Prop Picks for Saturday
1. Bear Bachmeier Over 230.5 Passing Yards
Bachmeier has quietly managed a strong passing output (1,693 yards through eight games). With BYU facing a Texas Tech secondary that has been vulnerable to big plays in the pass game, there’s a favorable matchup. Expect BYU to lean on play-action (boosted by Martin’s run threat) and get Bachmeier into rhythm early. Setting the line at 230.5 passing yards looks reachable.
Tip: Bear Bachmeier over 230.5 pass yards
- BYU QB strong yardage pace
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Texas Tech pass defense wiggle room
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play-action set by L.J. Martin
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2. L.J. Martin Over 70.5 Rushing Yards
Martin is BYU’s lead back and his 789 rush yards this season (≈98.6 yards/game) underscore his big-game upside.
FOX Sports+1
Texas Tech has shown some susceptibility to the run and BYU will likely emphasize ground control to set up their offense. A line of 70.5 yards is within reach.
Tip: L.J. Martin over 70.5 rush yards
- Martin’s heavy usage
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BYU run emphasis vs big opponent
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Tech rush defense questionable
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3. Behren Morton Over 1.5 Total Touchdowns
Morton has 15 passing TDs this season and the Red Raiders lean on his arm to generate explosive scoring.
FOX Sports
Facing a BYU defense that will likely be tested through multiple drives, Morton has upside to find the end zone both through the air and possibly on a scramble or designed run. Betting him for 2+ total TDs (passing + rushing) is compelling.
Tip: Behren Morton over 1.5 total TDs
- Morton big-game TD production
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Texas Tech offense tempo
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BYU defense under pressure
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4. Game Total Over 55.5 Points
Both offenses bring firepower: BYU at ~36.3 ppg, Texas Tech at ~43.6 ppg per recent stats.
FOX Sports+1
With BYU’s run game and play-action, and Texas Tech’s tempo and big-play ability, the stage is set for a back-and-forth affair. The total line of 55.5 points appears fair and tilts toward the over.
Tip: Game total over 55.5 points
- High-scoring offenses
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Big 12 open style
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Both teams offensive strength
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Game Prediction: BYU at Texas Tech
Texas Tech enters as the favorite with its explosive offense and home-field environment in Lubbock. BYU brings a balanced, physical attack and the ability to grind out drives behind Martin and Bachmeier. Ultimately, I expect Texas Tech to take control with a few quick strikes, but BYU will respond and keep it close.
Prediction:
Texas Tech 38, BYU 31 The Red Raiders jump early, BYU battles back through the second quarter, but Texas Tech’s depth and big-play ability give them the edge.
