NCAA Football Week 6: Betting All Top 25 Games against the Spread

week one Against the spread: 8-8

Week Two Against the Spread 9-7

Week Three Against the Spread 10-5

Week Four Against the Spread 10-8

Week Five Against the Spread 12-7

Overall 49-35

Week 6

Syracuse at No. 25 UNLV

• Point Spread: UNLV -6.5
• Moneyline Syracuse +190
• Moneyline UNLV -235
• Over/Under 58.5

The Rebels are undefeated against the spread, led by dual-threat quarterback Hajj-Malik Williams’ performance against Fresno State in their 59-14 win. Kyle McCord leads the Orangemen with 364.8 passing yards per game. However, this line tacked off half a point from its initial opening figure due to their ability to keep games close. Dyracuse is good enough to pull off the upset.

Prediction: Syracuse 24  UNLV 23

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Syracuse -6.5

• McCord to good
• Even matchup
• UNLV at home

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Michigan State at No. 6 Oregon

• Point Spread: Oregon -24.5
• Moneyline Michigan State +1400
• Moneyline Oregon -4000
• Over/Under 52.5

Michigan State head coach Jonathan Smith knows how difficult the Ducks can be since he previously led Oregon State. Michigan State is currently 130th in FBS in terms of turnovers – something Oregon quarterback Dillon Gabriel can exploit! Michigan State allows an impressive 3.1 yards per attempt run defence while Dillon Gabriel leads with an 81% completion percentage and no turnovers of his own, thus making an unlikely victory against them likely at home against Michigan State under Dan Lanning’s guidance a reality.

Prediction: Oregon 41  Michigan State 13

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Oregon -24.5

• Gabriel to dominate
• Spartans good against the run
• Ducks at home

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No. 9 Missouri at No. 25 Texas A&M

• Point Spread: Texas A&M -1.5
• Moneyline Missouri +112
• Moneyline Texas A&M -134
• Over/Under 48.5

Missouri had a bye week to prepare for Texas A&M – currently tied with UNLV at No. 25 after beating Arkansas 21-17 – which opened as an underdog line and hasn’t changed much from then. Missouri boasts a balanced offense averaging 206.5 rushing yards per game behind Nate Noel, while their defense limits opponents to less than 50% completion percentage on defense. Missouri is undervalued here, but we believe it can pass its road test.

Prediction: Missouri 27  Texas A&M 24

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet BYU +3.5

• Missouri is undervalued
• Texas A&M will struggle to throw
• Aggies at home

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SMU at No. 22 Louisville

• Point Spread: Louisville -6.5
• Moneyline SMU +195
• Moneyline Louisville -240
• Over/Under 56.5

How much of an impact has the loss to Notre Dame had on Louisville following three turnovers? SMU averages 53 points each game over its last two wins against TCU and Florida State, creating the potential for a high-scoring shootout. SMU ranks second in ACC with 205.6 yards rushing per game average and has been 1-5 against the spread as road underdogs under Rhett Lashlee, though here they could prove an exception in a close-call situation.

Prediction: Louisville 37   SMU 30

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Louisville -6.5

• Mustangs roll on the ground
• Cardinals roll through the air
• Cardinals at home

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UCLA at No. 7 Penn State

• Point Spread: Penn State -27.5
• Moneyline UCLA +2500
• Moneyline Penn State -10000
• Over/Under 46.5

UCLA has covered in its losses to LSU and Oregon over the last two weeks under first-year coach Deshaun Foster, showing improvement under tough road matchups against LSU and Oregon. Now facing Penn State on its home field for its road matchup against Nick Singleton and Kaytron Allen’s tag team of 107.3 rushing yards per game, this task looks daunting.

Prediction: Penn State 41  UCLA 17

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet UCLA +27.5

• Nittany Lions run wild
• UCLA to struggle on offense
• Penn State at home

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Auburn at No. 5 Georgia

• Point Spread: Georgia -24.5
• Moneyline Auburn +1400
• Moneyline Georgia -4000
• Over/Under 42.5

Auburn boasts a tough run defense, so Carson Beck must start strong this time. Georgia won their previous three meetings against Auburn by an average margin of 23.3 points each game; their record as road underdogs under Hugh Freeze stands at 1-1-1 against spread betting odds (although Georgia won all three meetings were won comfortably by Georgia). The Tigers have proven capable of beating oddsmakers since Hugh Freeze took charge.

