The North Carolina Tar Heels destroyed Notre Dame yesterday, and they are still in a must-win situation as they battle the Wake Forest Demon Deacons today. The Tar Heels, who have been fighting for their chances in the tournament, concluded the regular season on a strong note with a record of 6-1 before their win on Tuesday. However, the issue is that none of those victories were Quad 1 wins, which would have significantly bolstered their tournament resume. The upcoming game against Wake presents another opportunity to enhance their 7-0 record in Quad 2, as this team is widely viewed as one of the next four teams on the bubble for tournament selection.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Point Spread: North Carolina -5.5
Moneyline Wake Forest +184
Moneyline North Carolina -225
Over/Under 148.5
Both teams need a win here, but it would have a more significant impact on North Carolina’s postseason chances. In their last matchup, the Tar Heels actually outperformed Wake Forest in most key statistical areas that typically determine the outcome of a basketball game, including turnovers, points in the paint, and three-point shooting percentage. The main difference was at the free throw line, where Wake Forest had 17 more attempts.
Cameron Hildreth led his team, scoring 20 points, but half came from free throws due to a poor shooting night. This reinforces my belief that North Carolina is the stronger team. They are currently playing at a high level, especially offensively, averaging 86.2 points over their last eight games. Defense will be crucial for the Tar Heels, as they need to limit their opponent’s scoring in the paint—an area where they have struggled this season. Hunter Sallis and Hildreth will find ways to score, but they must also prevent big man Efton Reid from having a standout game. I believe UNC is capable of achieving this, and if they deliver another impressive scoring performance, they can secure a much-needed win, setting the stage for a trilogy matchup against Duke in the ACC Tournament semifinals.
Wake Forest vs North Carolina Moneyline
Moneyline value exists for a MoneyLine bet on Wake Forest, that would not be a terrible bet as the Demon Deacons have a real chance to win this game, but a points bet makes more sense, take the Tar Heels -5.5. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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Tip: Bet North Carolina -5.5
Tar Heels playing better as of late
Rebounding will be crucial
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Wake Forest vs North Carolina Over/Under Analysis
This should be a high energy game as both teams fight for their live. I will make a small over bet on this game.
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I think the Tar Heels are the better team at this point and expect the Tar Heels to pull away to a comfortable win in the last ten minutes of the game. UNC 81 Wake Forest 72
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