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Florida vs Alabama Preview
The Florida Gators take on the Alabama Crimson Tide Wednesday, Coleman Coliseum. Tip-off is from Tuscaloosa (AL) at 9:00 p.m. ET. ET.
Florida lost 72-67 to Kentucky on Saturday. The Gators are currently 3-2 in their last five games and 6-4 in Southeastern Conference play.
Alabama beat LSU 79 to 69; the Tigers are now 20-3. The Crimson Tide have a record of 4-1 in their last five games and 10-0 in SEC play.
In the last meeting between the teams, Alabama defeated Florida 83 to 70. Since 1949-50, the Gators have led the series with a record of 66-61.
Florida is currently 13-10 overall. But don’t let that record fool you. The Gators are a good team. Florida beat second-ranked Tennessee and was narrowly defeated by Kentucky in its two previous games. This indicates a possible resurgence in the final weeks.
The Gators lost to Kentucky in a close game. Florida scored 45 points after the break, scoring only 22 points in the first half. Florida didn’t lead in the game, as Colin Castleton scored 25 points and had eight rebounds and five assists. This victory was a testament to Kentucky’s solid play as Florida had won six of its last seven matchups. UF shot 41.8% from the field, including 6-for-19 at three and 5-for-11 at long range. UK shot 45.29%.
Florida averages 71.3 points per game (183rd) while shooting 43.4 per cent from the floor (253rd) and 32.4 per cent from three (273rd). It converts 74.5 per cent of its free throws (65th) and averages 33.9 rebounds (129th), with a -0.8 rebounding margin. UF ranks 134th in offensive efficiency adjusted for schedule (49.4%) and 238th in effective goal percentage (238.4%).
Castleton averages 15.6 points per game on 50% shooting. He also has 7.7 rebounds and 3.1 blocks. Other players to keep an eye on are the sophomore guard Will Richard (10.1 PPG, 4.6% RPG, 41.13% 3PT%), senior guard Kyle Lofton (9.0 PPG) and the sophomore guard Kowacie Reeves (8.5 PPG).
Florida gives up 64.8 points per contest (52nd) with 39.4 per cent shooting (14th), and 30.8 per cent from behind (47th). It ranks 10th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 87th for adjusted tempo. The 116th rank is in assist-per-turnover ratio.
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Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Tips
Since falling to Gonzaga on Dec 17th, the Crimson Tide has lost only once. This was a narrow loss to Oklahoma in the SEC-Big 12 challenges. Bama has been flawless throughout, dominating its conference competition with ease. With a record of 6-3 in Quad 1 games, It’s easy for the Tide to be a top-seed in the NCAA Tournament with a combined record of 14-0 in Quad 2, 3, 4, and 5 matchups.
After beating Vanderbilt 101-44, Alabama won against Louisiana State. At the break, the Crimson Tide was leading by seven. They didn’t let up and shot 44.8 per cent from field and 13-of-19 (44.8%) long-range. They also performed well from the foul line (14 of 15). LSU shot just 30.6 per cent, with 25.9 per cent (7 of 27) from three.
Alabama averages 83.1 points per contest on 44.2 per cent shooting (208th) and 34.8 per cent from three (152nd). It converts 72.8 per cent of its free throw attempts (141st) and averages 41.3 rebounds (1st), with a +7.5 rebounding margin. The Tide rank 20th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 77th for effective field goal percentage (52.5%).
Bama’s Frosh forward Brandon Miller is the leader in scoring. He averages 18.8 points per game and 8.2 rebounds, with a 45.2 per cent field goal percentage. This includes 44.2 per cent from the long range. He will be one of the top NBA Draft selections. You should also keep an eye on junior guard Mark Sears (13.7% PPG), forward Noah Clowney (10.0% PPG, 8.3 RPG) and freshman guard Jaden Bradley (7.7 ppg).
Alabama’s opponents average 68.7 points per contest (159th), while Alabama shoots 37.3 per cent from the floor (3rd) and 26.1 per cent from three-point range (2nd). It ranks 5th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 1st overall in adjusted pace. The team also ranks 148th in assist per-turnover ratio.
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Betting the game
Florida has been a problem for its opponents these past few weeks, but it lost some momentum against Kentucky. In a matchup between two midlevel teams, the Wildcats defeated the Gators and never trailed. I believe UF is out of steam and will be over ran by a faster and more skilled Crimson Tide team tonight.
Prediction: Take Bama -8.5
Potential earnings
If you are betting Bama to cover, the payoff will be good, and I think Bama will win and cover. For example, a few days before the game, the odds range to -120 if you are betting on Bama to cover. If you bet 100 on Bama to cover, the payoff will be at -120; the payout would be 180 dollars, which means you would get back the 100 you bet and the other 80 for winning the bet. You need to check out the Grueling Truth’s
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