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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / NLDS Game 5 San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

NLDS Game 5 San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Odds, Tips and Predictions 10-11-24

Baseball Betting Tips ยท - ยท

Publish Date: 10/11/2024
Fact checked by: Mark Lewis

Who are the New York Mets going up against in the National League Championship Series? That will be determined on Friday when the San Diego Padres play the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 5 of the NLDS at Dodger Stadium – the first pitch is set for 8:08 PM ET; FOX will broadcast it.

Los Angeles won Game 1 before San Diego responded with two impressive victories to force a Game 5. Los Angeles then secured its own spot by winning Game 4 with an 8-0 scoreline, forcing San Diego into Game 5.

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Run Line: Dodgers -1.5
  • Moneyline Padres +122
  • Moneyline Dodgers -144
  • Over/Under 7.5

Since the All-Star break, these two teams have played at an even pace. San Diego was 43-20 in second-half play while Los Angeles was 42-23, both teams posting one of baseball’s two best records during this span.

Tatis has been one of the standout performers on a Padres offense that has been breathtaking this postseason, hitting.500 with an OPS of 1.759 while notching seven RBI and seven extra-base hits across six games – only two players have more hits this postseason than Tatis has extra-base hits!

Big games often come down to big-name players making big plays — it’s hard not to think Tatis will do just that here. He thrives under pressure situations and plays the role of heel. His success at Dodger Stadium speaks for itself – Tatis owns an OPS of.992 after 34 career games there!

On the other side, Ohtani remains tough to deal with but the Padres seem to have found an effective strategy to limit his success. He’s only gone 1-for-12 against Tanner Scott with six strikeouts; expect Tanner Scott and Ohtani to meet again late in this game. Additionally, Ohtani is just 1-for-8 against Darvish.

Yamamoto and Flaherty struggled against San Diego in this series’ opening matchup. Yamamoto is winless against San Diego this season, allowing 13 runs in nine innings pitched.

Emotions will likely run high at Dodger Stadium after how Game 2 unfolded, yet somehow, San Diego seems to thrive under pressure.

I predict that the Padres will travel to Los Angeles on Friday night and defeat their division rivals.

Padres vs Dodgers Moneyline

Moneyline value exists when betting on either team; take the Padres at plus money to win this game. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Padres ML
  • Tatis to come up huge
  • Dodgers at home
  • Both offenses have been hot and cold
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Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under Analysis

This over/under of 7.5 is not a lot of runs. I will bet the over, as I expect an emotional, hard-fought game until the end.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet the Over 7.5
  • Padres Pitching advantage
  • Ohtani needs a big game
  • Padres will win
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Go to DraftKings

Prediction

This game will be emotional, and I expect some lead changes with the Padres pulling it out behind Tatis. Padres 6 Dodgers 5

Padres +122

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