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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / NCAA Tournament First Round N.C.State Wolfpack vs Texas Tech Raiders: Odds, Tips and Predictions 03/21/24

NCAA Tournament First Round N.C.State Wolfpack vs Texas Tech Raiders: Odds, Tips and Predictions 03/21/24

Basketball Betting Tips Β· - Β·

Publish Date: 03/21/2024
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa

The Wolfpack come into this game on a winning streak, including beating North Carolina and Duke on their way to the ACC conference championship. Texas Tech can fly up the court and shoot the ball, and NC State will either have to slow the game down or shoot lights out to win.

Odds N.C. State vs Texas Tech

  • Point Spread: Texas tech -5.5
  • Moneyline NC State +168
  • Moneyline Texas Tech -205
  • Over/Under 145.5

These odds were updated at 9 pm EST on 03/21/24; the odds came from Draft Kings.

Β 

Our Best Pick: Bet the Over 145.5

Grant McCasland teams typically epitomize slow pace and defense.

In his first year at Texas Tech, McCasland has taken a more flexible approach, relaxing some of these rules. Check out our top March Madness upset picks.

These Red Raiders are far more offensively inclined, featuring an abundance of deadly shooters such as Pop Isaacs and Joe Toussaint, who possess deadly shooting accuracy from behind the arc. Due to their superior skill level, they can spread the floor with ease while exerting immense pressure on defenses. Plus, matchup nightmare Darrion Williams should now be fully recovered after sitting out the Big 12 Tournament loss against Houston with an ankle tweak.

Texas Tech center Warren Washington’s health is also crucial to this handicap, having missed eight of their last nine games (with 13 effective minutes in one) due to foot pain. He hopes he can play in their tourney opener but likely won’t be 100%.

Texas Tech will need Washington in the post against an NC State team led by DJ Burns if it can’t contain him directly. His pinpoint passing will open up space for jumpers or create opportunities to drive against closeouts, creating open shots at distance for TTU. Washington also serves as one of the Red Raiders’ primary rim protectors.

Tempo is more of an issue than efficiency; however, Kevin Keatts loves running the floor under McCasland, and this squad has displayed more willingness than prior iterations to push themselves hard on defense and offensively.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the over 145.5
  • Texas Tech can shot
  • Wolfpack are red hot
  • This should be a free flowing game
–
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NC State vs Texas Tech Moneyline

A money line bet to me only makes sense when betting on NC State, the Red Raiders odds push me towards giving the points.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Texas Tech to cover
  • Over 145.5 is the best bet
  • NC State money line great value
  • Tempo is the key to the game
–
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Β 

NC State vs Texas Tech Over/Under Analysis

The key is who controls the tempo. Either way the Red Raiders shoot the ball to well and with the Wolfpack peaking at the right time this looks like a game that easily hits the 146 point plateau.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Over 145.5
  • Quick Pace
  • Texas Tech shoots the ball well
  • Wolfpack are hot
–
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Β 

NC State vs Texas Tech Spread Analysis

This spread is about right to me. Texas Tech has been the more consistent team and you have to wonder how much the Wolfpack left on the floor last week in their magical run to a conference championship.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Texas Tech -5.5
  • The Red raiders are the better team
  • No value on betting the Red Raiders on the money line
  • Game will be played in the high 70s
–
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Β 

NC State vs Texas Tech Player Props

D.J. Burns Over 12.5 Points (-114)

NC State has relied heavily on power forward D.J. Burns in its offensive approach, as evidenced by his double-digit field goal attempts in six of its last seven games and scoring an average of 16.0 points per contest over this 12.5 threshold.

Texas Tech will need its duo of Williams and Washington (both 6’9″, 260-pounders) available, though we won’t know for certain until tip-off. Without those two in their frontcourt lineup, Texas Tech has struggled to achieve height; reserve-turned-starter Robert Jennings measures in at a team-high 6’7″.

Texas Tech will need all its size to fend off Burns; even if Washington and/or Williams don’t suit up, Burns has proven his worth with 13-plus points per game in his previous outings against them.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet D.J. Burns over 12.5 points
  • Burns averaged 16 points sox of last seven games
  • Burns bad matchup for Texas Tech
–
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NC State vs Texas Tech Head to Head

This will be the first time the teams have played.

Injuries and Suspensions

NC State Injury Report

  • D. Parker- Out

Texas Tech Injury Report

  • W. Washington- Probable
  • D. Williams- Probable
  • K. Lindsay- Questionable

Β 

Conclusion

Texas Tech should win this game, but NC State is red-hot, making this a dangerous game for the Red Raiders. The Raiders will have to have Williams and Washington at nearly 100 per cent to win this game.

Β 

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