Tonight, the Chicago Cubs (11-7) will start a three-game series against the San Diego Padres (13-3) at Petco Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 9:40 PM ET, with Jameson Taillon starting for the Cubs and Dylan Cease for the Padres. The Cubs are currently leading the N.L. Central, and the Padres are in a dog fight in the N.L. West!
Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres
Run Line: Padres
Moneyline Cubs +136
Moneyline Padres -162
Over/Under 7.5
These odds were updated at 9 am EST on 04/07/25, coming from DraftKings. Check out the
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Pitching Matchup: Taillon vs. Cease
Jameson Taillon (Cubs)
Taillon has a record of 1–1 with an earned run average (ERA) of 6.06 and a WHIP of 1.35 over 16.1 innings pitched. He has allowed four home runs this season, showing some vulnerability to power hitters. Historically, he has performed well against the Padres, holding a record of 2–0 with a 2.19 ERA in previous matchups.
Dylan Cease (Padres)
Cease also has a record of 1–1, but with a higher ERA of 7.98 and a WHIP of 1.57 over 14.2 innings. Opposing batters are hitting .283 against him, and he has issued six walks. However, he was successful against the Cubs last season, achieving a 2–0 record with 19 strikeouts over 13 innings pitched.
Injury Updates
Cubs
Carson Kelly (C) and Seiya Suzuki (RF) are day-to-day.
Ryan Brasier (RP), Vidal Brujan (SS), and Tyson Miller (RP) are on the injured list
Padres
Francis Pena (RP) is out
Forrest Wall (LF) and Jackson Merrill (CF) are on the injured list .
Chicago Cubs: Balanced Bats With Plate Discipline
Chicago enters the game batting
.256 as a team, good for 7th in the majors. They’ve done damage without relying solely on the long ball, ranking top-10 in
doubles
and
OBP. Key contributors include:
Kyle Tucker: .324 AVG / 5 HR / 18 RBI / .974 OPS – He’s seeing more pitches per AB than anyone on the team (4.26), and punishing mistakes.
Michael Busch: Quietly slugging .550, including 3 HRs in his last 6 games.
Dansby Swanson: Struggling at the plate (.212 AVG), but his elite defense continues to save runs.
Cubs’ situational hitting
has been a strength — they’re 6th in MLB with RISP (.297). That may be vital tonight against Cease, who tends to pitch into trouble but can strike out hitters when he needs to.
San Diego Padres: Depth and Star Power
With
13 wins in their first 16 games, San Diego has been arguably the hottest team in the league. Their lineup is deep, dynamic, and full of emerging threats.
Fernando Tatis Jr.: .351 AVG / 4 HR / 9 RBI – He’s cut his strikeout rate by 7% compared to last year.
Jackson Merrill: Batting .378 with power from the left side — he’s forcing his way into the Rookie of the Year conversation.
Luis Arraez: The perfect table-setter — .333 AVG and a 93% contact rate.
Add in a bench with legit depth (Xander Bogaerts is heating up, and Ha-Seong Kim has 4 SBs), and you have a team that can beat you 1-through-9.
Our Best Pick: Padres to Win
This projects to be a tight contest, especially if both starters can avoid early damage. The Cubs may draw more walks and force Cease into high-stress innings, but San Diego’s late-inning firepower and home-field advantage give them the edge.
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Giants ML
Great Pitching matchup
Both offenses will struggle early in the game
Giants will have the better offense
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Cubs vs Padres Moneyline
I think a moneyline bet is the best way to bet this game and I am leaning to the Padres as they are playing the better baseball as of right now.
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Padres to Win
Bullpen will be a major key
both offenses produce
Giants at home
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Cubs vs Padres Over/Under Analysis
I would lean towards the over in this game as the pitching between two legit aces should be dominating, until the sixth or seventh inning when both teams will probably go to the bullpen.
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet the Over 7.5
Offensive struggles against Starting Pitchers
Bullpens to be the difference
Bullpen will be key
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Conclusion
I like the starting pitching matchup in this game, and I think it slightly favors the Padres. SD 6 Chic 4
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