This series is over, and the only question left to answer is do the Mavericks have enough fight in them to get at least one victory in this series. I think they do, but the main issue, painfully evident in the first three games, is that the Boston Celtics are just the better team.
Celtics vs Mavericks
Spread: Boston -1
Moneyline Boston -116
Moneyline Dallas -102
Over/Under 211
These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 06/14/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Bet the Under 211
Pacing has often suffered during playoff runs. That could be partly because high stakes encourage tighter play or perhaps because teams become emotionally and physically exhausted during extended playoff runs.
Both Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks’ offensive ratings have fallen off considerably during this postseason, which decides to go Under this total in Game 4 easier as their pace has considerably slowed down.
Dallas made dramatic changes to their roster and rotation during this year’s trade deadline. From then until the end of regular season playback, their pace ranked seventh overall among NBA teams at 100.6 possessions per game while also posting an offense rating of 115.9
Over this span, the Celtics continued their slow play, ranking No. 24 in pace at 96.13 while boasting the league-high No. 1 offensive rating at 125.4.
Dallas saw their pace slow to an average of 93.6 throughout the first three rounds of the playoffs, maintaining its offensive rating at 115.2. Boston found itself with even less energy – dropping even further to 92.3 with its offensive rating decreasing slightly to 119.5.
These decreased offensive ratings make sense; playoff defense is typically more intense and comprehensive, and opponents simply played better than expected. But the declining speeds highlight how few points became available for scoring; unfortunately, sportsbooks have not properly adjusted to this change in this series.
The Mavs have yet to reach 100 points in any game in this series, with final scores averaging 201.3 on average across games 1 through 3. Lowering Game 4’s total to 211.5 from 213.5 (Game 3) and 216.6 in Game 1 is not sufficient to reduce either side’s total points scored.
Boston has relied on their slower offense to lead them to victory this season and should ride it to an 18th NBA title. Let us show you how to
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Under 211
Rebounding will be the key
Dallas at Home
Mavs will hang tough
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Mavericks vs Celtics Moneyline
The money line has value for both teams as the game is almost at pick status. O would bet the Celtics..If you are looking for the best sportsbook, we’ve got you covered as we break down the
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Celtics to Cover
Money line value on Both teams
Boston is the better team
Luka to have a big game
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Mavericks vs Celtics Over/Under Analysis
The over/under is 211, and with both teams being off for a week, that makes it even harder to predict the points scored in this game. With that being said I look for a lower-scoring game in this one.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Under 211
Odds favor game a slower paced game
Kyrie needs another big game
Rebounding will be key
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Mavericks vs Celtics Spread Analysis
-1 is a tight spread, especially since it’s been a few years since Dallas has beaten Boston. The Celtics are the better team.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Celtics to Win
Which team controls the post
Celtics are the better team
Dallas needs to shoot lights out
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Mavericks vs Celtics Head-to-Head
The Celtics have dominated the Mavericks over the last four years, and these Finals have been more of the same. Check out our guide to betting on
NBA Playoff Parlays.
Injuries and Suspensions
Mavericks Injury Report
Prosper- Out
Doncic- Questionable
Celtics Injury Report
Porzingis- Questionable
Conclusion
The only question left in this series is can the Mavericks get a win? I am now doubting this. The Celtics are just too good. Boston 104 Dallas 101.
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