
It may not receive the national spotlight like other first-round games, but this 6-11 matchup could potentially be the best game on Thursday. At the very least, it’s one worth making an effort to watch. BYU was the hottest team heading into the Big 12 tournament until Houston put an end to that streak. The Cougars had an impressive run, winning nine consecutive games, which included two victories over Iowa State and a commanding win against Kansas. On the other hand, VCU has only lost two games in 2025. While they might not be the most thrilling team to watch, their defense is formidable. However, it’s worth noting that they don’t have any significant wins to their name, as defeating Boston College in early November doesn’t quite qualify.
The Cougars have a better defense than the Rams. Many who watched BYU this season noticed their offensive fireworks, but the team actually led the Big 12 in both field goal and scoring defense—not Houston. They are even more aggressive in pursuing the ball than VCU. Typically, a strong defense can support the offense when issues arise. However, if the Cougars hit their three-pointers early, they can become a formidable opponent.
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The line is 146.5 and I will bet the over as I think this is a game played in the mid-high 70s.
Don’t be deceived. You’ll hear a lot of talk about how VCU has the right composition, the right veterans, and the right type of team to make a significant run. However, they rely on their defense, and BYU is stronger in that area. It may be a tough battle for a while, but the small yet crucial moments—such as key rebounds, important three-pointers, and timely steals—will likely favor BYU. BYU 77 VCU 71
Bet BYU -2.5
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