Michigan has a shot to win a Big Ten Championship but must take down Rutgers tonight in Ann Arbor. Rutgers as a team has been a disappointment this season. The Wolverines went from averaging 80 points a game as a team to a team scoring in the forties and fifties as of late.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Michigan Wolverines
Point Spread: Michigan -9.5
Moneyline Rutgers +350
Moneyline Michigan -465
Over/Under 154.5
Michigan managed to secure what might be the ugliest win of the entire college basketball season, pulling out a 49-46 victory against Nebraska on Monday night. This win came after a gut-wrenching loss at home to Michigan State over the weekend. Dusty May’s squad has been struggling offensively, averaging only 55.5 points per game over their last two matches, a significant drop from their earlier average of over 80 PPG in the first 25 games. On the other hand, Rutgers is coming off two high-scoring victories against Big Ten newcomers Washington and USC.
Future NBA lottery pick Dylan Harper has been impressive during this stretch, averaging 29.5 points per game with an efficient shooting percentage of 58% (18/31) from the field. Harper has faced health challenges throughout his freshman season, contributing to the Scarlet Knights’ current record of 14-14, as they were ranked in the Preseason AP Top 25. A win in Ann Arbor on Thursday night would keep their slim hopes for March Madness alive, while a loss would necessitate winning the Big Ten tournament to secure a spot in the NCAA tournament.
Rutgers vs Michigan Moneyline
Moneyline value exists for a MoneyLine bet on Rutgers and while they have a realistic shot at winning this game the best bet is to take the +9.5 points. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Rutgers +9.5
Dylan Harper to Play Well
Rebounding will be crucial
Michigan at Home
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Rutgers vs Michigan Over/Under Analysis
I expect a high-energy game tonight, and a line of 154.5 is a line I will bet. This game should be played in the sixties, Michigan has been struggling to score and I take the under in this game.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Under 154.5
Rutgers on a small roll
turnovers will be key
Michigan at Home
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The oddsmakers suggest a double-digit margin of victory for this matchup, but we should remember how these teams faced off earlier this month. On February 1st, Michigan narrowly secured a 66-63 road victory against Rutgers, and it’s worth noting that Dylan Harper did not play in that game. Fast forward to today: Rutgers appears revitalized, with Harper finding his rhythm and Ace Bailey performing as his reliable teammate. On the other hand, Michigan is currently experiencing its worst offensive stretch of the season. Additionally, it’s do-or-die time for Rutgers, as they need to win all their remaining regular-season games and make a deep run in the Big Ten tournament to have any chance of sneaking into the NCAA tournament without winning the Big Ten championship.
In contrast, Michigan is securely positioned in ESPN Bracketologist Joe Lunardi’s projected field of 68 and doesn’t feel the same urgency to secure a win for their season. That said, I believe Michigan will come out on top at home in what should be an exciting, back-and-forth game. Rutgers struggles defensively, ranking 115th in KenPom’s Defensive Rating. I expect Michigan’s veteran leaders—Danny Wolf (12.7 points per game), Vlad Goldin (15.6 PPG), and Tre Donaldson (12.3 PPG)—to help the offense get back on track Thursday night. While Dylan Harper (19.4 PPG) and Ace Bailey (18.4 PPG) are exceptional players who can keep the game close, Rutgers’ lack of scoring options beyond these two highly touted freshmen may prove challenging on the road. Michigan 66 Rutgers 60
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