Mariners vs Tigers ALDS Game 3: Top 4 Prop Bet Power Plays

Game 3 of the ALDS shifts to Comerica Park as the Seattle Mariners and Detroit Tigers square off in a pivotal matchup. With the series tied 1-1, every pitch, swing, and managerial move carries playoff weight. Seattle turns to Logan Gilbert, who’s been steady in big spots, while Detroit counters with Jack Flaherty, hoping to regain his early-season command. Both lineups have flashed pop but struggled for consistency, giving bettors an intriguing slate of prop bet value plays rather than relying solely on the moneyline or total.

Prop Overview

• Logan Gilbert (O 6.5 Strikeouts)

• Julio Rodriguez (O 1.5 Total Bases)

• Riley Greene (O 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI)

• Spencer Torkelson (U 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI)

Prop #1 – Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 Strikeouts

Gilbert’s power arsenal and fearless approach give him a great shot to clear this number. Detroit’s offense ranked near the bottom of the AL in strikeout rate versus right-handed pitching, and Gilbert has fanned 7+ batters in five of his last seven outings. If his fastball command stays crisp, the slider can finish hitters late in counts.

Why It Hits: Detroit’s swing-and-miss profile plus Gilbert’s playoff poise make this a strong anchor play. Risk Factor: Early traffic could shorten his outing.

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Prop #2 – Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases

Seattle’s superstar tends to shine brightest when the lights burn hottest. Rodriguez is driving the ball with authority, collecting extra-base hits in each of his last three games. Flaherty’s declining velocity and hard-contact rate spell opportunity for Julio to cash this with a double or a couple of singles.

Why It Hits: His bat speed neutralizes righty fastballs, and Comerica’s spacious gaps reward line-drive hitters. Risk Factor: Flaherty’s curveball can induce weak contact if Julio gets too aggressive.

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Prop #3 – Riley Greene Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

The heart of Detroit’s order revolves around Riley Greene, and his patient approach pays off in these combo props. Even if he doesn’t deliver multiple hits, a walk and an RBI grounder can cash the Over. Greene’s ability to drive the ball the other way gives him matchup flexibility against Gilbert’s mix.

Why It Hits: He’s been Detroit’s most consistent postseason hitter and thrives under pressure. Risk Factor: Mariners’ bullpen can limit late-game opportunities.

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Prop #4 – Spencer Torkelson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

Torkelson’s raw power is undeniable, but his cold streak and poor splits versus high-velocity right-handers make the Under appealing. Gilbert and the Seattle bullpen attack him up in the zone, forcing pop-ups and strikeouts. Unless he runs into one, the volume simply isn’t there.

Why It Hits: Seattle’s pitching depth neutralizes Detroit’s middle-order pop. Risk Factor: A single hanging breaking ball could flip this instantly.

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Final Thoughts

Game 3 should be another tense, low-scoring chess match decided by pitching execution and timely hitting. Gilbert’s strikeouts and Julio’s power potential give Seattle the inside track, while Detroit’s home crowd hopes Greene can ignite the offense. As always, line-shop across books before locking plays and manage units wisely — playoff variance is real.

Best Value Pairing: Gilbert Over 6.5 K’s + Julio Over 1.5 TB Long-Shot Add-On: Cal Raleigh to Hit a Home Run (+450 range)