
Memphis has already beaten Iowa State and VCU, and now the Tigers travel to Nashville to face another unbeaten opponent. Jayden Reid scored 32 in the VCU win. Vanderbilt followed its season-opening win over Bellarmine with a 74–51 victory over Wake Forest, led by Tyler Tanner’s 17 points and 10 rebounds.
I lean Vanderbilt to win, but I’m passing on the available winner price. Memphis has shown enough against two credible opponents to make a heavily priced favorite unappealing.
Category Details Matchup Memphis vs. Vanderbilt Date Tuesday, November 10, 2026Tipoff7:15 p.m. ET Arena Memorial Gymnasium, Nashville, Tennessee TV / streaming SEC Network +Site Vanderbilt home game Records Both 2–0
Market Memphis Vanderbilt Game winner Winner contract: about 9¢Winner contract: about 96¢Point spread Not verified Not verified Total Not verified Not verified
Memphis needs to get Reid into the lane without asking him to reproduce a 32-point night. The Tigers committed only eight turnovers against VCU, which is a useful starting point on the road. When Vanderbilt brings help, Reid can move the ball to Rihards Vavers, who hit four threes against VCU, or let Tylik Weeks attack the next closeout.
The Tigers also need to get back after misses. If Vanderbilt is allowed to run, Memphis may have to match efficient offense for long stretches. A better route is to defend the first action, rebound, then pick spots to run.
Vanderbilt held Bellarmine to 47 points and Wake Forest to 51. Memphis brings a different test because Reid can create his own shot and the Tigers have multiple options when the defense takes it away. The Commodores need to make Reid give the ball up early enough to disrupt the play without opening an easy passing lane behind the help.
Tanner’s rebounding against Wake Forest stood out because it gave Vanderbilt a second way to start possessions. When a guard secures the ball himself, he can push before the defense is organized. Memphis has to account for that even after forcing a difficult shot.
These are alternate-line targets. Posted availability and prices were not verified. Check the market and expected playing time before betting.
Reid scored 32 against VCU, but I’d set the target well below that in Nashville. His ability to drive and draw contact gives him a path to 15 even if Vanderbilt closes out well on the perimeter. If the Commodores repeatedly send two defenders, assists may be a better market.
Tanner scored 17 against Wake Forest and should have chances to attack before Memphis sets its defense. Twelve is a more forgiving target than another 17, particularly if Vanderbilt gets balanced scoring. I’d compare it with his standard points line before taking a more expensive alternate.
Vavers made four threes against VCU. If Vanderbilt puts extra bodies in Reid’s driving lanes, Vavers could get clean attempts off kickouts or the next pass. This depends on shot volume, so two is the highest alternate threshold I’d consider without clearer information about the market.
Weeks scored 17 against VCU and made 11 free throws. Getting downhill again gives him a chance at double figures, but I wouldn’t project another night with that many points at the line. If Vanderbilt keeps its defenders in front and avoids fouling, he’ll need more production from the floor.
Protect the ball. Memphis can stay close if it avoids giving Vanderbilt uncontested baskets.
Finish possessions. The Tigers need to rebound before looking upcourt, particularly when Tanner crashes.
Test the closeouts. If Vanderbilt helps aggressively on Reid, Memphis needs to turn the next pass into a good shot.
I’m picking Vanderbilt to win, but there’s a difference between liking the matchup and liking the available price. The Commodores have defended well through two games and have a clear way to make Memphis work: contain Reid without giving his teammates open threes, then let Tanner push after clean rebounds.
Memphis has already beaten two good opponents and took care of the ball against VCU. That makes me reluctant to buy Vanderbilt at the quoted winner price. I’m leaving the spread and total alone until a line is verified. My score call reflects a competitive game in which Vanderbilt gets a couple more stops late.
Prediction: Vanderbilt 78, Memphis 72 — Vanderbilt gets the stops it needs late at Memorial Gymnasium.
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