Gervonta Davis vs Ryan Garcia: Odds, Tips, and Prediction 4/22/23

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4.6/5

Prediction: Bet Garcia to win

• Over/Under: Davis vs Garcia (7.5)
• Spread: Davis -290
• Pick: Bet Garcia +215

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Gervonta “Tank” Davis and Ryan Garcia will meet Saturday night on Showtime pay-per-view from Las Vegas’s T-Mobile Arena for one of the year’s biggest fights in boxing.

No, this is not a super fight, but what it is will amount to a proving ground between two young fighters that pass the eye test. Neither has beaten any great fighters yet. The winner of this fight will be set up to be one of the faces of boxing.

Tank is certainly the more polished boxer of these two, but has also relied heavily on his power in recent fights to turn the tide in his favor. I suspect Tank will start the fight tentatively as he explores Garcia’s tactics while searching for any openings. That may cause him to drop some early rounds on scorecards; however, I expect that things really heat up towards middle rounds of this bout.

By the middle of the fight I see Garcia with a slight edge on scores, but Tank makes an intentional effort to come back and hit Garcia hard – this may well be where the outcome lies.

Will Tanks power get the job done? Neither guy has went deep into a tough fight in their career and ability to take a punch and toughness will be who wins this fight.

On paper you have two power punchers with quick hands in Davis and Garcia; however, Davis doesn’t come out throwing many punches early on and Joe Goossen may see this as something they can capitalize on; however, Goossen knows enough and has seen enough fights to recognize this is a major gamble that may backfire; perhaps Garcia could gain rounds by using length and jab without taking big risks against Davis’ “downloading” style approach in the early rounds.

Davis excels as a counterpuncher, which will serve him well against Garcia who does have some defensive flaws; however, his punches will come more rapidly than what we’ve seen him handle as an experienced pro fighter; we don’t doubt his ability to handle them, but this won’t be like rolling through shots from Rolly Romero either.

The other worry for Garcia will be whether can he take a punch. He was dropped by Luke Campbell, and Davis’s power is much better than Campbell’s.

I think Garcia can take a quick early lead in this fight. Tank will come on strong in the middle rounds, and the fight will be won or lost in the Championship rounds. I think Davis is the better fighter and should win, but with so many unknowns I am taking the value pick. That is Gracia at +215.