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NCAA Basketball Michigan vs Indiana: Odds, Tips and Predictions 03/05/23

Publish Date: 03/05/2023
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa
Prediction: Bet Indiana to cover
  • Over/Under: Michigan vs Indiana (144.5)
  • Spread: Indiana -4.5
  • Pick: Bet Indiana to cover
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Michigan vs Indiana Preview

Michigan has to win this game today as they sit at 17-13 after a tough overtime loss to Illinois earlier in the week. They are considered either a first four out or last four in team according to what you look at. The Wolverines are a talented team that has underachieved this season.

The Indiana Hoosiers were the best team in the Big Ten over the last half of big ten competition. Still, the Hoosiers have struggled over the last three games, getting blown out at Michigan State and losing badly to Iowa at home. The Hoosiers should be safely in the tournament but need this win to try to get the highest seed they can.

These teams played tight earlier in the season with the Hoosiers winning by a point, expect a tight hard fought contest.

Check out the top odds for Michigan vs Indiana

Spread Moneyline Total
Bet Spread with Caesars +155 Odds From Fanduel Over 144.5 Odds from Betmgm
See Bet365 Odds -188 Odds from DraftKings See Odds from Caesars

Are the wolverines in a must-win situation?

Michigan battled Illinois to the finish but ended up losing in double overtime. This snapped their three-game winning streak. In a sign that parity is being achieved, the Wolverines fell to 17-13 overall. They are now part of a six-way tie at second place in the Big Ten with an 11-8 record. Michigan led Illinois by six points early in the game but trailed by two at halftime. With 2:35 left in regulation, the Wolverines were down by nine and seven, respectively. They then scored seven consecutive points to force the game into overtime. Michigan led by six with 1:49 left in the first overtime, but the Fighting Illini scored seven more unanswered points. The second overtime saw Michigan surrender seven of the first nine points, and that was basically the game. The Wolverines shot 44.3% from the floor, including 8 of 21 shots from three-point range. They also turned the ball over 12 times. 31 points and 16 rebounds for Hunter Dickinson led Michigan.

The Wolverines rank 129th in scoring offense, scoring an average of 73.1 points per game. Michigan averages 36.5 rebounds per game on the season and ranks 263rd for assists with 12.1 dimes per night. The Wolverines score above average defensively, ranking 162 2nd in the country in scoring defense and allowing 69.5 points per game. Jett Howard is the second best player on the team, scoring 14.4 points and 2.8 rebounds. Hunter Dickinson is the other player who has doubled his points with 18 points per game and 8.9 rebounds. Coach Juwan Howard has to thank Kobe Bufkin (13.7 ppg, 4.3 rebounds), Dug McDaniel and Terrance Williams II for their contributions. Joey Baker, Tarris Reid Jr., Will Tschetter, and Jaelin Langelyn also contribute. Michigan shot 45.1% from beyond the arc this season as a team. The Wolverines average 7.7 three-pointers per night and shoot 34.6% beyond the arc for the year. Michigan’s free throw line performance this season is below average, with 70.6% of their attempts.

Llewelyn was out for the season after sustaining a knee injury against Kentucky at the Basketball Hall of Fame London Showcase. Isaiah Barnes (undisclosed), last played on January 29th and has no timetable for his return.

Steve Risley Previews Michigan vs Indiana

Video: Michigan vs Indiana Preview W/Steve Risley: Indiana Basketball Preview

Michigan vs Indiana Preview W/Steve Risley: Indiana Basketball Preview

Big game for the Hoosiers. 

In their six previous games, Indiana has won three and lost three. They were beaten at home by Iowa in the previous contest. The Hoosiers are now at 20-10 on the season, and they are currently in that six-team logjam to take second place in Big Ten with an 11-8 conference record for the year. Indiana gave up the first eight points against Iowa and never recovered. After that, the Hoosiers couldn’t get closer than three. The margin was eleven at the half. It ballooned up to 25 in the second period as the Hawkeyes dominated. Indiana shot 43.1%, including two of eleven from beyond the arc. Iowa shot 55.6% overall, including 13 from 23 from three-point range. Trayce Jackson – Davis Indiana led the way with 26 points, 13 boards, five assists, and four steals.

The Hoosiers average 75.3 points per game for the year. This makes them 103rd among the nations teams in scoring offense. Indiana averages 35.9 rebounds per night and averages 15.4 assists per game. The Hoosiers are above average defensively, allowing an average of 68.3 points per contest. This ranks them 127 among the nation’s top in scoring defense. Trayce Jackson Davis leads the team with 20.3 rebounds and 11.1 points per game this season. He is one of only two Hoosiers players averaging double figures. Xavier Johnson contributes 9.9 points and 4.9 assists per night, but will not return this season. Mike Woodson’s team will be able to count on the contributions of Miller Kopp, Jalen Hood-Schifino (13.4 points, 4.1 rebounds, 3.8 assists), Tamar Bates, Malik Reneau and Trey Galloway. Indiana’s team shooting percentage is 49%, which is 12 the highest in the nation. The Hoosiers average 5.9 three-pointers per night and sink 37.8% of all their attempts beyond the arc. This season Indiana converted 71.6% of its charity attempts.

Head to Head

The Hoosiers beat the Wolverines in Michigan behind an impressive showing by Trayce Jackson Davis who played well when it mattered the most.

Michigan vs Indiana first matchup

Video: Indiana at Michigan | Extended Highlights | Big Ten Men's Basketball | Feb. 11, 2023

Indiana at Michigan | Extended Highlights | Big Ten Men’s Basketball | Feb. 11, 2023

Our Betting Pick for Today – Indiana -4.5

These six teams are part of a group trying to determine the seeding for next week’s Big Ten Tournament. The tournament’s seeding will be affected, and Michigan’s loss would likely be their final straw regarding March Madness. After a difficult season, the Wolverines are just 3-6 this season as the visiting team. Despite being beaten by Iowa earlier in the week, Indiana is still 14-2 at home. It will be worth paying admission for the Jackson-Davis vs Dickinson matchup. Indiana wins Senior Day with a hard-fought victory thanks to the magic of Assembly Hall and the continuity and experience factors.


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