Prediction: Georgia 41 Auburn 16

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Georgia -24.5 highlights=

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Iowa at No. 3 Ohio State

• Point Spread: Ohio State -20.5
• Moneyline Iowa +880
• Moneyline Ohio State -2000
• Over/Under 45.5

Ohio State ranks fifth in scoring offense (48.8) and defense (6.8) among FBS schools. Iowa boasts an elite run defense (62.8 yards per game), whether or not TreVeyon Henderson (8.9 pg.) and Quinshon Judkins (8.3 pcs.) is a whole different issue. Iowa’s defense will hold up for a while, but Hawkeye’s offense will struggle.

Prediction: Ohio State 37 Iowa 10

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Ohio State -20.5

• Buckeyes passing game to be the difference
• Iowa must throw the ball well
• Ohio State at home

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No. 12 Ole Miss at South Carolina

• Point Spread: Ole Miss -9.5
• Moneyline Ole Miss -350
• Moneyline South Carolina +275
• Over/Under 53.5

The Rebels are reeling after suffering a stunning defeat against Kentucky and now face the Gamecocks, who had an extended bye week to prepare. Will South Carolina’s pass rush land against Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart and Tre Harris, who form an explosive combination? This second half could get wild if South Carolina can slow down Ole Miss’s offense; for Ole Miss, however, limiting penalties while on the road will be key.

Prediction: Ole Miss 38  South Carolina 28

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Ole Miss -9.5

• Jaxson Dart to play well
• Gamecocks extra week to prepare
• Gamecocks at home

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No. 21 Oklahoma at Auburn

• Point Spread: Oklahoma -2.5
• Moneyline Oklahoma -130
• Moneyline Auburn +108
• Over/Under 45.5

Oklahoma and Auburn both face quarterback controversies; Oklahoma could opt for freshman Michael Hawkins over Jackson Arnold, while Auburn might opt for Payton Thorne over Hank Brown as starting quarterbacks. Should both rookies start this game, turnovers will certainly occur; Auburn boasts an astonishing ten turnover ratio through four games, while Oklahoma is not known to make many errors on defense, with Hawkins as quarterback making enough plays to offset errors and seal victory on SEC road trips for Oklahoma.

Prediction: Oklahoma 24  Auburn 17

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Oklahoma -2.5

• The run game will dominate
• Turnovers will be crucial
• Auburn at home

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No. 23 Indiana (-14) at Northwestern

• Point Spread: Indiana -13.5
• Moneyline Indiana -650
• Moneyline Northwestern +460
• Over/Under 41.5

Indiana, with an undefeated record and 48.8 points scored per game under first-year coach Curt Cignetti and quarterback Kurtis Rourke, will face a Northwestern defence that averages only 12.5 points against Power 4 opponents, which had seen its line increase by one point from when originally opened. Will home-field advantage help change Northwestern defense’s fortunes? They have been 7-4 against the spread as an underdog under David Braun.

Prediction: Indiana 31  Northwestern 10

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Indiana -13.5

• Hoosiers to dominate
• Wildcats offense is bad
• Northwestern at home

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No. 1 Alabama at Vanderbilt

• Point Spread: Alabama -23.5
• Moneyline Alabama -2500
• Moneyline Vanderbilt +1100
• Over/Under 54.5

There remains the possibility of Alabama having an emotional letdown early. We don’t expect that to happen; Jalen Milroe should continue his Heisman Trophy campaign while connecting with excellent freshman Ryan Williams (averages 28.9 yards per catch), who averages 28.9 yards per catch himself. Nonetheless, Vanderbilt still could steal one here; Diego Pavia’s no interceptions make him a good test for Alabama’s secondary and Vandy is a much-improved team this season.

Prediction: Alabama 45  Vanderbilt 17

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Alabama -23.5

• Milroe to roll
• Ryan Williams big Game
• Bama at home

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No. 15 Clemson at Florida State

• Point Spread: Clemson -14.5
• Moneyline Clemson -650
• Moneyline Florida State +460
• Over/Under 41.5

This game was supposed to be one of the keystones in the ACC race, according to The Inside Zone’s Matt Fortuna; Florida State was listed as a four-point favorite back in June – yet now, they appear as mere spoilers against the Clemson’s Tigers, failing to score over 16 points in any of their last four games, running into one of FBS’ hottest offensive teams led by Cade Klubnik who has seen his passer rating increase more than 50 points since last season.

