MLB Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Odds, Tips and Predictions 08-28-25

Here’s a deeper breakdown of tonight’s matchup between the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets at Citi Field.

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

• Run Line: Mets -1.5
• Moneyline Marlins +255
• Moneyline Mets -210
• Over/Under 8

These odds were updated at 9 am EST on 08/28/25, coming from DraftKings. Check out the top online MLB betting sites the only way to be great at sports betting is to have multiple accounts with at least three sportsbooks to get the best odds for every game.

Starting Pitchers: Holmes vs. Mazur

Clay Holmes – New York Mets

• Experience & Stats: Holmes enters with an 11–6 record and a 3.60 ERA, along with a 1.32 WHIP and 109 strikeouts, spanning 137.1 innings pitched this season.

• Backstory: A former All-Star reliever turned starter, Holmes signed a three-year, $38 million deal with the Mets. This marks his first full season as a starter since 2018. Known for his dominant sinker-slider combo and rare ability to induce ground balls, his transition is a key storyline.

• Home Comforts: The Mets hold a strong 44–24 record at home, and their rotation, bolstered by Holmes, is a big reason why.

Adam Mazur – Miami Marlins

• Recent Promotion: Mazur was recently recalled from Triple-A Jacksonville to make the start tonight.

• Major League Inexperience: His MLB stats show a limited sample—0–1 record, 6.35 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, and around 5 strikeouts in 5.2 innings.

• Background: Drafted by the Padres in 2022 (53rd overall), Mazur posted solid numbers in the minors—double-A and triple-A—but has struggled in his brief MLB action. He’s still adjusting to major-league competition

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets, Money Line

The Mets are the better team, especially at home.

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Mets ML

• Mets Great Starting Pitching
• Bullpen will be the difference
• Game at New York

New Customers: Bet $5+ Get $300 in Bonus Bets Instantly

Open DraftKings

The best Baseball betting sites

To satisfy the ever-growing market of Baseball bettors, the best Soccer sportsbooks offer unique user experiences, huge payouts, and fantastic bonuses. Gamers no longer have to go to casinos to find some physical action. Online bookies let you play the game of risk from the comfort of your own home. We hope our guide can point you in the right direction so you can find the best gambling experiences on the internet.

Best Brand

DraftKings Promo

New Customers: Bet $5+ Get $300 in Bonus Bets Instantly

Get bonus now

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/PR/WY). Void in NH/OR/ONT/PR. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings Sportsbook customer. Must register new account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $300 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Bet must settle by and Token expires 5/3/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: Promos | DraftKings Sportsbook . Ends 4/26/26 at 11:59 PM ET.

Best Slots

FanDuel Promo

New Users – Bet $5 Get $250 If Your Bet Wins!

Get bonus now

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit RG Help . Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit Helpline and Chat – CONNECTICUT COUNCIL (CT). “Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support. 21+ and present in MA. Connect with a PlayWell Advisor at PlayWell.org. Visit Home (MD). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 21+ (18+ D.C., KY, WY) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). First online real money wager only. $5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bets which expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at FanDuel Sportsbook

Newcomer

BetMGM Promo

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Get bonus now

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

Award

Barstool Promo

–

T&Cs and 21+ apply

What to Watch Tonight

• Length of Outing: Will Holmes go deep into the game and cover his usual workload, or will he be on a short leash as a converted starter?

• Pitching Repertoire: Holmes is working on maintaining his sinker-slider approach while adding pitches to navigate lineups more than once. Mazur’s pitch mix and control remain an open question.

• Effectiveness vs. Batters: Can Mazur keep Mets hitters honest, or will his inexperience be exploited? Meanwhile, Mets’ hitters will test Holmes’ stamina and ability to adapt.

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Over/Under Analysis 8.5

The Yankees will score 6 or more runs tonight, bet the over!

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet the Over 8.5

• One-sided Pitching Matchup
• Game at New York
• Bullpen will be key

New Customers: Bet $5+ Get $300 in Bonus Bets Instantly

Open DraftKings

Final Take

This matchup starkly pits a tested, stable veteran (Holmes) against a raw, unproven arm (Mazur). Expect the Mets to leverage experience and home-ground momentum, while the Marlins are hoping for a spark or at least a competitive outing from Mazur. Ultimately, if Holmes can handle the rotation grind and Mazur doesn’t unravel early, New York holds a distinct edge tonight.

Bet  Phillies ML