The two best teams in the National League Central will begin a huge three-game series in Milwaukee on Friday night. The Reds have been one of the hottest teams in baseball and now have a two-game lead over the Brewers. Andrew Abbott, who is undefeated in his Major League career, will take the mound tonight for the Reds. Can the Brewers slow down the Reds offense?
The Milwaukee Brewers boast a team slugging percentage of.372, while scoring 4.20 runs per contest (25th in baseball). Milwaukee has made 119 two-baggers while walking 302 times and scoring 365 runs this year; hitting 91 homers along with 350 runs batted in. Furthermore, striking out 813 times (tied for fourth most among MLB) and amassing 659 base hits has helped Milwaukee to achieve an on-base percentage of.309 and an overall team batting average of.230 across their 16 games this season.
The Brewers boast a WHIP of 1.269 and an FIP of 4.56 as a team, boasting an 8.10 strikeout-to-walk ratio (692 strikeouts vs 276 free passes). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8/10 (692 strikeouts vs 276 free passes), placing them 11th among MLB pitching staffs for total hits given up (704). They’ve allowed 109 homers, giving up 4.44 runs per 9 innings (14th). As a collective the Milwaukee pitching staff has surrendered 381 runs while sporting an ERA of 4.10 (352 earned runs allowed).
Milwaukee bullpen pitchers boast an inherited score percentage of 29.0% from 100 base runners inherited. Milwaukee relief pitchers have come onto the mound 82 times during high-leverage situations with runners on, as well as 70 times when runners were already present. Out of 90 save situations, 53 holds have been made on 11 attempts (ranked sixth in MLB at 69.4% save rate); 279 bullpen pitchers have taken part this season alone with 36 save chances totalling 25 saves being taken advantage of by Milwaukee.
Over 6,954 innings played this season, the Brewers have amassed an overall defensive efficiency rating of 71.1% (2nd in professional baseball). They have accomplished 66 double plays and boast a fielding percentage of.987 (10th). Furthermore, 772 assists have been registered, 42 errors made up against them and 2,318 putouts made.
Burnes has allowed 481 hits while collecting 766 strikeouts in 617 frames during his MLB career, yielding 229 earned runs with an ERA of 3.34 while walking 4.38 batters per 9 innings pitched. Burnes earned 41 wins as part of that career mark and holds onto an excellent strikeout-to-walk ratio at 4.38; facing 2,4999 batters over his MLB tenure (41-24 mark overall).
The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 155 doubles as a team and hit 94 balls out of the park, boasting a slugging percentage of.419 while also being called out on strikes 769 times; on 322 occasions they have also been walked. Cincinnati’s earnings per game average stands at five which places them fifth overall while their 422 RBIs and 768 hits rank fifth with an OBP of.339.
Reds pitchers boast an impressive strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.27, as well as a team WHIP of 1.45. They’ve given up 115 homers and 446 runs (27th in baseball). Cincinnati also gave up 797 hits (9.2 per 9 innings), plus 423 earned runs en route to an ERA of 4.90 (27th) for 2018. Their staff has struck out 738 batters this year while walking 325 opposing batters while their FIP stands at 4.75 overall for 2018.
Reds relievers have inherited 166 base runners from opposing pitchers; 28.9% ended up crossing the plate. Their relief pitchers have recorded 32 saves (with 13 attempts gone awry). Overall they boasted a save rate of 71.19%; they entered into games 96 times for save situations alone (10th in league), 49 holds and 130 appearances with runners on base (10th overall).
The Cincinnati Reds have successfully converted 67.9% of balls in play into outs in 6,987 innings played, which puts them 25th among MLB clubs. So far they have 2,329 putouts as well as 699 assists and 41 errors; their fielding percentage sits at.987 which places them 9th overall and they’ve completed 64 double plays.
Abbott has pitched 37 innings and amassed 42 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 1.21 (5 earned runs allowed) while his WHIP stands at 0.884; 20 hits (4.8 hits per nine innings) have been allowed as well as 13 free passes during this stretch; Abbott holds an FIP of 3.48 against 143 opposing batters during his time in major league.
The Reds offense has been on fire and the lineup from top to bottom is loaded. Throw in Andrew Abbott is starting and the value on this pick skyrockets at +110. The Reds have struggled against the Brewers, even this season but I think we will see that start to change tonight. Take the Reds on the +110 money line.
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