Prediction: Clemson 38   Florida State 13

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Clemson -14.5

• Tigers to dominate
• Clemson defense controls the game
• Klubnik to have a big game

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Utah State at No. 21 Boise State

• Point Spread: Boise St -26.5
• Moneyline Utah St +1400
• Moneyline Boise St -4600
• Over/Under 66.5

Boise State is making its case as the best Group of 5 team. Ashton Jeanty averages 10.3 yards per carry and 13 touchdowns on average – yet is rarely discussed for Heisman consideration. Utah State ranks 122nd overall in total defense (455.4 yards per game), allowing 46.5 points per game against USC and Temple this season on the road. Do not be intimidated by an extremely wide spread.

Prediction: Boise State 52 Utah State 10

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Boise State -26.5

• Jeanty to play well
• Boise State offense dominite
• Noise State at home

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No. 10 Michigan at Washington

• Point Spread: Washington -2.5
• Moneyline Michigan +118
• Moneyline Washington -140
• Over/Under 41.5

How is Michigan a three-point underdog? Michigan will play its inaugural road game, and Washington quarterback Will Rogers has 10 TDs with no interceptions so far this season, testing Michigan’s defense that may or may not include All-American cornerback Will Johnson (shoulder injury). Meanwhile, Washington remains one of the most penalized teams in college football (80.8 yards per game).

Prediction: Washington 23  Michigan 20

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Washington -2.5

• Rogers to play well
• Washington at home

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No. 4 Tennessee at Arkansas

• Point Spread: Tennessee -13.5
• Moneyline Tennessee -500
• Moneyline Arkansas +375
• Over/Under 60.5

Tennessee used its bye week to prepare for Arkansas, as they rank among the top five teams in FBS scoring offense (54.0 ppg.) and scoring defense (7.0 ppg.). Arkansas recently suffered a tough road loss but has still proven itself as a solid underdog this season—including going 3-0 ATS as underdogs.Tennessee is led by Dylan Sampson, who averages an impressive 6.5 yards per carry with 10 touchdowns this year!

Prediction: Tennessee 34  Arkansas 16

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Tennessee -13.5

• Sampson to have big game
• Vols at home

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No. 11 USC at Minnesota

• Point Spread: USC -8.5
• Moneyline Minnesota +245
• Moneyline USC -310
• Over/Under 50.5

Both teams lost to Michigan by identical scores on the road. How will Minnesota’s No. 1-ranked FBS pass defense hold up against USC offense led by Miller Moss’ 295.5 average passing yards per conference play with six touchdown passes and two interceptions?

USC should settle in quickly with Woody Marks leading the Trojan running game and Miller Moss averaging 295.5 passing yards per game with 6 touchdown passes and only two interceptions!? Minnesota’s pass defense should hold firm against USC, with Woody Marks leading the running game, which will be the difference in this game.

Prediction: USC 27  Minnesota 20

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Minnesota +8.5

• Woddy Marks will be the difference
• Gophers good defensively
• Minnesota at home

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Baylor at No. 16 Iowa State

• Point Spread: Iowa State -12.5
• Moneyline Baylor +350
• Moneyline Iowa State -465
• Over/Under 45.5

Four of the last five meetings between these schools have been decided by one score, and road teams have won in each case. Will history repeat itself this time for Baylor? Their offense found newfound vigor with quarterback Sawyer Robertson but will it have success against an aggressive Texas defense that allows just 7.3 points per game while boasting a plus-7 turnover margin?

Prediction: Iowa State 20  Baylor 16

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Baylor +12.5

• Sawuer Robertson to play well
• Bothe defenses to play well
• Baylor at home

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No. 8 Miami at Cal

• Point Spread: Miami -10.5
• Moneyline Miami -400
• Moneyline California +310
• Over/Under 54.5

ESPN’s College GameDay will make its inaugural visit to Cal, creating excitement among a program allowing just 12.8 points per game. The Golden Bears defeated Auburn and played close against Florida State before falling by three points at Florida State due to Cameron Ward, one of the hottest quarterbacks in FBS. Ward averages 356.4 passing yards per game and averaged 348.5 passing yards with six touchdowns and three interceptions against Cal while at Washington State. As long as Miami limits turnovers, they should do fine here.

Prediction: Miami 27  Cal 13

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Miami -10.5

• Close game
• Miami better
• Cal at home

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