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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / NBA Finals game 3 Denver vs Miami: Odds, Tips and Predictions 06/07/23

NBA Finals game 3 Denver vs Miami: Odds, Tips and Predictions 06/07/23

Basketball Betting Tips Β· 06/07/2023 - 8:30 pm Β· Kaseya Arena

Publish Date: 06/06/2023
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa

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4.5/5
Prediction: Bet Denver to cover
  • Over/Under: Denver vs Miami (214.5)
  • Spread: Denver -2.5
  • Pick: Bet Denver to cover
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Game preview Denver vs Miami

The Nuggets looked like a quick series would be eminent after an easy game one victory. The Heat, with great coaching adjustments and heart, eked out a game two victory to make this series a close affair, and if the Nuggets don’t make the right adjustments, they could be in trouble.

Video: #8 HEAT at #1 NUGGETS | FULL GAME 2 HIGHLIGHTS | June 4, 2023

#8 HEAT at #1 NUGGETS | FULL GAME 2 HIGHLIGHTS | June 4, 2023

Miami Heat Can the Heat take control of the series at home?

Game 3 of the 2023 NBA Finals moves back to South Beach for Game 3, after Miami’s hard-fought come-from-behind win in Game 2. Their comeback defeat of Denver marked its first home playoff loss this postseason while marking Miami’s fourth victory when trailing by eight or more entering the fourth quarter.

Game 1 saw Miami shooting 33.3 per cent (13-of-39) from behind the arc (13-of-49) and only total of two free throw attempts, but Game 2 saw them shoot 48.6 per cent (17-of-35) of triples (17-of-35) and make 18-of-20 free throw attempts. Jimmy Butler proved more efficient as a scorer after scoring 13 in Game 1. At the same time, Gabe Vincent’s 23 points, Bam Adebayo’s 21 (seven-of-19 shooting), Max Strus (14), and Duncan Robinson (10thall contributed significantly towards stunning the crowd at Ball Arena.

Video: Erik Spoelstra pushes all the right buttons | NBA Finals Game 2 analysis

Erik Spoelstra pushes all the right buttons | NBA Finals Game 2 analysis

Denver Nuggets Can the Nuggets figure out the Heat defensive adjustments?

Denver finished Game 2 with an excellent shooting percentage (52 per cent), yet their defensive intensity fell short of winning an NBA Finals game. Denver posted their third-worst defensive rating during this playoff run (129.1), giving Miami too many open shots that they took full advantage of by exploiting Denver’s slip-ups on defense.

Nuggets’ coach Michael Malone noted postgame that Miami came in and outworked them. That has been a common refrain during Miami’s historic Finals run; Malone can criticize his players for getting outworked; but credit must also be given for Miami’s ability to remain resilient against adversity and grind opponents down over 48 minutes – the result should not go overlooked by either side of this contest

Our Betting Pick for Today – Bet the Nuggets -2.5

I expect a single-digit game which makes it a risky pick to bet the Nuggets, but they are the better team, and I expect Jokic supporting cast to play much better in game 3.

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Tip:
Nuggets to Cover
Best Odd
-2.5
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