The Reds evened up the Battle for Ohio at one game apiece on Tuesday night, and Wednesday’s series decider looked to be a great matchup with two solid starting pitchers going for these playoff-contending teams.
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Guardians vs Reds
Run Line: Guardians -1.5
Moneyline Guardians -105
Moneyline Reds -115
Over/Under 8
These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 06/13/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Reds to Win
Bibee possesses good stuff and can locate it well while not walking many batters – one way Reds batters have managed to reach base.
Bibee should make the most of this opportunity and will pitch well, but that diesn’t guarantee a win in this game.
Lodolo has had an outstanding start to his season, yet will face one of the more difficult matchups tonight against his counterpart from Boston – Guardians rank sixth in both wRC+ and wOBA against lefties this season, giving Lodolo no advantage from this side of the platoon.
Cleveland is currently enjoying one of the finest bullpens in Major League Baseball with a 2.35 ERA versus its nearest competitor who sits at 3.03; they also lead both xFIP and FIP metrics significantly, so I don’t believe their dominance can simply be chalked up to luck; rather it indicates their skill and how the pen is being deployed.
This game is a tossup, but I think Lodolo pitches well tonight, and the Reds do just enough to squeak one out.
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Reds to Win
Lodolo to pitch well
Reds at home
Reds has pitching edge
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Guardians vs Reds Moneyline
Moneyline value exists with both teams as the odds are close for this game. I think Lodolo starting will be the difference in this game. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Reds to Win
Reds starting pitching advantage
Reds at home
Both teans playing well
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Guardians vs Reds Over/Under Analysis
The Over/Under in this game is 8. This is a tricky over/under, but I would lean towards the under. Both teams are starting excellent pitchers, and runs will be limited. This is a great matchup to conclude what has been an entertaining series.
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet the under 8
Odds favor Low scoring game
Pitching should be good for both teams
Reds should win
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Guardians vs Reds Head-to-Head
Cleveland game one of this series 5-3; the Reds bounced back with a come-from-behind 4-2 win last night, so game three will be the rubber match of this series.
Conclusion
Nick Lodolo will be the difference tonight. The Indians have been the better team up to this point in the season, but the Reds have been one of the best teams in baseball over the last three weeks, and that continues tonight at home. Reds 4 Guardians 3.
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