NBA Playoffs Game 5 Miami vs Boston: Odds, Tips and predictions 05/25/23

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Prediction: Bet Miami to cover

• Over/Under: Miami vs Boston (216)
• Spread: Bosron -7.5
• Pick: Bet Miami to cover

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The Celtics are down three games to one in this series but are still big 7.5 favorites in this game. When will the Heat get some respect? Miami has been the better team in this series and no matter what the point spread in this game, the Celtics are barely hanging on in this series.

Boston is has played well at both ends of the court this season, ranking fourth-best in points scored (117.9) and allowed (111.4 per contest). Homecourt advantage has helped Boston score 120.5 per game versus their opponents on the road (115.4); they had averaged 120.5 on average when playing at home versus 115.4 when away (on offense, they averaged only 101.9 over that span as opposed to overall).

Boston ranks second-best in the NBA by making 16 three-pointers per game, while their three-point percentage ranks sixth overall at 37.7%. They attempt 46.2 two-pointers per contest – which account for 52% of their shot attempts and 62% of baskets made; while attempting 42.6 three-pointers that represent 48% of their shots (and 38% of team baskets made).

Miami ranks last among NBA teams in points scored (109.5 per game), yet second best for points allowed (108.5). They average 3.9 more points at home (111.4) than away (107.5), although while scoring 109.5 overall, they have fallen short during their previous ten contests with an average of only 108.7 scored per contest.

Miami ranks 16th in 3-pointer made (12 per game) and fourth-worst in 3-point percentage (34.4%), as they take 40.8% of their shots beyond the 3-point line with 30.5% making baskets; inside of this perimeter area they take 59.2% with 69% making shots from there.

Miami is the better team, which has been easy to see in this series. The Celtics might win this game, but +7.5 points is a lot to give. Take the Heat and the points!

Tip:

Miami to Cover

Best Odd

+7.5

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