NLDS Game 3 Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets: Odds, Tips and Predictions 10-08-24

On Sunday afternoon in Game 2 of the National League Division Series against the New York Mets, the Philadelphia Phillies evened up their series thanks to a walk-off home run from Nick Castellanos that sealed victory 7-6.

Now, the Phillies find themselves in an uncertain spot on the road against an indomitable New York squad that has refused to surrender this season.

Aaron Nola will start for Philadelphia in his first postseason game this season against Sean Manaea of New York, who started during their Wild Card loss to Milwaukee Brewers.

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

• Run Line: Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline Phillies -112
• Moneyline Mets -104
• Over/Under 7.5

Nola threw a complete game shutout in his first start against the Mets, allowing just four hits and striking out eight. Then, on Sept. 13, he gave up six hits and six runs in 4.1 innings of work.

Meanwhile, Manaea has a 5.40 ERA in three starts against the Phillies this season, posting two strong outings with a blowup performance back on June 8 sandwiched in between.

The Mets have come from behind time and time again in the regular season and playoffs, but they couldn’t get over the hump in Game 2?

Does this play style come back to haunt them?

I have difficulty fading either of these teams since the Phillies are 21-12 in Nola’s starts and the Mets are 23-10 in Manaea’s starts.

I am taking the never-say-die Mets in this one; all the pressure is on the Phillies.

Phillies vs Mets Moneyline

Moneyline value exists betting on either team, take the Mets. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Mets ML

• Mets bullpen advantage
• Mets at home
• Great Pitching matchup

New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days

Open DraftKings

The best MLB betting sites

To satisfy the ever-growing market of MLB bettors, the best football sportsbooks offer unique user experiences, huge payouts, and fantastic bonuses. Gamers no longer have to go to casinos to find some physical action. Online bookies let you play the game of risk from the comfort of your own home. We hope our guide can point you in the right direction so you can find the best gambling experiences on the internet.

Best Brand

FanDuel Promo

New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days

Get bonus now

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. GamblingHelplineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 21+ (18+ DC, IA, KY, WV) only. New users only or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Casino, First online real money wager only. $5 first deposit required. Min $5 wager required for 5 consecutive days. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Bet Reset tokens. Refund from token issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bet that expire 7 days after receipt. Max refund $200 per day. Restrictions apply, including token expiration. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook. Call 1-877-770-7867 (LA).

Best Slots

BetMGM Promo

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Get bonus now

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

Newcomer

DraftKings Promo

New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days

Get bonus now

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days after issuance. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 8/23/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

Award

Caesars Promo

Bet $1 and get double the winnings up to $25 for your next 10 bets

–

21+ New users only. Must register using eligible promo code. First bet after registration must qualify. Max. Bonus Bet: $1,000. Bonus Bet expires 14 days after receipt. Void where prohibited. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Gambling Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537)

Phillies vs Mets Over/Under Analysis

This over/under of 7.5 is not a lot of runs. I will bet the over, figuring that the Mets will score at least five runs on their own and the Phillies will get theirs to expect most runs scored later in the game.

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet the Over 7.5

• Mets Pitching advantage
• Mets bullpen adbantage
• Mets will win

New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days

Open DraftKings

Prediction

The Mets have a pitching advantage in this game, especially in the Bullpen, and I look for the Mets to jump out early and coast home to victory. Mets 6  Phillies 4.

Mets =104