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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / NCAA Basketball Maryland Terrapins vs Wisconsin Badgers: Odds, Tips and Predictions 02/20/24

NCAA Basketball Maryland Terrapins vs Wisconsin Badgers: Odds, Tips and Predictions 02/20/24

Basketball Betting Tips Β· - Β·

Publish Date: 02/20/2024
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa

Just four weeks ago, Wisconsin looked like they were in the discussion for a number one or two seed, but that has changed as the Badgers have lost five of their last six games. Maryland has played much better as of late, and if they have any hope of making an NCAA Tournament run, they need to win this game at the Kohl Center. The issue is the Terps are a horrible shooting team, and that will have to change if they want to win this game.

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Odds Maryland vs Wisconsin

  • Point Spread: Wisconsin -6.5
  • Moneyline Maryland +250
  • Moneyline Wisconsin -315
  • Over/Under 135

These odds were updated at 5 am EST on 2/20/24; the odds came from Draft Kings.

This spread looks about right, as the Badgers are the better team, but Maryland did beat Illinois on the road recently, and they have the talent to make things difficult for Wisconsin. That said, the Badgers if they play well should win this game.

Our Best Pick: Bet the Over 130.5

Wisconsin has been in a lull but still scored in the eighties on the road against Iowa. At home in the Kohl center they will score points. Maryland is a bad shooting team, but they have shot and played better as of late, and both teams will be desperate for this win.

I have a hard time thinking that the Badgers won’t score in the 70s in this game. I look for a game with a final score of 78-70. I do think the Badgers get the win but I am much more confident in the over bet in this game.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Over
  • Badgers shoot well at home
  • Maryland is a dangerous team
  • Storr to dominate
–
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Β 

Maryland vs Wisconsin Moneyline

No value exists on betting the moneyline for Wisconsin at -315; no reason exists on a moneyline bet for the Badgers. The value is not there.

You get huge value betting on Maryland at +250, it’s a long shot, but that is why the spread and money-line bets are so big. The Terps have a shot in this game as the Badgers have struggled as of late.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Wisconsin to cover
  • Badgers at Home
  • Decent pointspread value
  • Terrapins in a must-win
–
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Β 

Maryland vs Wisconsin Over/Under Analysis

This line, I will bet the over, Wisconsin can score points at a fast rate; they are average at best on the defensive side of the ball. Maryland has issues shooting, but the Wisconsin defense will help them near 70 points. I look for Wisconsin to score in the seventies.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the over 130.5
  • Wisconsin efficient on Offense
  • Badgers to dominate the perimeter
  • Badgers shoot better at home
–
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Β 

Maryland vs Wisconsin Spread Analysis

If this game was played four weeks ago the Badgers would be a 9 or ten point favorite, but the Badgers have been on a downward side while the Terrapins are playing better than what they were a month ago.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Wisconsin to Cover
  • Storr will have a big night
  • Badgers defense is average
  • Badgers good at home
–
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Maryland vs Wisconsin Head-to-Head

Tuesday marks the 22nd meeting in an ongoing series between Wisconsin and Maryland that has taken place since 1931. Wisconsin leads this series 13-8, winning three out of the last four meetings; since Maryland joined the Big Ten in 2015, they hold an 8-6 advantage for games played at Madison; overall, UW is ahead 6-2.

The last time Maryland and Wisconsin met was on January 25th 2023, at College Park, where Maryland came away victorious 73-55. Conversely, however, during Maryland’s last appearance at Madison, the Badgers prevailed 64-59 – Chucky Hepburn led all scorers at Kohl Center with 13 points while Steven Crowl chipped in 12 along with six assists for Maryland in that contest.

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Injuries and Suspensions

Both teams have a couple of questionable players coming into this game, and as of 7 AM on game day, they look to be game-time decisions.

Maryland Terrapins Injury Report

  • Jordan Geronimo(Questionable)
  • N.Batchelor(Questionable)

Wisconsin Badgers Injury Report

  • I. Gard(Questionable)
  • L. Haertle(Questionable)

Β 

Conclusion

My best bet for this game is to bet over 130.5. The Badgers will shoot well at home, and Maryland should be able to at least get into the mid-60s against an average Wisconsin defense. I expect the Badgers to win the game, but the -6.5 is a little too big, in my opinion, and I would not be surprised if this spread by game time is in the -7 to -8 point range.

Β 

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