
On Thursday night, the Texas Rangers travel to the Baltimore Orioles in game one of a four-game series this weekend. This rematch from last season’s AL Divisional Round saw Texas defeat Baltimore before going on to claim World Series victory. Rangers right-hander Jon Gray (3-3, 3.03) takes on Corbin Burnes (8-3, 2.35).
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These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 06/27/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Before his start against the Royals, Gray had failed to extend beyond the third inning in any of his previous three starts – adding additional strain on a Rangers bullpen that already ranks 26th overall for its ERA. As expected, the Rangers lost two of those three games. At the same time, Burnes is a proven quality starter who consistently Pitches into the seventh inning – four out of his last five starts have included seven innings or more from him! The Orioles boast a deep lineup that knows how to work the count and push pitchers deep into their pitch count, especially Burnes, against a Rangers lineup missing key pieces such as Gray. I anticipate the Orioles taking control early and wearing down Gray before creating havoc in their pen late in this game.
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Moneyline value exists if betting on the Ranges; I would not recommend that. I bet the Orioles -1.5. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app
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The Over/Under in this game is 8.5. This is a tricky over/under because the Rangers will be held to three or less runs. Can the Orioles score enough to hit the over? It’s very possible but I am leaning slightly to the under in this matchup.
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The Rangers eliminated the Orioles during the playoffs last season, but the Rangers are not as good as they were last season, and the Orioles have improved.
The Orioles’ pitching decides this game, as they have an advantage with starting pitching, and the Orioles’ bullpen is much better than the Rangers’ bullpen. Orioles 6, Rangers 1.
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