Powered by:
as known from New York Timesas known from USA Todayas known from yahoo!
VA
Contains commercial content
The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / MLB ALCS Game 5 Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers: Series Odds, Tips, and Predictions 10/20/23

MLB ALCS Game 5 Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers: Series Odds, Tips, and Predictions 10/20/23

Baseball Betting Tips Β· 10/20/2023 - 5:07 pm Β· Globe Life Field

Publish Date: 10/20/2023
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Prediction: Bet Texas to win
  • Over/Under: Houston vs Texas (9)
  • Spread: Rangers -118
  • Pick: Bet Texas to win
–
Go to DraftKings
T&Cs apply, 21+

Game preview Houston vs Texas

We have drama finally in the MLB Playoffs as the Houston Astros evened this series on Thursday. The visiting team has won in this series’s first four games. The Rangers need to win game five to return to Houston with the series lead. The pitching matchup makes me believe that runs will be at a premium in game five of this series.

Texas Rangers Can the Rangers bounce back?

Montgomery was excellent in Game 1 of this series, holding one of baseball’s premier lineups scoreless for six and one-third innings while mixing up his pitches beautifully.

Montgomery threw his sinker 42% of the time during regular season play while using his curveball and changeup about equally (about 22% each). But for Game 1, Montgomery heavily utilized his curveball.

Montgomery knows there’s a reason for that, too: The Astros this season had only a +1.9 run value against curveballs – their lowest mark against any pitch type – making him aware that Montgomery should utilize his curveball more often and keep throwing it, with its Stuff+ rating reaching 121. He can do exactly the same against them in Game 5.

Moral of the Story: When facing off against the Rangers lineup, no matter what pitch type or location is thrown their way, they are sure to hit it hard and often. They were third in baseball for wOBA against right-handed pitching while having positive run values for every type of pitch type, requiring you to be precise with your command to keep their lineup quiet.

After falling behind early to the Astros, Bochy saved his top three arms: Josh Sborz, Aroldis Chapman and Jose Leclerc to have them fresh for Game 5.

Β 

Houston AstrosCan the Astros take control of the series?

Verlander did not perform poorly in Game 1. He gave up two runs on six hits; of 51 pitches the Rangers hit, only four were considered hard hits.

Verlander utilized his fastball frequently during this game, using it just under 50% of the time and averaging just over 94 mph – this fits within his averages for this season.

Verlander hasn’t pitched exceptionally well since rejoining the Astros, but his performance has dramatically improved as we neared the end of both regular season and postseason play. Over his last four starts he has only given up three earned runs on 15 hits over 25 2/3 innings; thus, there is no reason to downgrade him after his Game 1 performance.

Verlander stands out against left-handed batters with his ability to hold them to just a.247 wOBA this season, making him a formidable adversary against a Rangers lineup that likely contains at least five left-handed bats on Friday night.

Verlander’s stuff has remained steady and above league average, earning a Stuff+ rating of 106; more significantly, though, his Location+ during the final month showed that he’s starting to control his pitches more.

Despite their poor showing in Game 1, Houston is an ideal team to face Montgomery. Houston finished third overall during the regular season in left-handed pitching with an OBP/K rate of.346 and possessing one of the lowest strikeout rates.

Montgomery’s sinker, changeup and curveball were among the pitches the Astros hit well during their regular season success against. To be exact, their run value against Montgomery was +2.2 against left-handed versions of these pitches combined; however, when facing him earlier they struggled.

With their early lead in Game 4, the Astros were able to preserve three key arms in their bullpen that pitched on Wednesday (Ryan Pressley, Hector Neris and Bryan Abreu), using much of the back end as backup, meaning all are available for Game 5.

Β 

Our Betting Pick for Today – Bet the Rangers -118

I lean towards Montgomery in a close, low-scoring game; take the rangers to win this game.

