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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / MLB St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers Odds, Tips and Predictions 08-04-25

MLB St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers Odds, Tips and Predictions 08-04-25

Baseball Betting Tips · - ·

Publish Date: 08/04/2025
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa

Here’s your full betting preview for tonight’s matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and Los Angeles Dodgers:

St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Run Line: Dodgers -1.5
  • Moneyline Cardinals +156
  • Moneyline Dodgers -188
  • Over/Under 8

These odds were updated at 9 am EST on 08/04/25, coming from DraftKings. Check out the top online MLB betting sites the only way to be great at sports betting is to have multiple accounts with at least three sportsbooks to get the best odds for every game.

⚟ Team Overview

🔮 St. Louis Cardinals (56–57, 4th in NL Central)

  • Last 10 Games: 6–4

  • Run Differential: –24

  • Recent Series: Took 2 of 3 vs. Padres; lost 2 of 3 to Marlins

  • Key Injuries: Nolan Arenado (DL), Dylan Carlson (day-to-day)

đŸ”” Los Angeles Dodgers (65–47, 1st in NL West)

  • Last 10 Games: 5–5

  • Run Differential: +72

  • Recent Series: Lost 2 of 3 to Rays, swept Twins before that

  • Key Injuries: Max Muncy, Hye-Seong Kim, Daniel Hudson, Enrique HernĂĄndez

👊 Starting Pitching Matchup

🔮 Sonny Gray – STL

  • Record: 10–5

  • ERA: 4.38 | WHIP: 1.22 | K/9: 9.1

  • Last 3 Starts:

    • vs SD: 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 1 BB

    • @ ARI: 3 IP, 8 ER (career-worst start)

    • vs MIA: 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 K

  • Trends: Gray has been inconsistent lately. After two blowups in July, he rebounded well vs San Diego. His FIP (4.62) suggests his ERA could rise slightly.

  • Vs LAD in 2024–25: 1 start, 5.2 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB

  • Pitch Mix: 4-seam (30%), curve (25%), cutter (18%), sinker (15%), change (12%)

  • Notes: Struggles vs lefties (.278 BAA, .805 OPS) and gives up hard contact when behind in counts.

đŸ”” Tyler Glasnow – LAD

  • Record: 1–1

  • ERA: 3.38 | WHIP: 1.15 | K/9: 12.8

  • Last 3 Starts:

    • vs MIN: 7 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 12 K (dominant)

    • @ MIL: 5 IP, 1 ER, 8 K

    • vs SF: 6.1 IP, 2 ER, 10 K

  • Trends: Glasnow has struck out 30 batters in his last 18.1 innings. His xERA of 2.91 and .198 BAA are elite.

  • Vs STL in career: 2 GS, 1–1, 2.45 ERA, 0.89 WHIP

  • Pitch Mix: 4-seam (45%), slider (32%), curve (18%), change (5%)

  • Notes: Dominant vs righties (.180 BAA), and holds lefties under .230 BAA. Elite swing-and-miss stuff (17.2% whiff rate).

St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers, Money Line

The Bullpen will be a big difference in this game favoring the Dodgers in a close game.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Reds ML
  • Glasnow will pitch well
  • Bullpen will be the difference
  • Game at Los Angeles
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đŸ”„ Key Player Props

Hitter Props:

  • Mookie Betts O/U 1.5 total bases –125 → Batting .341 vs RHP over last 30 games

  • Freddie Freeman O/U 0.5 RBI +130 → Has RBIs in 5 of last 7

  • Paul Goldschmidt O/U 0.5 hits –210 → Career .357 avg vs Glasnow

  • Lars Nootbaar HR +500 → quietly heating up with .570 SLG last 10

Pitching Props:

  • Glasnow O/U 7.5 Ks (–110) → Over in 3 straight games

  • Gray O/U 5.5 Ks (–115) → Might be pulled early if pitch count climbs

🧠 Game Script Prediction

  • Early Innings: Glasnow sets the tone early, likely 2–3 scoreless IP. Gray keeps it close but will face pressure by the 4th or 5th.

  • Midgame Shift: Dodgers’ depth and plate discipline (9.5% walk rate) grind Gray out early. Dodgers could open up a 3–1 lead by 6th.

  • Bullpen Factor: LA’s back end (Graterol, Vesia, Phillips) far more reliable. St. Louis vulnerable late.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers Over/Under Analysis 8

Bet the under, I think both Pitchers will pitch well and the bullpen will be the difference.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the under 8
  • Even Starting Pitching Matchup
  • Game at Los Angeles
  • Bullpen will be key
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Final Take

.The Dodgers will slowly take the lead and close the game out with a 4-3 win.

Bet  Dodgers ML

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