NBA Playoffs Game 1 Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Odds, Tips and Predictions 05-06-25

​Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals between the Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves is set for Tuesday, May 6, 2025, at 9:30 PM ET at the Target Center in Minneapolis.​

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

• Point Spread: Minnesota -7
• Moneyline Golden State +230
• Moneyline Minnesota -275
• Over/Under 208.5

🏀 Game Overview

The Minnesota Timberwolves enter the series well-rested after a five-game victory over the Los Angeles Lakers. They are favored in Game 1, with point spreads ranging from -5.5 to -7.5 and moneyline odds between -240 and -275, implying a win probability of approximately 71.8%.

The Golden State Warriors, coming off a grueling seven-game series against the Houston Rockets, are underdogs for the first time in over a decade. Despite their underdog status, they won the regular-season series against Minnesota 3-1 .​

Golden State vs Minnesota Moneyline

Moneyline value exists for a bet on the Warriors. I am leaning towards taking the Wolves and giving the points. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Twolves -7

• Rebounds to be key
• Turnovers to be key
• Twolves at Home

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🔍 Key Matchups & Trends

Minnesota Timberwolves

• Anthony Edwards: Averaging 27.6 points per game, Edwards has been instrumental in Minnesota’s success.

• Julius Randle: Contributed significantly in the first round, averaging 22.6 points per game.​

• Rudy Gobert: Dominant on the boards, averaging 10.9 rebounds per game.​

• Team Defense: Ranked 5th in points allowed per game (109.3) during the regular season.

Golden State Warriors

• Stephen Curry: Continues to be a scoring leader, averaging 24.5 points per game.​

• Jimmy Butler: Provides veteran leadership and averages 17.5 points per game.​

• Buddy Hield: Had a standout Game 7 against Houston, scoring 33 points with nine three-pointers.

• Team Defense: Ranked 8th in points allowed per game (110.5) during the regular season .​

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Golden State vs Minnesota Over/Under Analysis

I will bet this game on the over, I expect a lot of points out of Minnesota.

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet the Over 208.5

• Both teams to play well on offense
• Ant Big Night
• Twolves at Home

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Game one will comfortably go to the home-standing Wolves, they are more rested and should control game one. I do expect this series to be competitive though.

Bet Twolves -7