Two NL Central rivals square off tonight as the Cincinnati Reds (58â54) visit the Chicago Cubs (65â46) to kick off a critical three-game series. The Cubs are hot and remain in contention for the division crown, while the Reds are scrapping to stay alive in the wild card race. These head-to-heads have playoff implications.
Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs
Run Line: Cubs -1.5
Moneyline Reds +118
Moneyline Cubs -140
Over/Under 8
These odds were updated at 9 am EST on 08/04/25, coming from DraftKings. Check out the
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Strengths: Lodolo is Cincinnatiâs ace when healthy. He features a sharp curve and deceptive delivery. Heâs struck out 113 batters in 98.2 innings while holding opponents to a .222 average.
Recent Form: Lodolo has gone 3â1 in his last 5 starts with a 2.77 ERA.
Splits: 2.89 ERA on the road; more effective against lefty-heavy lineups like the Cubs’.
đ”
Chicago Cubs â RHP Michael Soroka (3â8, 4.87 ERA, 1.45 WHIP)
Strengths: Once an All-Star, Soroka is trying to rediscover form post-injury. He pitches to contact, relying on a sinker and weak grounders.
Recent Form: In his last 3 starts: 0â2, 6.11 ERA, 1.62 WHIP.
Weaknesses: Vulnerable to left-handed power bats; Reds can exploit this with Elly De La Cruz, Jake Fraley, and Will Benson.
Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs, Money Line
Good value given Lodoloâs form and Sorokaâs struggles.
Reds are 14â8 in Lodolo starts this season.
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Reds ML
Lodolo will pitch well
Bullpen will be the difference
Game at Chicago
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Athletic base running â 2nd in MLB in stolen bases
Solid back end of bullpen with Alexis DĂaz (23 saves, 2.91 ERA)
Lodolo gives them a true advantage on the mound
Weaknesses:
Inconsistent middle relief
Young lineup can be boom-or-bust
đ”
Cubs
Last 10 games: 7â3
Strengths:
Top 3 MLB offense (5.28 runs/game)
Power: Cody Bellinger (24 HR), Christopher Morel (21 HR)
Stellar defense (.988 fielding pct)
Weaknesses:
Sorokaâs inconsistency
Bullpen has blown 5 leads since All-Star break
Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Over/Under Analysis 8
Bet the over as the Cubs bullpen has struggled and the Cubs starting pitching is not reliable tonight.
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet the Over 8
Reds Pitching advantage
Game at Chicago
Bullpen will be key
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Final Take
Reds 6, Cubs 5
Reds jump early on Soroka; Lodolo holds Cubs to 2 runs over 6.
Cubs make it close late, but Alexis DĂaz shuts it down.
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