New York Mets vs Washington Nationals, Tips and Predictions 07/01/24

The Mets were one of the best teams in baseball during July, while the Washington Nationals cooled off. Both teams are in the National league Wild Card race and this is a big series especially for the Nationals.

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Mets vs Nationals

• Run Line: Mets -1.5
• Moneyline Mets -106
• Moneyline Nationals -110
• Over/Under 8.5

These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 07/01/24, coming from Draft Kings.

Our Best Pick: Bet Nationals ML

In game one, Washington will prevail against their division rival, New York. After losing seven of the last ten against them, this victory could mark their breakthrough win at home.

Gore has been outstanding this season, and his xERA matches his actual ERA exactly, showing there is no significant underlying regression to worry about when facing Peterson on Monday.

However, Peterson’s Expected ERA points toward negative regression; its 6.12 value is 2.45 points above his actual ERA. New York was red-hot during June but may come crashing back down soon due to playing too many games without sufficient rest and an overworked bullpen without Edwin Diaz to close them out – making them unlikely to keep piling up victories.

On Monday evening in Washington D.C, I’ll make an investment on the Nationals.

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Nationals ML

• Gore the better pitcher
• Nationals at home
• Toght Game is expected

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Mets vs Nationals Moneyline

Moneyline value exists if betting on both teams in this game; as the line makes this game basically a pick’em. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet the Orioles -1.5

• Orioles bull pen better
• Orioles at home at home
• Orioles playing well

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Mets vs Nationals Over/Under Analysis

The Over/Under in this game is 8.5. This is a tricky over/under because this is a decent pitching matchup, I lean towards the under in this game but only if making a small bet.

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet the Under 8.5

• Odds favor Lower scoring game
• Pitching should be good for the Nats
• Nats should win

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Mets vs Nationals Head-to-Head

The Mets won two out of three games earlier in the year in Washington as they lost game one of the series but dominated the final two games.

Conclusion

The Nationals have a starting pitching advantage in game one of this series and should squeak out a close win. Nationals 4  Mets 3.