NCAA Final Four Florida Atlantic vs San Diego State Odds, Tips, and Predictions 04/01/23

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Prediction: Bet San Diego State to cover

• Over/Under Florida Atlantic vs San Diego State (131)
• Spread: San Diego State -2.5
• Pick: Bet San Diego State to cover

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Florida Atlantic and San Diego State have come out of nowhere to advance to the Final Four. These are two tough hard-nosed teams that never back down and play at a high level on the defensive end of the floor. The main difference between these two teams is when it comes to age. FAU is a sophomore dominated team and San Diego State is a veteran team with seven seniors and two juniors that garner most of their playing time.

Florida Atlantic lacks the size to compete.

Vladislav Goldin’s 7-1 record will pose a challenge, but he won’t be as dominant as Creighton’s Ryan Kalkbrenner was against the Aztecs; his inside game was much better, but they adjusted well in the second half.

Yes, the Owls generate production from all five spots on the court; however, they won’t be able to outmuscle or out-active San Diego State on the glass.

They must contend with a defense that allowed under 17% from three in the tournament, holding Creighton – one of America’s top three-point shooting teams – to only 2-of-17 outside shots.

No matter your style, San Diego State can beat you..

No matter the Alabama attack or Bluejay offense, San Diego State’s defense stops it.

Yes, Florida Atlantic has won when it hasn’t been able to hit the three, but San Diego State isn’t UAB or Western Kentucky either.

.Depth. San Diego State is nine deep with waves of great defensive players always coming in. Creighton couldn’t hit anything late to fall short to the Aztecs in their 57-56 loss, but lack of options had something to do with it as they ran out of gas without enough options to mix in late.

When your bench isn’t up to the challenge, having the ability to rely on one rotation over another can be a problem. But the Owls prove their bench points are among the second highest in college basketball – they keep their rotation rolling with unparalleled consistency.

The intensity never diminishes, partly because the drive to keep going never does.

San Diego State faces a formidable combination of outside shooting and rebounding talent. They’re adept at finding open men, quick on the move, and relentless when it comes to recovering missed shots. Additionally, these Owls consistently rebound the ball for an edge in competition.

Florida Atlantic doubled Kansas State 44-22 on the boards in a thrilling 79-76 victory to advance, and that will have to happen again if San Diego State wants any chance at success. San Diego State is 23-0 when scoring 32 or more rebounds in one game.

These two teams have not played this season.

The difference is this game is San Diego State is a veteran team, and they are deep. Those veterans will decide this game, and San Diego State will win a close game and cover the two points. My prediction is SDSU 65  FAU 60.

Tip:

San Diego State to cover

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