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College Football Week 11 Predictions: TCU/Texas, Ala/Ole Miss, Ark/LSU, and Illinois/Purdue

Publish Date: 11/11/2022
Fact checked by: Mike Goodpaster

College Football Week 11 Predictions

 

In Week 10, LSU made a big splash in the College Football ocean, beating Bama along with a variety of exciting games, including 9 ranked teams losing. And of course, let’s not forget to mention Georgia’s dominant win over #1 Tennessee. For Week 11 Alabama goes on the road again plus marquee matchups in the Big-12, ACC, and the American. Most of us thought Clemson was ranked too high, but LSU earned their Top-10 ranking by delivering the goods. Can a two-loss SEC team make the playoffs is the hot topic but let’s make sure the Tigers close the season out first.

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Marquee Matchups

#4 TCU vs #18 Texas: The BIG-12 marquee matchups have been delivered every week throughout the season. TCU is in the midst of a brutal stretch and based on the conference standings the Horned Frogs have to beat Texas or Baylor. Beyond a road game in what will surely be a hostile environment injury concerns for both QB Max Duggan and WR Quentin Johnston for TCU are troublesome. Neither of these BIG-12 foes (for now) has a great defense the Longhorns are clearly better though. The run defense for TCU will have its hands full with Texas RB Bijan Robinson and QB Quinn Ewers should be able to produce as well. TCU may run out of luck, having staged comebacks in 4 separate victories. If Max and Quentin play, TCU will cover. We have you covered if you are looking for the best football betting sites.

The Pick: Texas -7 because of the injury stuff.

 

#9 Alabama vs. #11 Ole Miss: It’s been a long time since we’ve seen a 2-loss Bama before the Iron Bowl. The recent “Dynasty is over” thing has been overblown given it was two losses on the road by 4 points combined. That said both sides of the line are not the standard Crimson Tide pedigree per se along with the lack of explosiveness on the outside. The key in this tilt will be containing Ole Miss’s running game and Alabama pounding the rock on a weak run defense. Not saying it will be a blowout at the half but look for Alabama to take out their anger on Ole Miss.

The Pick: Alabama -12.

Check out the top odds for Ala/Miss

Under The Radar

 

#17 Tulane vs #22 Central Florida: We got ourselves a big one here inside the AAC, and it’s basically a pick’em. Central Florida will look to keep the crowd out of the game with the ground game. Whereas Tulane will have their chances to air it out in spots to keep UCF guessing. Tulane has the best win of the two in K-State, that fact along with home cooking is enough to make me side with the Green Wave. Personally, I’m staying away from this one from a betting perspective unless we’re talking the over.

The Pick: Tulane -1.5

 

#21 Illinois vs. Purdue: Much like the ACC Coastal (not this year) comes down to the wire every year it seems that’s what’s happening in the Big Ten West. The Fighting Illini had a chance to win the division last week but ended up losing to a downtrodden Michigan State. Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Iowa who beat Purdue in Week 10 all stand at 3-3. The Boilermakers must win this game to keep their hopes alive. Illinois strong defense and rush attack behind RB Chase Brown will be the key to victory. Purdue will need to hit some big plays in the passing game.

The Pick: Purdue +6.5 but Illinois wins a close contest. 

 

Saturday Upset Special 

 

#16 North Carolina will upset a limping Wake Forest squad or at least cover as a +4 road

 

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Hardcore Barnburners

 

#7 LSU vs. Arkansas: This has all the makings of classic hangover game for the Tigers after beating Alabama in dramatic overtime fashion. The combination of Razorbacks QB KJ Jefferson and RB Raheim Sanders will need to be the driving force to keep that LSU offense off the field. Arkansas’s schedule and injuries have been brutal, an even after losing to Liberty don’t be shocked if they somehow bounce back in Week 11. In the end the Tigers have come to far only to lose their lead in the SEC West.

 

The Pick: LSU -3

 

#19 Kansas State vs. Baylor: The Bears got off to a rocky start losing a few winnable games but have put together a string of 3 victories and now find themselves in a good spot. Losing 2 out of their last 3 games Kansas State is on the ropes but still have some hope. The stakes are high for both teams which should give fans a helluva barnburner. Has Baylor steadied the ship or will Kansas State get back on track?  Check out the top football odds for betting on college football.

 

The Pick: Baylor -2.5 and it literally could be a game-winning FG.

 

 

Against The Spread

 

Rutgers +10 Michigan State

 

Purdue +6.5 #21 Illinois

 

Washington +13.5 versus #6 Oregon

 

 

Quick Hits Recap & My Top-4 Plus 2 More

 

-My Top 4: Georgia, Ohio State, TCU, Michigan, Tennessee, & LSU.

 

 

-LSU QB Jayden Daniels had a combined 3 TD’s in route to a gutsy overtime victory going for the two-point conversion to defeat bitter rival Alabama 32-31.

 

 

-Notre Dame had two 100-yard rushers in a decisive 35-14 victory over Clemson, Irish running backs Logan Diggs (114) and Audric Estime (104) overall ND totaling 263 rushing yards for 5.4 a carry.

 

-Texas RB stud Bijan Robinson had 30 carries for 209 rushing yards and a touchdown in the Longhorns 34-27 victory over K-State.

 

-Tarheels WT Josh Downs had 15 catches for 166 and a TD in a 31-28 North Carolina victory over Virginia.

 

-SMU QB Tanner Mardecai set a school/AAC record throwing for an unbelievable 9 touchdowns tying a NCAA record in the process. The Mustangs won in a 77-63 shootout versus Houston.

 

-SMU/Houston set a NCAA record for most points in regulation set back in 2016.

 

-Incarnate Word QB Lindsey Scott has thrown for 51 TD’s this season. Last Saturday he threw for 7 touchdowns in the first half in a victory over HCU.

 

Written by Chris Carlson Host of The College Ball Show Podcast available at blogtalkradio.com/ropeadoperadio &

Follow on Twitter @RopeADopeRadio

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