The Indiana Hoosiers will have a chance to put themselves firmly on the March Madness bubble with a win tonight against the UCLA Bruins. The Bruins are winless when they play farther east than Phoenix Arizona. The Hoosiers played their best game of the season in a win at Michigan State, and if they continue to play like that, they have a shot to make Head Coach Mike Woodson’s final season a memorable one.
UCLA Bruins vs Indiana Hoosiers
Point Spread: UCLA -1.5
Moneyline Indiana -102
Moneyline UCLA -120
Over/Under 139.5
The UCLA Bruins have scored more than 70 points in four of their last five games, that will continue in Assembly Hall, unless the Hoosiers play a zone, if the Hoosiers play man they will lose the game. In a zone defense UCLA will be forced to shoot the ball well and they have had issues consistently doing that this season. In a zone the Hoosiers will control the boards. On offense the Hoosiers need another big game by Myles Rice at point guard. Look for Ballo and Reneau to dominate inside, if they do the Hoosiers will be hard to handle. The Hoosiers are inconsistent this season, but they played forty solid minutes at Michigan State on Tuesday night.
According to ESPN Analytics, UCLA is favored to win this game with a probability of 57.5%. However, the Bruins have not yet won a road or neutral court game this season, especially not in the Pacific Time Zone. On the other hand, Indiana is regaining its confidence after defeating Michigan State on the road. The Hoosiers’ last two home games were against opponents ranked in the top 20 of the NET rankings, and they lost both by three points or fewer. Until UCLA manages to win a road game against a team located east of the Rocky Mountains, it seems likely that the Bruins will lose a close game to Indiana, finishing with a score of 81-77.
UCLA vs Indiana Moneyline
Moneyline value exists for a bet on both teams, I like the Hoosiers in a small upset. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Indiana ML
Ballo and Reneau to dominate
2-3 Zone to be IU key
Indiana at Home
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UCLA vs Indiana Over/Under Analysis
I expect a high-energy game tonight, and a line of 139.5 is a line I will bet. This game should be higher scoring than people expect.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Over 139.5
UCLA wmust shoot well
turnovers will be key
Indiana at Home
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I expect to see the Hoosiers come out in a zone defense and the Bruins will struggle to score. The Hoosiers will win this game in the paint as Reneau and Ball will dominate the glass.
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