Major League Baseball All-Star Game festivities begin this Saturday and culminate with the “Midsummer Classic.” For 25 years, American League pitchers had dominated this annual showcase by winning 21 out of 26 All-Star Games, but last year, the National League stunned their counterparts by defeating them 3-2, thus invigorating them to create their first winning streak since winning three consecutive from 2010-12.
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American vs National
Run Line: American League -1.5
Moneyline National League +100
Moneyline American League -118
Over/Under 7.5
These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 07/11/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Bet The Under 7.5
Tyler Glasnow, Chris Sale, Ranger Suarez and Logan Gilbert won’t be available to pitch in this year’s All-Star Game due to injuries or ailments; however, all these pitchers are starters, meaning most innings will likely be handled by relievers more comfortable coming out of the bullpen.
Over the last 18 Midsummer Classics, pitchers have held the edge at the All-Star Game. 14 out of 17 Midsummer Classics saw underscores hit. An average of 6.6 runs has been scored during that span (113 total). Double-digit runs scored last occurred back in 2005. It has also proven difficult for teams to start scoring early; four of five All-Star Games saw no runs scored in their opening innings!
The All-Star Game’s format makes it difficult for batters to find their groove; most will receive only two plate appearances and 20 pitchers will be used by both teams. Luckily, T-Mobile Park stands out as being among the lowest stadiums (excluding London Stadium ) when it comes to runs scored, OBP and runs batted in per innings; though Globe Life Field ranks higher. These low-scoring events may explain why Globe Life Field may rank in the lower half compared to T-Mobile Park and T-Mobile Park; both may explain why.
As Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, Rafael Devers and Kyle Tucker will not be available, we would give the National League moneyline odds (+100) slight preference over their American League counterparts.
DraftKings
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History of low scoring games
Hitters can’t get into a rythmn
Double Digit runs scored in 2005
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All-Star Game MVP
Five of the last nine All-Star Game MVPs have been starters, which makes sense since they receive more at-bats than those coming off the bench. Of the remaining four non-starter candidates who were awarded MVP honors, two were pitchers: Shane Bieber won in 2019, pitching before his fans at Progressive Field; Mariano Rivera achieved lifetime achievement status while pitching at Citi Field; Pedro Martinez took home MVP in 1999 after striking out five batters during two innings of work to claim this accolade.
Skenes is the epitome of storybook stature as he becomes the first Pittsburgh Pirates pitcher since 1975 to start an All-Star Game despite making only 11 starts overall. Skenes has the capability of recording five-plus strikeouts like Martinez in two innings if allowed to throw for 11 starts with an ERA below 2.00 since 1913, per ESPN Stats & Information. Skenes’ extraordinary start as a rookie has cemented him as the third-shortest favorite to win the Cy Young Award, and though DraftKings may not yet offer All-Star Game MVP odds, his +3000 odds at FanDuel could make for an interesting gamble, particularly if there are no late game heroics from any batter to steal his thunder.
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