This is no surprise matchup, as the top two teams in the SEC will battle to see who will play in Monday Night’s Championship game. How healthy will Auburn’s Johnnie Broome be? Can anybody on Auburn slow down Walter Clayton Jr? The Florida Gators are hot, and Auburn always seems to find a way to win. This game looks like a toss-up.
Auburn Tigers vs Florida Gators
Point Spread: Florida -2.5
Moneyline Auburn +125
Moneyline Florida -150
Over/Under 159.5
Florida’s performance in the second half of the season reflects the team’s journey. Since February 1, the Gators have lost only once, falling 88-83 to Georgia on February 25. They have faced unexpected challenges in recent weeks, but one thing is clear: you can never count them out until the final whistle. Even when trailing late against back-to-back national champion UConn, they managed to find a way to win. After Alex Condon sustained an ankle injury against Maryland in the Sweet 16, the Gators held on until the 6-foot-11 player returned to help secure a double-digit victory. We also witnessed their incredible comeback from a 10-point deficit in the closing minutes against Texas Tech in the Elite Eight. In March, the Gators earned five wins against KenPom’s top 20 teams by 14 points or more, demonstrating their resilience in the face of adversity. What we’ve learned about them this month is that they are tough to beat.
A 1-3 stretch leading into the NCAA tournament raised questions about Auburn’s potential. However, it’s important to note that those three losses came against strong opponents: Tennessee, Alabama, and Texas A&M. We have since seen that this is the same team that lost only one game between December 4 and March 4, led by Johni Broome. In the first round, while Alabama State briefly took the lead over the Tigers, Auburn ultimately secured a decisive 20-point victory. They then went on to defeat a solid Creighton team by 12 points in the second round and successfully held Michigan standout Danny Wolf scoreless for the final 13 minutes in their Sweet 16 victory. Despite Johni Broome’s midgame injury, Auburn managed to hand Michigan State its first NCAA tournament loss to an SEC team under head coach Tom Izzo.
Auburn vs Florida Moneyline
The money line value exists for a MoneyLine bet on either team, and for my money I like Florida on the MoneyLine. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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Tip: Bet Florida ML
How Healthy is Broome
Condon and Clayton big games
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Auburn vs Florida Over/Under Analysis
The line is 159.5 and I will bet the over, I expect this to be a high scoring game but I think these teams are good enough to push into the mid 80s.
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Tip: Bet the Over 159.5
Gators are playing better
turnovers will be key
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Prediction
This game is a tossup to me. I think in the end, the Gators will have too much Clayton and Condon for the Tigers to overcome but it won’t be easy. If betting Florida bet the money line. Florida 85 Auburn 83
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