The non-conference spotlight shines tonight as Kansas State takes on Indiana in Bloomington at the iconic Assembly Hall. Both programs are riding early-season energy and looking to make statement wins toward NCAA Tournament positioning.
Indiana, under first-year head coach Darian DeVries, is riding a roster built heavily via the transfer portal — guards and wings like Tucker DeVries (yes, the coach’s son), Reed Bailey, Lamar Wilkerson, and stand-out junior guard Jasai Miles all bring scoring punch to the Hoosiers.
Kansas State, under fourth-year coach Jerome Tang, counters with returning and new pieces including guards such as P.J. Haggerty, Abdi Bashir Jr., senior wing Marcus Johnson, and others listed on the 2025-26 Wildcats roster.
With contrasting styles — Indiana’s offensive injecting fresh talent, K-State’s roster blending new and veteran — the stage is set for a few high-value prop bets tonight.
Here are four of the best.
Tucker DeVries Over 16.5 Points
Tucker DeVries arrives at Indiana already wearing big expectations. The guard/wing transfer from West Virginia brings scoring experience and outside shooting. On nights when Indiana clicks in transition and spacing, DeVries is the guy they’ll lean on.
Kansas State’s perimeter defense tends to drop off shooters and live on physicality — meaning DeVries should see catch-and-shoot looks and some isolation opportunities. Given tonight’s venue and tempo potential,
Over 16.5 points
is a strong projection.
Tip: Tucker DeVries over 16.5 points
- New go-to scorer for IU
-
Matchup favors his shot-creation
-
High-leverage home environment
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P.J. Haggerty Over 4.5 Assists
K-State’s junior guard P.J. Haggerty has shown more than just scoring ability — his assist numbers have climbed, and with a backcourt needing to generate offense on the road, Haggerty should be involved. Kansas State’s offense runs through pick-and-rolls, hand-offs and guard penetration, all of which could create assist opportunities for Haggerty.
Indiana’s defense is still building chemistry and may give up open cutters or drive-and-kick looks, which Haggerty can exploit.
Over 4.5 assists
is a strong bet for him.
Tip: P.J. Haggerty over 4.5 assists
- High usage point-guard role
-
IU transitional defense vulnerable
-
Good scoring/creating mix
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Indiana Team 3-Pointers Over 8.5
Indiana’s roster overhaul has added shooters in volume: Jasai Miles, Lamar Wilkerson, Jason Drake, and Reed Bailey all possess three-point range. K-State, while athletic, isn’t yet among the elite in defending the arc this season. The Hoosiers will look to space the floor and attack off drives and kicks.
Given this,
Indiana hitting at least nine threes
is a very viable scenario tonight in Bloomington.
Tip: Indiana team threes over 8.5
- Multiple new perimeter shooters
-
K-State drop-defense susceptible
-
Home court pacing supports more attempts
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Kansas State Team Turnovers Over 13.5
Although K-State is experienced in parts, the roster still incorporates many newer pieces and they’ll be on the road against a motivated Indiana crowd. Indiana’s perimeter defenders like Jasai Miles and Conor Enright (transfer guard) are active, and the Hoosiers will push tempo and aim to force miscues.
We should expect
Kansas State committing 14 or more turnovers
in a back-and-forth pace game.
Tip: Kansas State team turnovers over 13.5
- IU’s length & new-coach energy
-
Road game mental pressure
-
K-State’s roster transitions still settling
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Game Prediction: Kansas State vs. Indiana
This matchup stands as one of the more intriguing early-season non-conference affairs. Indiana has the benefit of home court, a fresh roster with added scoring and shooting, and the motivational edge of a new coaching era. Kansas State brings athleticism, veteran pieces like Marcus Johnson and Haggerty, and the desire to prove they can compete in the Big 12.
My lean: Indiana uses the new roster’s depth and 3-point weapons to pull away late after a competitive first half.
Prediction: Indiana 79, Kansas State 72.
Tucker DeVries leads the Hoosiers with 18 points, they knock down nine threes, and K-State turns the ball over 14 times en route to the Hoosiers getting a signature non-conference win.
