
10-7 matchups in the NCAA Tournament tend to lead to upsets. Could that be the case for this game to be played in Lexington, Kentucky? The Bruins are a great defensive team but they sometimes struggle to score, which makes them a perfect candidate to get upset in the first round of this tournament.
It might be tempting to choose the Aggies, given how well their offense has performed throughout the season. However, UCLA also faced a setback, being eliminated in the first round of the Big Ten tournament by Wisconsin, losing 86-70. One significant factor in this matchup is the Aggies’ ranking of 149th in defensive efficiency. Despite both teams being solid defensively, this game may turn out to be low-scoring. UCLA’s Tyler Bilodeau could have a standout performance;. At the same time, he averages 13.9 points per game, expect UCLA’s Eric Daily Jr., Sebastian Mack, and Kobe Johnson to contribute enough points to get past the Aggies. Utah State will be eager to improve its NCAA Tournament record of 7-26. Nevertheless, I’d recommend going with UCLA in this matchup. However, if the Bruins struggle to find their offensive rhythm, they could have difficulty catching up, making an upset a possibility.
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The line is 142.5 and I will bet the under as I think this is a game played in the sixties.
Which ever team controls the pace will win this game. It is much easier to slow the game down than speed it up. DUCLA is much netter on defense than Utah State and that will be the difference.
Bet UCLA -5.5
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