The Brewers were one of the best teams in baseball during July, while the Rockies have struggled all season. This is a big series for the Mets as they battle it out for a wold card playoff berth.
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Brewers vs Rockies
Run Line: Brewers -1.5
Moneyline Brewers -162
Moneyline Rockies +136
Over/Under 8.5
These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 07/01/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Bet Rockies RL
Milwaukee currently stands with a 5-11 run line record as road favorites this season, while Colorado stands with 19-19 run line record as home underdogs.
Today I recommend placing a bet on Colorado to cover the run line at -105 odds. Milwaukee hasn’t proven themselves reliable runline favorites when on the road and Wilson has struggled away from Coors Field with an expected ERA (xERA) of 4.65; negative regression may follow accordingly. Colorado boasts impressive offensive stats – 265 BA/.326, OBP, RLG/OPS metrics at Coors Field while night games produce results similar to Coors.
The Brewers boast a.235/.316/.360/.676 batting line against left-handed pitching with a 26.7% strikeout rate against them, but Gomber has been stellar at home this season and hadn’t faced Milwaukee in some time; that bodes well for him against them, in my estimation. If Wilson outpitch Gomber in Monday night’s match-up, I believe they will win either straight up or at least cover.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Rockies RL
Milwaukee Striggles to Cover Run Line on the Road
Rockies at home
Rockies will cover
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Brewers vs Rockies Moneyline
Moneyline value exists if betting on Colorado, but I am not confident to make that bet. Run Line and betting the Rockies with +1.5 is the best bet on this game. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Rockies +1.5
Rockies will cover
Rockies at home
Brewers playing well
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Brewers vs Rockies Over/Under Analysis
The over/Under in this game is 11.5. This is a tricky over/under because there’s a lot of runs to score. I will stay away from this run line tonight. It is too big, and there are many variables that make it an iffy bet. If I had to make a bet I would lean towards the under.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Under 11.5
Odds favor High scoring game
Pitching should struggle
Brewers should win
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Brewers vs Rockies Head-to-Head
This will be the first matchup between these two teams this season.
Conclusion
The Brewers are the better team and should win the game, but they have struggled to cover the run line on the road this season. Brewers 6 Rockies 5
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