Prediction: Bet Texas to win
- Over/Under: Houston vs Texas (9.5)
- Spread: Astros -126
- Pick: Bet Texas to win
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Game preview Houston vs Texas
This could mark only the second time in MLB history that an away team managed to take all seven games without losing, including the Astros (2019 World Series; Washington Nationals won that series). Scherzer (Game 7 in that 2019 World Series; Game 7 here as well) allowed five runs over four innings in Game 3, his first appearance after over a month due to shoulder soreness; Javier allowed just two runs in five and 2/3 innings pitched during this series.
Can the Astros bounce back from game 6?
Javier made 31 starts for the regular season, going 10-5 with an ERA of 4.56. His 1.27 WHIP score, 3.4 BB/9 rate and 8.8 K/9 ratio made for an excellent 162-inning performance.
Last Start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1BB and 3 K to capture an 8-5 win against Texas Rangers on Wednesday in Game 3 of ALCS series.
This season, the Houston Astros have been favored 124 times and won 50.8%, or 63 games, when oddsmakers favor them by at least -126 on the money line. Houston holds a 53-46 record when sportsbooks favor them by this margin and thus possess an estimated 55.8% chance to win their next matchup according to implied probability calculations on money line bets. Houston and its opponents have exceeded the over/under total this season on 90 of 172 chances, giving the Astros an 86-86-0 mark against the spread in those chances.
Can the Rangers finish it off?
Scherzer went 13-6 with a 3.77 ERA across 27 regular-season starts for both the Mets and Rangers with 1.12 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9, and 10.3 K/9. He earned All-Star consideration during this stretch as well. He is nearing 40 years old and is slowing down, does he have another great effort in him?
The Texas Rangers have been an underdog in 58 games this season and won 31 (53.4%) of those contests they were listed as underdogs for. When listed with at least +106 on the money line, Texas has gone 17-3 when listed as such a team. The moneyline set for this matchup suggests the Rangers have a 48.5% chance of coming away victorious from this contest. Of Texas’ 173 total games this season, 89 have gone over their respective totals while they are 97-76-0 against the spread.
Our Betting Pick for Today – Bet the Rangers +108
Houston will face Scherzer, who looked out of sorts in his Rangers (+108) postseason debut Game 3, being outdueled by Javier. Though Houston’s home record has been terrible this season, you have to lean in favor of the home side, considering Scherzer has struggled tremendously on the road this year, don’t you? I say no I think Max will pitch just well enough to keep the Rangers in the game. This will be a close down to the final out game that the Rangers will pull out in the end.
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