
UCONN Huskies are looking for another National Championship; that is probably not going to happen this season. Oklahoma comes out of the SEC conference and is a decent-sized underdog. Can they pull off the upset?
Although the Huskies have not met expectations this season, it raises the question of whether those expectations should have been adjusted from the beginning, especially after Dan Hurley lost four starters from last year’s championship team. Nonetheless, it seems that Hurley can still extract more performance from this current group. A crucial factor may be Alex Karaban’s confidence. As the only returning starter from last season, Karaban struggled with a significant shooting slump during the regular season’s final weeks. With Solo Ball and a healthy Liam McNeeley providing additional shooting options for UConn, Karaban’s return to form would be a major advantage for the team.
Oklahoma’s roller-coaster season concluded on a largely positive note despite a rough start to their SEC play. The Sooners boosted their chances for a tournament bid with significant wins in non-conference play against teams like Michigan, Arizona, and Louisville. They finished strong by winning three of their final five conference games, securing their first tournament appearance under former Loyola Chicago coach Porter Moser. Moser leads a veteran team with one notable exception: freshman Jeremiah Fears, who demonstrated a knack for clutch performances during non-conference games. Although Fears is still developing as a shooter, he can score in bursts, similar to his teammate Jalon Moore, who averages 16.0 points per game. Oklahoma ranks in the top 50 for 3-point shooting percentage, aided by Brycen Goodine, a sixth-year player known for his proficiency from beyond the arc.
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The line is 147.5 and I will bet the over as I think this is a game played in the low eighties.
Many people are likely to choose UConn, and it’s easy to understand why. The Huskies have historically performed well during March, and after winning two consecutive national titles, they are seen as a formidable contender again. However, this year’s UConn team is different from last year’s, which dominated the competition on its way to the championship. Meanwhile, Oklahoma is coming off a challenging season in a strong SEC and has a chance to pull off a minor upset if the circumstances favor them. The Sooners have been battle-tested in the SEC this season and they will at the very least cover this game.
Bet Oklahoma +5.5
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