The Mets were one of the best teams in baseball during July, while the Washington Nationals cooled off. Both teams are in the National league Wild Card race and this is a big series especially for the Nationals.
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Mets vs Nationals
Run Line: Mets -1.5
Moneyline Mets -106
Moneyline Nationals -110
Over/Under 8.5
These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 07/01/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Bet Nationals ML
In game one, Washington will prevail against their division rival, New York. After losing seven of the last ten against them, this victory could mark their breakthrough win at home.
Gore has been outstanding this season, and his xERA matches his actual ERA exactly, showing there is no significant underlying regression to worry about when facing Peterson on Monday.
However, Peterson’s Expected ERA points toward negative regression; its 6.12 value is 2.45 points above his actual ERA. New York was red-hot during June but may come crashing back down soon due to playing too many games without sufficient rest and an overworked bullpen without Edwin Diaz to close them out – making them unlikely to keep piling up victories.
On Monday evening in Washington D.C, I’ll make an investment on the Nationals.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Nationals ML
Gore the better pitcher
Nationals at home
Toght Game is expected
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Mets vs Nationals Moneyline
Moneyline value exists if betting on both teams in this game; as the line makes this game basically a pick’em. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Orioles -1.5
Orioles bull pen better
Orioles at home at home
Orioles playing well
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Mets vs Nationals Over/Under Analysis
The Over/Under in this game is 8.5. This is a tricky over/under because this is a decent pitching matchup, I lean towards the under in this game but only if making a small bet.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Under 8.5
Odds favor Lower scoring game
Pitching should be good for the Nats
Nats should win
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Mets vs Nationals Head-to-Head
The Mets won two out of three games earlier in the year in Washington as they lost game one of the series but dominated the final two games.
Conclusion
The Nationals have a starting pitching advantage in game one of this series and should squeak out a close win. Nationals 4 Mets 3.
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