NBA Playoffs Game 3 Denver vs Minnesota: Odds, Tips and predictions 04/21/23

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Prediction: Bet Denver to cover

• Over/Under: Denver vs Minnesota (223)
• Spread: Nuggets -2
• Pick: Bet Nuggets to cover

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On Friday at 9:30 PM ET, the Denver Nuggets travel to Minnesota to face off against the Timberwolves for Game 3 of their series. Denver currently leads 2-0 after taking both home games.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves currently had a win-loss mark of 42-40 this regular season. Minnesota is committing 21.6 fouls per game, shooting 75.5% from the free throw line and earning an assist 26.2 times per contest (8th in NBA). Minnesota has scored 9,494 points so far (115.8 per game) while grabbing 41.9 rebounds per contest; as an offensive unit they connect on 49.0% from the field which ranks third overall.

The Minnesota Timberwolves’ defense ranks 18th overall in terms of points per game allowed (115.8), forcing their opponents into 15.4 turnovers per game and allowing teams to shoot 47.1% from the floor (11th in NBA). Their opponent’s 3-point shooting percentage sits at 36.9% (1,007 of 2,728) with 76.6+% accuracy from free throw line; additionally they allow 25.0 dimes and 44.7 boards every game, which ranks them 12th and 22nd in NBA, respectively.

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Denver enters this matchup with an overall record of 53-29 this season and an average scoring output of 115.8 points per contest (12th in basketball). They shoot 50.4% from the floor, connecting on 37.9% of shots beyond the perimeter (969 of 2,559) and 75.1% at free throw line. Furthermore, as an entire unit, Denver collects 43 boards per game while having 2,368 assists which places them 2nd among NBA teams for passing efficiency; 14.5 times per game they lose possession via turnovers while as a unit they commit 18.6 personal fouls per contest

On defense, the Nuggets have forced 13.5 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.5 fouls – good enough to rank 16th among NBA teams in terms of giving away assists to their opponents with 2,105 given out this season. They currently rank 18th overall when it comes to giving out assists; 47.8% opponent shooting percentage given up per game along with 40.8 boards conceded per contest are all given away as part of this figure; finally they are giving away 34.4% on shots from beyond the arc which ranks them 8th overall in terms of points per game allowed (112.5).

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The Nuggets are the better team, and the -2 makes Denver a good value pick in this game.