt against Miami in Week 6, but now it faces Pitt, which finally finds itself ranked. Eli Holstein ranks third in the ACC with 15 touchdown passes for Pitt. Cal is coming off an emotionally devastating loss and the travel will not help their cause.

Prediction: Pitt 26  Cal 20

DraftKings
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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Pitt -3.5
  • Eli Holstein to play well
  • Cal has to travel cross country
  • Pitt at home
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Stanford at No. 11 Notre Dame

  • Point Spread: Notre Dame -23.5
  • Moneyline Stanford +1400
  • Moneyline Notre Dame -4000
  • Over/Under 44.5

Notre Dame boasts an excellent run defense that only allows an average of 3.3 yards per carry fo. Notre Dame which ranks sixth in pass efficiency defense and can potentially move even closer towards playoff contention with yet another impressive win. The Irish are the better team and win easily, but that -23.5 points is a lot.

Prediction: Notre Dame 31  Stanford 14

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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Stanford +23.5
  • The run game will dominate
  • Turnovers will be crucial
  • Irish at home
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Arizona at No. 14 BYU

  • Point Spread: BYU -4.5
  • Moneyline Arizona +146
  • Moneyline BYU -178
  • Over/Under 49.5

BYU will aim to remain unbeaten this season against an inconsistent Wildcats squad coming off of an upset loss at Texas Tech. BYU currently ranks fourth in Big 12 pass defense and must find ways to limit Tetairoa McMillan, an All-American receiver.

Prediction:  BYU 27  Arizona 20

DraftKings
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4.6/5
Tip: Bet BYU -4.5
  • BYU rolling
  • Wildcats coming off shocking loss
  • Arizona at home
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Mississippi State at No. 5 Georgia

  • Point Spread: Georgia -32.5
  • Moneyline Mississippi State
  • Moneyline Georgia
  • Over/Under 53.5

Georgia, which has failed to cover in three out of the past four weeks, faces another massive spread this week against Mississippi State, who allow an average of 212.8 yards on the ground per game. Mississippi State enjoyed a bye week as they prepared themselves, yet Georgia will easily outmatch Mississippi State on both sides of the ball.

Prediction: Georgia 41  Mississippi State 13

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Mississippi State +32.5
  • MGeorgia to roll on the ground
  • Carson beck big Game
  • Georgia at home
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Florida at No. 8 Tennessee

  • Point Spread: Tennessee -14.5
  • Moneyline Florida +450
  • Moneyline Tennessee +650
  • Over/Under 54.5

Who will feel more pressure in this game? Tennessee is coming off of a devastating loss at Arkansas. Meanwhile, Graham Mertz’s 86.4% completion percentage over his last two games has proven promising, while Tennessee’s defense has yet to allow 20 points a game this year.

Prediction: Tennessee 30  Florida 13

DraftKings
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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Tennessee -14.5
  • Vols to dominate
  • Vols defense controls the game
  • Vols at home
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No. 2 Ohio State at No. 3 Oregon

  • Point Spread: Ohio State -3.5
  • Moneyline Ohio State -154
  • Moneyline Oregon +158
  • Over/Under 52.5

This line has already moved up half a point and could go even higher before kickoff, indicating a high degree of value with the Buckeyes, who boast an effective team featuring Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson’s tag-team running game. Oregon will need Jordan James to get going against a defensive unit that allows only 73.6 yards per game, while Dillon Gabriel must stay out of trouble inside their red zone to prevent turnovers from occurring.

Prediction: Ohio State 34  Oregon 23

DraftKings
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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Ohio State -3.5
  • Gabriel cannot afford turnovers
  • Buckeyes offense dominite
  • Oregon at home
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No. 9 Ole Miss at No. 13 LSU

  • Point Spread: Ole Miss -2.5
  • Moneyline Ole Miss -142
  • Moneyline LSU +118
  • Over/Under 64.5

Since 2022, the LSU Tigers have lost one home game, against a Hendon Hooker-led Tennessee team. Can Ole Miss beat LSU in Death Valley? The answer will be a resounding yes.

Prediction: 

DraftKings
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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Ole Miss –2.5
  • Rebel offense to dominate
  • LSU at home
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No. 11 Iowa State at West Virginia

  • Point Spread: Iowa State -3.5
  • Moneyline Iowa State -144
  • Moneyline West Virginia +120
  • Over/Under 51.5

Iowa State may be the top team in the Big 12 this season; their resilient formula has shown success so far and their offense features three running backs who average an impressive average 5.0 yards per carry. West Virginia quarterback Garrett Greene has led them to two straight victories with an incredible 53.3% completion percentage while also amassing 80+ rushing yards during those games.

Prediction: Iowa State 23  West Virginia 17

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Iowa State -3.5
  • Cyclones to run for more than 200 yards
  • West Virginia at home
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No. 18 Kansas State at Colorado

  • Point Spread: Kansas State -4.5
  • Moneyline Kansas State -194
  • Moneyline Colorado +160
  • Over/Under 56.5

Both teams were given bye weeks to prepare for this game, with Colorado having posted a plus-7 turnover ratio over its last three victories and Shedeur Sanders testing Kansas State’s secondary. Kansas State will respond with its powerful running game led by Avery Johnson, DJ Giddens, and Dylan Edwards (a Colorado transfer). It promises an intriguing matchup of Colorado can keep things close by avoiding turnovers.

Prediction: Kansas State 31 Colorado 28

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Colorado +4.5
  • Kansas State wins on the ground
  • Wildcats gpass defence to struggle
  • Colorado at home
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No. 17 Boise State at Hawaii

  • Point Spread: Boise State -21.5
  • Moneyline Boise State -1700
  • Moneyline Hawaii +880
  • Over/Under 61.5

Ashton Jeanty averages 10.9 yards per carry with 16 touchdowns for Boise State as the nation’s leading running rusher. Boise State leads FBS with 50.6 points per game and has won nine out of the past ten match-ups between them, but they haven’t played since 2020.

Prediction: BYU 44  Hawaii 13

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Boise State -21.5
  • Jeanty to run for 200 Plus yards
  • Boise State easy
  • Hawaii at home
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