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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Latest College Football News, Picks and Betting Predictions / Arch Manning Is About to Find Out Whether Texas Really Deserves to Be No. 1

Arch Manning Is About to Find Out Whether Texas Really Deserves to Be No. 1

Publish Date: 09/23/2026
Fact checked by: Mark Lewis
Texas owns the No. 1 ranking, an undefeated record and one of the biggest victories of the young college football season.

Texas owns the No. 1 ranking, an undefeated record and one of the biggest victories of the young college football season.

What the Longhorns do not yet have is a consistently dependable offense.

That could become a serious problem Saturday when Texas travels to Neyland Stadium for its SEC opener against No. 14 Tennessee. The Volunteers are also 3–0, ESPN’s College GameDay will be in Knoxville, and more than 100,000 fans will be waiting to make Arch Manning’s first major road test as uncomfortable as possible.

Texas proved it could survive against Ohio State. It proved its defense could overwhelm an inferior opponent against UTSA.

Now the Longhorns must prove they deserve to be ranked ahead of every other team in the country.

That responsibility begins with Manning.

Texas Has the Best Win in College Football

There is a strong argument supporting Texas’ No. 1 ranking.

The Longhorns defeated defending national power Ohio State 24–23, rallying from a 23–3 fourth-quarter deficit in one of the most impressive comebacks of the season. Manning came alive after three uneven quarters and directed three scoring drives during the final period.

Hollywood Smothers scored the winning touchdown on a one-yard run with less than a minute remaining, completing a comeback that immediately changed the national championship conversation.

Manning finished with 196 passing yards, with 133 coming after halftime. He demonstrated poise when Texas could no longer afford another mistake and delivered with the game on the line.

That victory is the primary reason Texas occupies the top spot.

The Longhorns did not defeat an overrated opponent or dominate an overmatched nonconference team. They beat Ohio State in a game featuring two of the country’s most talented rosters.

The problem is that Texas has looked like the best team in the country for only brief stretches.

The UTSA Performance Created More Questions

Texas defeated UTSA 30–6, but the final margin concealed another uneven offensive performance.

Manning completed only 16 of 32 passes for 161 yards and two touchdowns. At one point, after throwing his second touchdown pass, he had completed just four of his previous 14 attempts for 40 yards.

The Longhorns went seven consecutive possessions without scoring a touchdown. That stretch included three punts, two failed fourth-down attempts and two field goals.

Texas eventually pulled away because its defense completely overwhelmed the UTSA offense. The Roadrunners managed only 143 total yards and never produced a play longer than 13 yards. That allowed the Longhorns to survive their offensive inconsistency without experiencing any genuine danger.

Tennessee will not be that forgiving.

The Volunteers have enough offensive talent to punish Texas if the Longhorns repeatedly waste possessions. Manning cannot complete half his passes, disappear for an extended stretch and assume the defense will prevent Tennessee from building an advantage.

The Longhorns do not need Manning to be perfect.

They need him to be consistent.

Neyland Stadium Will Test Manning Differently

Texas played Ohio State at home. The Longhorns were surrounded by their own fans and had the opportunity to settle into the game without dealing with a hostile environment.

Knoxville will be completely different.

Neyland Stadium is one of the loudest and most intimidating venues in college football. Communication becomes difficult, offensive tackles have trouble hearing the snap count, and one early mistake can create the emotional momentum Tennessee needs.

Manning must manage protections, identify pressure and prevent the atmosphere from accelerating his decision-making. Texas also must avoid false starts and procedural penalties that create obvious passing situations.

The famous last name will only increase the attention.

Arch’s uncle, Peyton Manning, became a Tennessee legend at Neyland Stadium before being selected with the first pick in the NFL Draft. Every television broadcast will mention the family connection, and every camera will be waiting to capture Arch’s reaction if the game begins poorly.

When asked what Peyton had told him about playing at Neyland Stadium, Arch said, “Not much.”

That may be the best approach. This game cannot become about family history or the Manning name. Arch must treat it as an SEC road game requiring patience, discipline and command.

The environment will be emotional. Manning cannot allow his decisions to become emotional with it.

Tennessee Has Its Own Young Quarterback

Manning will receive most of the attention, but Tennessee quarterback Faizon Brandon may be just as important to the outcome.

The true freshman has completed 41 of 64 passes for 552 yards, six touchdowns and no interceptions through three games. He has also rushed for 137 yards and three scores.

Brandon announced himself immediately by accounting for five touchdowns in Tennessee’s 56–9 victory over Furman. He became the first SEC player since Cam Newton in 2010 to throw three touchdown passes and rush for two more in his debut.

He then helped Tennessee win 45–24 at Georgia Tech before producing 225 total yards and two touchdowns in a 42–9 victory over Kennesaw State.