Tip:
Rangers to Win
Best Odd
-118
Brand
FanDuel
Max. Bonus
Bet Now
Read Also
Betting Tips
02/06/2024 - 8:00 pm
Ohio State
Tip:
Ohio State to Cover
-5.50
FanDuel
02/03/2024 - 6:30 pm
Carmichael
Tip:
North Carolina to Cover
-4.00
FanDuel
02/03/2024 - 6:00 pm
Hulman Center
Tip:
Indiana State to Cover
-5.50
FanDuel
Latest News
Top 10 One-Hit wonder seasons in Baseball History
This list is for players who had one ...
Top 10 Athletes past the age of 40 All Time: Where does Tom Brady rank?
Most great athletes retire when they reach their ...
2024 NFL Mock Draft 4.0
It's Mock Draft Monday! The NFL Draft is ...
Top 10 College Basketball programs to never win a National Championship
It's hard to win a National Championship, unless ...
Talented Devin Haney big favorite to defeat social media star Ryan Garcia
Is the Devin Haney – Ryan Garcia fight ...
Top Brands
Top Bonuses
Stake.us
Stake.us
Stake.us Review
4.7/5
McLuck
McLuck
McLuck Review
4.7/5
High5Casino
High5Casino
High5Casino Review
4.6/5
Sweeptastic
Sweeptastic
Sweeptastic Review
4.5/5
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas Review
4.5/5
Sportzino
Sportzino
Sportzino Review
4.5/5
Vegas Gems
Vegas Gems
Vegas Gems Review
4.5/5
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins Review
4.5/5
Funrize
Funrize
Funrize Review
4.4/5
Pulsz.com
Pulsz.com
Pulsz.com Review
4.4/5
Stake.us
Stake.us Bonus
$55 Stake Cash + 260K Gold Coins + 5% Rakeback
T&Cs apply
4.7/5
McLuck
McLuck Bonus
Up to 57.500 Gold Coins + 27.5 Free Sweepstakes Coins
T&Cs apply
4.7/5
High5Casino
High5Casino Bonus
5 Sweeps Coins + 250 Game Coins + 600 Diamonds
T&Cs apply
4.6/5
Sweeptastic
Sweeptastic Bonus
Get 55,000 Lucky Coins and 34 Sweeps Coins with first purchase
T&Cs apply
4.5/5
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas Bonus
1.75 million WOW Coins + 35 Free Sweepstake Coins
T&Cs apply
4.5/5
Sportzino
Sportzino Bonus
Get 180,000 GC + 8 FREE Sweeps Coins
T&Cs apply
4.5/5
Vegas Gems
Vegas Gems Bonus
1000 Gems + 50% Extra gems On Your First Shards Purchase
T&Cs apply
4.5/5
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins Bonus
Claim Your Free 630,000 Gold Coins & 1,400 Sweeps Coins
T&Cs apply
4.5/5
Funrize
Funrize Bonus
FREE 400,000 Coins and 1000 Entries
T&Cs apply
4.4/5
Pulsz.com
Pulsz.com Bonus
367,000 Gold Coins + FREE 32.3 Sweepstakes Coins
T&Cs apply
4.4/5
Our Team
Mike GoodpasterJosh SchwartzSimon BriffaMark LewisSamuel Teets
Mike Goodpaster
Mike Goodpaster
Chief Editor
Josh Schwartz
Josh Schwartz
Editor
Simon Briffa
Simon Briffa
Sports Editor
Mark Lewis
Mark Lewis
Editor
Samuel Teets
Samuel Teets
US Sports Veteran
Find out what the legends have to say about sports this week....

21+ and present in VA. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

This site is using Cloudflare and adheres to the Google Safe Browsing Program. We adapted Google's Privacy Guidelines to keep your data safe at all times.

Close
Players accepted in the US US Flag
Stake.us Exclusive Bonus
$55 Stake Cash + 260K Gold Coins + 5% Rakeback
Promo Code
Copy
Visit Site
T&Cs apply, 18+
Payment Methods
Bitcoin
Litecoin
Ethereum
Dogecoin
Highlights
  • Exclusive promo code: TGTSOCIAL
  • Play Plinko, Hilo, Crash and more!
  • Get Stake Cash bonuses every day!
Stake Originals
Dice
Crash
Plinko
Mines
×
Your Promo Code:
The bonus offer of was already opened in an additional window. If not, you can open it also by clicking the following link:
Visit Site