CFL Eastern Divisional Final Montreal Alouettes vs Toronto Argonauts: Odds, Tips, and Predictions 11/11/23

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Prediction: Bet Montreal to cover

• Over/Under: Montreal vs Toronto(50.5)
• Spread: Toronto -9.5
• Pick: Bet Montreal to cover

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The Toronto Argonauts host the Montreal Alouettes at BMO Field on Saturday, with the winner advancing to the Grey Cup. Toronto opens this contest as big 9.5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 50.5. The starting quarterbacks are Cody Fajardo and Cameron Dukes.

At this point in the season, the Toronto Argonauts have amassed 4,757 passing yards while maintaining an average of 264.3 passing yards per outing, placing them third overall in the CFL. Furthermore, their 377.9 average yard per game ranks them second overall; additionally, they average 113.7 rushing yards per game and have amassed 2,046 total passing yards thus far this season. When it comes to scoring points consistently throughout games they rank second overall with 32.8 PPG averaged throughout a regular season game.

The Argonauts rank third in the CFL for defensive performance by conceding 22.0 PPG on average per game this season. Toronto has allowed 396 total points throughout 18 contests this year, including 1,505 rushing yards (83.6 yards per contest) and seven touchdowns on the ground (83.6 per outing), 31 touchdowns through the air, 273.4 average yards per outing given up per contest (and thus 8th in CFL overall), as well as 273.4 yards per outing (2nd-best mark in CFL 8th).

Cody Fajardo was outstanding last week, throwing for 212 yards and two touchdowns while adding one interception. William Stanback led his team on the ground by running for 95 yards on 18 carries; Tyson Philpot led receiving yardage with 39 on four receptions for an average reception distance of 9.8 in this game.

The Montreal Alouettes have amassed 5,977 total yards this season and rank fifth in CFL average yards gained through ground play. Montreal has recorded 17 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns; scoring at an average rate of 24.6 PPG!

The Alouettes rank second in the CFL regarding opposition scoring, giving up an average of 21.8 points per contest and an average of 5.7 yards per run and 110.4 rushing yards per game for this season. They’ve allowed 1,987 running yards through 18 games while giving up 4,023 passing yards, which ranks them second overall; during these 18 games played they’ve averaged 223.5 yards/game via passing with an impressive completion percentage of 64.4% as well as surrendering 333.9 yards per contest, good enough for third overall place overall!

Toronto is the better team, but this point spread is way to big. Take the Als and the +9.5!

Tip:

Montreal to Cover

Best Odd

+9.5

Brand

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