Brandon has not yet faced a defense as talented as Texas.

The Longhorns can generate pressure, cover on the back end and force a freshman quarterback to process information quickly. Defensive coordinator Will Muschamp will likely disguise coverages and attempt to make Brandon hesitate.

But Brandon’s mobility changes the equation. If Texas rushes too aggressively, he can escape the pocket and turn broken plays into first downs.

Texas may have the more experienced quarterback, but Tennessee has a young player who has performed with confidence and protected the football.

Texas Must Establish Its Running Game

One of the best ways to protect Manning from the crowd is to run the ball effectively.

Texas rushed for 228 yards against UTSA, but it required 48 carries to reach that total. The Longhorns averaged fewer than five yards per attempt and did not consistently control the line of scrimmage.

Smothers, Raleek Brown and freshman Derrick Cooper Jr. give Texas several options in the backfield. Cooper rushed for 44 yards and a touchdown on 11 carries against UTSA and may have earned a larger role.

Steve Sarkisian does not need one running back to handle every carry. He needs the entire group to keep Texas ahead of the chains.

If the Longhorns consistently face second-and-6 instead of second-and-10, Sarkisian can use his complete playbook. Play-action becomes more effective, Tennessee’s pass rush must hesitate, and Manning can deliver the ball without being forced to create something on every snap.

If Texas cannot run, the pressure shifts completely to Manning.

That is exactly what Tennessee wants.

The Longhorns’ Receivers Must Help Their Quarterback

Texas possesses one of the country’s most talented receiving groups.

Cam Coleman, Ryan Wingo and Emmett Mosley give Manning the size, athleticism and explosiveness to challenge Tennessee’s secondary. Mosley played a significant role in the Ohio State comeback, finishing with five receptions for 67 yards and becoming Manning’s most dependable target during the fourth quarter.

The talent has not always translated into rhythm.

Manning has missed throws, but his receivers have also struggled at times to create separation or finish difficult catches. The Longhorns’ passing game has too frequently looked like a collection of talented individuals instead of a completely synchronized unit.

That must change in Knoxville.

Texas needs completions on early downs, quick throws that slow Tennessee’s pressure and at least two or three explosive plays. The Longhorns cannot depend on producing another miraculous fourth-quarter comeback.

Manning must give his receivers opportunities, but they must also make him look better.

Tennessee Has Its Own Injury Concern

The Volunteers will enter the game without starting tight end Ethan Davis, who suffered a season-ending ACL injury during Tennessee’s victory over Georgia Tech.

Davis’ absence removes an experienced target and creates additional pressure on Tennessee’s remaining tight ends. That could affect the Volunteers in the middle of the field and inside the red zone, particularly against a Texas defense capable of applying pressure without sending additional rushers.

Texas also has injury questions.

Star pass rusher Colin Simmons injured his foot against UTSA, although Sarkisian provided an encouraging update after the game. His availability would be significant against a mobile quarterback such as Brandon.

Texas needs Simmons and the defensive front to control the game without allowing Brandon to escape containment. If the Longhorns can force Tennessee into predictable passing situations, their experience should become a major advantage.

No. 1 Must Be Earned Every Saturday

Texas deserves credit for defeating Ohio State. That victory cannot be taken away, and no other team has produced a clearly superior win.

But the No. 1 ranking is not a lifetime achievement award.

Georgia is undefeated. Notre Dame is undefeated. Ole Miss just defeated LSU. Indiana continues to dominate opponents. Miami and several other contenders are building their own cases.

Texas cannot continue surviving on the strength of one spectacular fourth quarter.

The Longhorns were inconsistent against Ohio State and unimpressive offensively against UTSA. Their defense has played well enough to cover those problems, but SEC road games have a way of exposing weaknesses that nonconference opponents cannot exploit.

Tennessee represents the first of those tests.

A convincing Texas victory would validate the ranking and demonstrate that the Longhorns can win away from Austin. It would also give Manning another important performance in a season that could determine his Heisman standing and NFL future.

A loss would not eliminate Texas from the playoff race, but it would reveal that the Longhorns’ No. 1 ranking was based more on one comeback than four complete performances.

This Is Arch Manning’s Opportunity

Manning does not need to throw for 400 yards or account for five touchdowns.

He needs to control the game.

That means completing routine passes, avoiding turnovers, managing the noise and responding when Tennessee inevitably creates momentum. It means understanding when to attack downfield and when to accept a short gain. It means looking like an experienced quarterback rather than a talented player still searching for consistency.

Texas has already shown it can survive when Manning struggles.

Saturday will tell us whether the Longhorns can command a major road game because Manning played well from the beginning.

The ranking says Texas is the best team in college football.

Neyland Stadium is about to demand proof.

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