The Penn State Nittany Lions (13-7, 3-6 Big Ten) are set to face the #21 Michigan Wolverines (14-5, 6-2 Big Ten) in a conference matchup. These two teams met twice last season, with Penn State winning both games. The Nittany Lions recently suffered a narrow defeat on the road against Iowa, losing 76-75 as 3.5-point underdogs. Meanwhile, Michigan is coming off a loss on the road against #11 Purdue, where they fell 91-64 and failed to cover as 4.5-point underdogs.
Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan Wolverines
Point Spread: Michigan -8.5
Moneyline Penn State +340
Moneyline Michigan -450
Over/Under 159.5
The Michigan Wolverines recently suffered two losses in road games within the Big Ten, but they are returning home, where they remain undefeated in conference play. Penn State utilizes a four-guard lineup, with Niederhauser playing inside and Hicks, a forward in the starting lineup, acting more like a guard by primarily focusing on three-point shots. The Nittany Lions lack two post players to effectively match up with Michigan’s Goldin and Wolf in the paint, which will ultimately impact the game’s outcome. Additionally, Penn State struggles with shooting, making it challenging to create space against the Wolverines. Kern and Niederhauser are not threats from beyond the arc, allowing Michigan to pack the paint with their big players. Furthermore, while Penn State’s defense is ranked 70th in efficiency, Michigan ranks 15th in offensive efficiency. As a result, the Wolverines are expected to win convincingly in this matchup.
Penn State vs Michigan Moneyline
Moneyline value exists for a MoneyLine bet on the Nittany Lions; this is a spot where if you like the Wolverines you have to give the points. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Penn State +8.5
Michigan will dominate the boards
Goldin and Wolf to have big game
Wolverines at Home
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Penn State vs Michigan Over/Under Analysis
I expect a high-energy game tonight, and a line of 159.5 is a line I will stay off. I think Vegas nailed the correct number to keep me from playing this. If I had a gun to my head I would lean towards betting the under.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the under 159.5
High Tempo Game
turnovers will be key
Michigan at Home
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This is the perfect game to bet on Penn State, they are coming off two bad losses and they should over-power the Nittany Lions in the paint. Michigan will win, but this is to many points to pass up. Take the Nittany Lions and the points. Michigan 72 Penn State 68
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